Super Bowl Odds: 2025 Odds To Win The Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: Los Angeles Rams +1100 → +700 (7-2)
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Buffalo Bills +650 → +1000 (6-3)

More: Here's what you should know about Week 11 NFL Odds

Super Bowl Favorites – Week 11

Other than the 2025 Super Bowl odds dip we've seen from the Baltimore Ravens, the current Super Bowl favorites are exactly who we thought they would be entering the year. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the Chiefs (+600), Bills (+650), Lions (+900), Rams (+900), and Eagles (+950) as the top-five favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. 

Now heading into Week 11, the biggest story in the NFL is the brewing situation in Baltimore. The Ravens were left for dead after a 1-5 start to the season. But they've ripped off three wins, got Lamar Jackson back, and now face one of the easiest remaining schedules in the NFL. As a result, they're the only below-500 team with top-10 odds to win the Super Bowl. 

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 11. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 11. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Chiefs Odds to Win Super Bowl: +600 

The Kansas City Chiefs have the league's best odds to win the Super Bowl. But after falling to 5-4, they have to worry about making the playoffs before they can think about the Lombardi. Week 9 put Kansas City's weaknesses on full display. Their pass-rush might not have enough juice, and their tackle play leaves a lot to be desired. If KC wants to win the Super Bowl, Mahomes is going to have to put on his cape once again. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Patrick Mahomes & Andy Reid
• ✅ Return of Rashee Rice & Xavier Worthy
• ✅ Great secondary & DC Steve Spagnuolo's decorated playoff history 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Lackluster pass-rush might not get home against elite QBs
• ❌ Leaky run defense could get exposed against Colts, Bills, and Ravens

Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000

The Buffalo Bills' weaknesses were on full display in Week 10. Their defense can't stop the run, and their pass-catchers can't seem to get open. The run defense could theoretically get fixed as Buffalo gets healthier, but they're likely stuck with what they have at receiver now that we're past the trade deadline. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in a league full of Clark Kents
• ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
• ✅ Joey Bosa leads scary pass-rushing unit – first-round pick Maxwell Hairston might be a gem in the secondary?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Keon Coleman and the receiving corps aren't much of a threat 
• ❌ Run defense has been terrible – Ed Oliver hurt again 
• ❌ Mounting injuries on the D-Line could derail season

Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1100

Daniel Jones finally came back to earth a bit over the last two weeks. But this roster is so good I'm not sure it matters. While we think Jones is for real, we know the rest of this roster is. Jonathan Taylor leads the league's best run game by EPA, the three-headed monster of Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman and Josh Downs are giving opposing secondaries nightmares, and the defense is a rock-solid unit. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Elite skill-position group that meshes together perfectly in Taylor, Warren, Downs, and Pierce
• ✅ Combined brilliance of head coach Shane Steichen and Daniel Jones
• ✅ Massive addition of Sauce Gardner at the NFL Trade Deadline

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Are we 100% sure Daniel Jones keeps this up? 
• ❌ Again: Are we 100% sure Daniel Jones keeps this up? 

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 11. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +700

The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This could be the year they get it done. And the books have finally caught up to that, as they're now the NFC favorites. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush quietly turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Uninspiring cornerback play
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players –will they be healthy when it matters? 
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +800

It's been a weird season for the defending champs. The Eagles are 7-2 and should be riding high, but the vibes in Philadelphia haven't been great. The dominant run game we saw last year can't get going, the defense is a lot closer to league-average than we thought, and the passing attack has been more inconsistent than ever. But there have been signs of life lately. If he keeps that up, Philly is going to be a tough out in the playoffs. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Recent surge from passing attack 
• ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
• ✅ Front-seven should be dominant again once healthy

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
• ❌ Shaky secondary outside of DeJean and Mitchell, and a front-seven is banged up
• ❌ Inconsistent play from Jalen Hurts

Lions Odds to Win Super Bowl: +850

Detroit's Week 9 loss to Minnesota wasn't anything more than a speed bump for the Lions. This roster is loaded from top to bottom, and the Lions have already proven they'll be able to survive the loss of Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn. But, they could really use another pass-rusher to pair with Aidan Hutchinson. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Offensive juggernaut through the air and on the ground with star-studded lineup 
• ✅ Aidan Hutchinson is a legitimate DPOY candidate
• ✅ Kelvin Shepard leading a defense that has outperformed expectations 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Outside of Hutchinson, is there enough of a pass-rush?
• ❌ Injuries all over the secondary 
• ❌ Jared Goff can't hit the deep ball lately

Super Bowl Contenders

Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets. 

