This article is part of our DFS MLB series.
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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Dallas Keuchel | Mike Clevinger | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 8.5 | -130 | 1:30 PM |
| Rich Hill | Mike Foltynewicz | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 4:30 PM | ||
| Nathan Eovaldi | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 8.5 | -185 | 7:40 PM |
| Junior Guerra | Kyle Freeland | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | ||||
Helpful Links
For those interested, we have a MLB DFS chat on Discord for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) Join those channels by clicking here.
Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| Dallas Keuchel | Mike Clevinger | Indians | 114 | 114 | 110 | 102 | 98 | 94 | 8.5 | -130 | 1:30 PM |
| Rich Hill | Mike Foltynewicz | Braves | 102 | 106 | 116 | 98 | 81 | 98 | 4:30 PM | ||
| Nathan Eovaldi | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 8.5 | -185 | 7:40 PM |
| Junior Guerra | Kyle Freeland | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 9:40 PM | ||
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger (R) | v HOU | 321.7 | 26.2 | 9.7 | 16.5 | 0.95 | 3.05 | 1.19 | $9,000 | $8,800 | 103 | 18.9 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at NYY | 111.0 | 22.2 | 4.4 | 17.8 | 1.14 | 3.81 | 1.13 | $6,800 | $7,200 | 108 | 22.1 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | v LAD | 337.0 | 24.0 | 8.8 | 15.2 | 0.99 | 3.74 | 1.26 | $9,000 | $8,000 | 120 | 22.2 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | v MIL | 358.3 | 18.3 | 8.7 | 9.6 | 0.85 | 3.39 | 1.35 | 95 | 20.5 | ||
| Junior Guerra (R) | at COL | 211.3 | 21.9 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 1.58 | 4.43 | 1.43 | 83 | 23.2 | ||
| Rich Hill (L) | at ATL | 268.3 | 28.8 | 8.2 | 20.6 | 1.27 | 3.49 | 1.11 | $8,100 | $9,800 | 106 | 20.9 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at CLE | 350.3 | 19.1 | 7.2 | 11.9 | 0.85 | 3.39 | 1.23 | $5,700 | $8,300 | 99 | 19.7 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v BOS | 384.7 | 28.8 | 6.2 | 22.6 | 0.94 | 3.18 | 1.09 | $9,400 | $9,200 | 119 | 18.5 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Mike Clevinger (R) | v HOU | 23.1 | 10.7 | 12.3 | 1.18 | 0.315 | 27.6 | 9.5 | 18.0 | 0.87 | 0.284 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (R) | at NYY | 20.0 | 8.6 | 11.4 | 1.60 | 0.345 | 20.3 | 3.9 | 16.5 | 1.26 | 0.288 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (R) | v LAD | 23.0 | 10.1 | 13.0 | 1.26 | 0.324 | 23.5 | 6.5 | 17.0 | 0.90 | 0.295 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | v MIL | 27.5 | 7.2 | 20.4 | 0.66 | 0.274 | 15.7 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 0.91 | 0.326 |
| Junior Guerra (R) | at COL | 21.0 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 1.37 | 0.324 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 13.0 | 1.18 | 0.314 |
| Rich Hill (L) | at ATL | 20.8 | 9.7 | 11.1 | 1.18 | 0.310 | 31.4 | 7.5 | 24.0 | 0.95 | 0.266 |
| Dallas Keuchel (L) | at CLE | 24.2 | 4.2 | 20.0 | 0.67 | 0.261 | 18.4 | 7.8 | 10.6 | 0.99 | 0.311 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v BOS | 27.6 | 7.5 | 20.1 | 0.96 | 0.301 | 27.4 | 5.6 | 21.8 | 1.05 | 0.280 |
