Super Bowl Odds: 2025 Odds To Win The Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: Buffalo Bills +1000 → +850 (7-3)
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Kansas City Chiefs +600 → +1050 (5-5)

More: Here's what you should know about Week 11 NFL Odds

Super Bowl Favorites – Week 12

Other than the 2025 Super Bowl odds dip we've seen from the Baltimore Ravens, the current Super Bowl favorites are mostly who we thought they would be entering the year. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the top-four teams as the Eagles (+550), the Rams (+600), the Bills (+850) and Chiefs (+850). 

Now heading into Week 12, the Super Bowl feels more wide open than ever. The Eagles and Rams have established themselves as the clear-cut favorites to come out of the NFC, but the AFC is wide open. The Chiefs and Bills don't look as dominant as we expected, though no one is counting out either team just yet. And the rest of the AFC contenders, like the Colts, Patriots, and Broncos, are all still unproven. 

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 12. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 12. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +850

The Buffalo Bills' weaknesses were on full display in Week 10. Their defense can't stop the run, and their pass-catchers can't seem to get open. The run defense could theoretically get fixed as Buffalo gets healthier, but they're likely stuck with what they have at receiver now that we're past the trade deadline. An explosive offensive showing in Week 11 papered over those wounds, but that doesn't mean they've disappeared. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in a league full of Clark Kents
• ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
• ✅ Joey Bosa leads scary pass-rushing unit – first-round pick Maxwell Hairston might be a gem in the secondary?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Keon Coleman and the receiving corps aren't much of a threat 
• ❌ Run defense has been terrible – Ed Oliver hurt again 
• ❌ Mounting injuries on the D-Line could derail season

Chiefs Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1050 

The Kansas City Chiefs have top-four odds to win the Super Bowl. But after falling to 5-5, they have to worry about making the playoffs before they can think about the Lombardi. Week 11 put Kansas City's weaknesses on full display. Their pass-rush might not have enough juice, and their tackle play leaves a lot to be desired. And Mahomes once again missed a lot of throws that used to be routine for him. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Patrick Mahomes & Andy Reid
• ✅ Return of Rashee Rice & Xavier Worthy
• ✅ Great secondary & DC Steve Spagnuolo's decorated playoff history 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Historically bad running game
• ❌ Lackluster pass-rush might not get home against elite QBs
• ❌ Leaky run defense could get exposed against Colts, Bills, and Ravens

Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1100

Daniel Jones finally came back to earth a bit over the last two weeks. But this roster is so good I'm not sure it matters. While we think Jones is for real, we know the rest of this roster is. Jonathan Taylor leads the league's best run game by EPA, the three-headed monster of Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman and Josh Downs are giving opposing secondaries nightmares, and the defense is a rock-solid unit. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Elite skill-position group that meshes together perfectly in Taylor, Warren, Downs, and Pierce
• ✅ Combined brilliance of head coach Shane Steichen and Daniel Jones
• ✅ Massive addition of Sauce Gardner at the NFL Trade Deadline

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Is Daniel Jones beginning to regress?
• ❌ Pass-rush is solid, but it's not elite like some other competitors

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 12. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +600

The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This could be the year they get it done. And the books have finally caught up to that, as they're now the NFC co-favorites. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush quietly turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Uninspiring cornerback play
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players –will they be healthy when it matters? 
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +600

It's been a weird season for the defending champs. We've waited all year for the offense to turn it on, but now that we're this deep into the season, it's fair to wonder if that breakout is really still on the horizon. But with the way this defense is playing, I'm not sure it matters. Since reloading with additions like Jaelan Phillips at the NFL Trade Deadline, this defense is on fire. Philly held the dominant Packers and Lions offenses to single-digit scores over the last two weeks. If the offense starts clicking, Philly might be repeating this year. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Recent additions round out a suddenly dominant defense
• ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
• ✅ Offense is too talented for struggles to continue… right?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
• ❌ Inconsistent play from Jalen Hurts

Lions Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1100

The Lions got exposed in Week 11. The offensive line has been the strength of this team since it broke out a few years ago. But that unit got overwhelmed by the Eagles, and Jared Goff couldn't overcome the pressure in his face. It's hard to see Detroit doing much in the postseason if Goff is under duress. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Offensive juggernaut through the air and on the ground with star-studded lineup 
• ✅ Aidan Hutchinson is a legitimate DPOY candidate
• ✅ Kelvin Shepard leading a defense that has outperformed expectations 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Outside of Hutchinson, is there enough of a pass-rush?
• ❌ Injuries all over the secondary 
• ❌ Inconsistency from Goff when pressured – offensive line is falling off

Super Bowl Contenders

Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets. 

