Zach Eflin
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
3.68
WHIP
1.06
K
26
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The Rays never spend on free agency. Their last big buy prior to Eflin was a three-year deal with James Loney, so when the Rays gave Eflin a 3 year deal for $40M, it should have gotten more attention. The front office, and pitching coach Kyle Snyder, clearly saw they could get more from him, and indeed they did. They tweaked his repertoire to use more of his cutter, added a sweeper, and encouraged him to visit different parts of the strikezone allowing Eflinl to finish as the sixth most valuable starting pitcher in fantasy baseball in 2023. The 16 wins and 177.2 innings, and 186 strikeouts were career highs as he remained more durable than he had been in recent years with Philadelphia. 2023 was also the third straight season he kept his walk rate below five percent. The risk with Eflin is always his health, but the peripherals are as rock solid as his knee has been unstable in recent years. Read Past Outlooks
Six scoreless against Yankees
Eflin allowed three hits over six scoreless innings in a no-decision against the Yankees on Saturday. He struck out six without issuing a walk.
ANALYSIS
Eflin was locked into a pitchers' duel with opposing starter Nestor Cortes, with neither factoring into the decision. As a result, Eflin still sits with just one win this season, though he's been doing his part with a 3.68 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 26:2 K:BB in 29.1 innings. A 16-game winner a season ago, Eflin will have a great opportunity to get back into the win column next week in a matchup against the White Sox in Chicago.
Eflin was locked into a pitchers' duel with opposing starter Nestor Cortes, with neither factoring into the decision. As a result, Eflin still sits with just one win this season, though he's been doing his part with a 3.68 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 26:2 K:BB in 29.1 innings. A 16-game winner a season ago, Eflin will have a great opportunity to get back into the win column next week in a matchup against the White Sox in Chicago.
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Zach Eflin generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Zach Eflin generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-31%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .227 | 118 | 23 | 116 | 14 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .249 | 159 | 18 | 141 | 17 | |||
2024vs Left | .196 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .286 | 17 | 1 | 20 | 3 | |||
2023vs Left | .210 | 80 | 13 | 69 | 9 | |||
2023vs Right | .259 | 106 | 11 | 89 | 10 | |||
2022vs Left | .277 | 29 | 9 | 38 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .209 | 36 | 6 | 32 | 4 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-38%
ERA at Home
2024
-16%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 2.91 | 0.97 | 163.2 | 9.6 | 1.2 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.69 | 1.18 | 119.0 | 7.8 | 1.4 | ||||
2024Home | 3.44 | 1.04 | 18.1 | 7.4 | 1.0 | ||||
2024Away | 4.09 | 1.09 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
2023Home | 3.30 | 1.04 | 103.2 | 10.4 | 1.2 | ||||
2023Away | 3.77 | 1.00 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | ||||
2022Home | 1.73 | 0.74 | 41.2 | 8.4 | 1.3 | ||||
2022Away | 6.88 | 1.59 | 34.0 | 6.9 | 2.4 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Zach Eflin compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
13.00K/9
8.0BB/9
0.6HR/9
1.2Fastball
91.9 mphERA
3.68WHIP
1.06BABIP
.306GB/FB
1.18Left On Base
74.8%Exit Velocity
83.7 mphBarrels/BBE
4.9%Spin Rate
2288 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.3%Swinging Strike
10.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Eflin See More
Tarik Skubal is on tap for a two-start week, as he's one of the top-ranked starters in Todd Zola's Weekly Pitcher Rankings.
How new is the rise in pitcher injuries, and what's causing it? And will we ever get back to a time when those injuries are less common?
Todd Zola presents the weekly pitcher rankings, and with all the pitcher injuries it’s almost fitting that Tyler Glasnow is leading the rankings.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Impressing in camp
Eflin drew rave reviews from manager Kevin Cash after a live batting practice session Friday, per Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network.
ANALYSIS
"You can really appreciate from sitting behind how much late movement he has," said Cash. "You saw the hitters and their reactions and every pitch looks just off the edge or on the plate working off the edge." The 28-year-old right-hander scored a three-year, $40 million contract from the Rays in December after posting a 4.04 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 65:15 K:BB over 75.2 innings with the Phillies during the 2022 regular season. He also had a 3.38 ERA and 12:2 K:BB in 10.2 postseason frames. Eflin projects to open the 2023 campaign as a mid-rotation starter for Tampa Bay.
"You can really appreciate from sitting behind how much late movement he has," said Cash. "You saw the hitters and their reactions and every pitch looks just off the edge or on the plate working off the edge." The 28-year-old right-hander scored a three-year, $40 million contract from the Rays in December after posting a 4.04 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 65:15 K:BB over 75.2 innings with the Phillies during the 2022 regular season. He also had a 3.38 ERA and 12:2 K:BB in 10.2 postseason frames. Eflin projects to open the 2023 campaign as a mid-rotation starter for Tampa Bay.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2015
2014
It was a nice moment when Eflin, who'd endured more of the Phillies' playoff drought than most, recorded his first career save in the game which clinched the the team's first playoff berth since 2011, but the fact that he was pitching in relief in the first place is unfortunately what fantasy managers should be primarily concerned with. Knee issues limited Eflin to 18 starts in 2021, and they didn't go away in 2022. He finished with 13 starts and seven relief appearances. When healthy, he was the same unexciting but capable pitcher he's been for the past several seasons, as his 4.04 ERA and 20.8 K% were both near matches for the 4.12 ERA and 21.4 K% he managed from 2019 through 2021. His 4.8 BB% was excellent, as usual, but while many low-whiff, low-walk pitchers become durable back-end starters, Eflin's injuries mean he lacks that reliability. The Rays are betting on some untapped potential and gambling on his health, as they gave him the richest free agent contract in team history (three years, $40 million). He should open the year in the middle of the rotation. Eflin's sinker and cutter show some intriguing movement qualities and he excelled at limiting hard contact last season (96th percentile average exit velocity), so perhaps the Rays can extract a career year with the aid of a massive home park upgrade.
More Fantasy News
Logs 6.1 scoreless innings
Eflin didn't factor into the decision Monday, allowing six hits and no walks with five strikeouts over 6.1 innings against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Struggles in loss against Angels
Eflin (1-2) took the loss against the Angels on Monday, allowing five runs on nine hits and no walks while striking out five batters over five innings.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Rebounds with quality start
Eflin (1-1) picked up the win over the Rangers on Tuesday after allowing one run on five hits and a walk while striking out five over 6.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Struggles in 2024 opener
Eflin (0-1) went 5.2 innings and allowed six runs on six hits and one walk to take the loss Thursday versus Toronto. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Confirmed for Opening Day
Eflin will start for the Rays on Opening Day, March 28 at home against the Blue Jays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.