NFC Super Bowl Contenders

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000 

I think the Seahawks legitimately have a shot to come out of the NFC. Sam Darnold threw four picks in Week 11, but the rest of this roster is so good that the team was a missed field goal away from winning anyway. This is a Super Bowl-caliber roster. Sam Darnold has played at a Super Bowl-caliber level. But he has a tendency to shrink in big moments. He'll need to overcome those jitters for Seattle to win it all this year. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Room to grow in the running game 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Shakier than expected in the secondary, particularly CB2
• ❌ Lackluster run game 
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line

Packers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1600

From top to bottom, the Packers have one of the most loaded lineups in the league. They've got a borderline MVP candidate at QB in Jordan Love, a superstar pass-rusher in Micah Parsons, and a top-five head coach in Matt LaFleur. And yet, I can't shake the feeling that they're frauds. The Week 9 loss to the Carolina Panthers certainly didn't help their case. Neither did the offense's uninspiring performance in Week 10. And they didnt' look like world-beaters against the Giants in Week 11. This team is talented enough to make me look foolish, but they're way overvalued here. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Micah Parsons leads a dominant pass-rush
• ✅ Matt LaFleur scheming up one of the most explosive offenses in football 
• ✅ Return of Christian Watson gives them even more downfield juice 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Down-to-down inconsistency – might be missing a true "chain-mover" at WR
• ❌ League-average defense by EPA –a team this talented should be better
• ❌ Loss of Tucker Kraft

AFC Super Bowl Contenders

Ravens Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1300

Don't look now, but the Baltimore Ravens are just one game back in the AFC North. They have one of the league's easiest remaining schedules and have two games remaining against the division-leading Steelers. Baltimore winning the AFC North and punching their postseason ticket felt like a pipe dream two weeks ago. Now it feels inevitable. But, this offense hasn't looked nearly as good as we expected since Lamar's return. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Might be the best skill-position group Lamar has ever had
• ✅ Poor play from defense could be due to injury – can they return to form once healthy?
• ✅ Even if he's not at his best, Lamar is still one of the scariest matchups in football

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ More offensive inconsistency
• ❌ Defense is improved, but might not be good enough
• ❌ Poor guard play is limiting the run game 

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1900

The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. But I'm not convinced their offense is up to the task. Bo Nix has been so-so, and there's just no down-to-down consistency. Denver has only been able to move the ball by generating chunk plays – and I've watched Nix miss a lot of those, as he's tied for the eighth-highest off-target throw rate. The argument for Denver is that Nix started out similarly slow last year before turning it on in the second half. But I don't think he's good enough (yet) for this team to reach its potential. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Looming return of Patrick Surtain
• ✅ Potential for another second-half surge from Nix and the offense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Underwhelming play from Nix
• ❌ Run game doesn't scare defenses either 
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps

Super Bowl Dark Horses 

Each week, I'll examine a few teams, sitting outside the top-10 in the current Super Bowl odds, that I think could make a run. Here are my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse bets for Week 12. 

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1900 

All the Patriots do is win games, and yet no one takes them seriously. They're 9-2, they have an elite head coach, a solid defense, and the potential 2025 NFL MVP at QB. It's not often a team with that kind of resume is outside the top-10 Super Bowl odds after 11 weeks. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye
• ✅ Dominant defensively since the return of Christian Gonzales
• ✅ Mike Vrabel at head coach

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Week 12

Here are my two favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 12. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

New England Patriots: +1900  

Do I think the Patriots are going to win the Super Bowl? Honestly, probably not. They're a little too young and inconsistent. But I do think it's ridiculous that they're available at nearly 20-to-1 odds. They're currently tied with the Broncos, who have a much tougher remaining schedule, for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. They legitimately might have the League MVP, a First-Round bye, and home-field advantage throughout the NFL Playoffs. I can't remember the last time a team with that resume was available at nearly 20-to-1 odds this late into the season. 

• Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1900 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team