NFC Super Bowl Contenders

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000 

I think the Seahawks legitimately have a shot to come out of the NFC. Sam Darnold is slinging it right now, leading the league with 9.5 air yards per attempt. That mentality has made Seattle the league's most explosive passing attack, as Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the league with five 40-yard receptions and 17 20-yard receptions. And if this defense can get healthy in the secondary, it could be one of the scariest units in the league. The Seahawks' pass-rush has recorded the third-most sacks and the league's fourth-best pressure rate. If Kenneth Walker gets going on the ground to complement this passing attack, Seattle could become one of the most complete teams in football. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Room to grow in the running game 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Shakier than expected in the secondary
• ❌ Lackluster run game 
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line

Packers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1600

From top to bottom, the Packers have one of the most loaded lineups in the league. They've got a 2025 NFL MVP candidate at QB in Jordan Love, a superstar pass-rusher in Micah Parsons, and a top-five head coach in Matt LaFleur. And yet, I can't shake the feeling that they're frauds. The Week 9 loss to the Carolina Panthers certainly didn't help their case. Neither did the offense's uninspiring performance in Week 10. This team is talented enough to make me look foolish, but I think they're way overvalued here. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Micah Parsons leads a dominant pass-rush
• ✅ Matt LaFleur scheming up one of the most explosive offenses in football 
• ✅ Looming return of Christian Watson could give them even more downfield juice 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Down-to-down inconsistency – might be missing a true "chain-mover" at WR
• ❌ League-average defense by EPA –a team this talented should be better
• ❌ Frankly, I just don't trust them 

Buccaneers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +3000

If the Colts have been the most fun story of the year, the Baker Mayfield-led Buccaneers are a close second. Baker has turned his career around, going from lining up as a scout-team D-Lineman in Carolina to a legitimate MVP candidate in Tampa Bay. But injuries are threatening to derail this season. Mike Evans will miss most of the year, Bucky Irving has been sidelined, Chris Godwin's return from injury hasn't gone well, and that's just the tip of the iceberg. The lackluster pass-rush was Tampa Bay's Achilles heel last year, and 2025 doesn't look much different, recording a bottom-10 pressure rate so far. Tampa is interesting if they can fix the pass-rush and get healthy, but those are pretty big ifs. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Arguably the best skill-position group in the NFL when healthy (Egbuka, Evans, Irving, Godwin)
• ✅ Baker Mayfield playing with his hair on fire 
• ✅ Dominant run defense 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Tons of injuries on both sides of the ball
• ❌ Pass-rush still can't reliably generate pressure
• ❌ Once-elite offensive line suddenly a weakness 

AFC Super Bowl Contenders

Ravens Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1500

Don't look now, but the Baltimore Ravens are just one game back in the AFC North. They have one of the league's easiest remaining schedules and have two games remaining against the division-leading Steelers. Baltimore winning the AFC North and punching their postseason ticket felt like a pipe dream two weeks ago. Now it feels inevitable. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Offense is as scary as ever  – might be the best skill-position group Lamar has ever had
• ✅ Poor play from defense could be due to injury – can they return to form once healthy?
• ✅ Would be one of the scariest Wild Card berths in recent memory if they get in

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ 1-5 start makes a playoff berth unlikely 
• ❌ Currently the worst defense in the league
• ❌ Poor guard play is limiting the run game 

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1900

The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. But I'm not convinced their offense is up to the task. Bo Nix owns the league's fourth-worst success rate so far – barely beating out Tua Tagovailoa. There's just no down-to-down consistency. Denver has only been able to move the ball by generating chunk plays – and I've watched Nix miss a lot of those, as he's tied for the sixth-highest off-target throw rate. The argument for Denver is that Nix started out similarly slow last year before turning it on in the second half. If that happens again, Denver could be dangerous. But I don't see it. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Looming return of Patrick Surtain
• ✅ Potential for another second-half surge from Nix and the offense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Underwhelming play from Nix
• ❌ Run game doesn't scare defenses either 
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps outside of Courtland Sutton 

Chargers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +3000

The Chargers and Ravens are in a very similar position. They've got super-humans at QB and a scary skill-position group, but injuries might derail both of their seasons. The offensive line was supposed to be this team's strength, but after a litany of injuries, Justin Herbert has been the most-pressured QB in the league. Herbert has been pressured 113 times – 23 more than the No. 2 QB, Cam Ward. And without their top-two RBs, they haven't been able to offset that with the run game. This just doesn't feel like their year. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Justin Herbert and a scary receiving corps 
• ✅ High-level defensive talent with Khalil Mack and Derwin James
• ✅ Proven history of Jim Harbaugh 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Suddenly dealing with a patchwork offensive line – Joe Alt out again
• ❌ Uninspiring run game without Najee Harris and Omarion Hampton 
• ❌ Dangerously thin defense due to injury 

Super Bowl Dark Horses 

Each week, I'll examine a few teams, sitting outside the top-10 in the current Super Bowl odds, that I think could make a run. Here are my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse bets for Week 11. 

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2200 

Drake Maye is playing quarterback at an MVP level. And don't look now, but the Patriots' defense has rounded into form since getting Christian Gonzales back. Since Week 4, New England owns a top-six defense in terms of EPA per play (No. 3), dropback EPA (No. 6), and run defense EPA (No. 4). Youth and some occasionally boneheaded football will probably prevent this team from reaching its ceiling. Still, it's hard to deny what this team is doing right now. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye
• ✅ Dominant defensively since the return of Christian Gonzales
• ✅ Mike Vrabel's steady hand

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Week 11

Here are my two favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 11. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

Buffalo Bills: +1000  

I've had the Rams featured here for weeks. But now that they've got the second-best odds to bring home the Lombardi, I'll have to switch it up. If you're a believer in the Bills, the time to bet them is now. I think they'll be able to fix their run defense once they get healthy. And while they'll never be dynamic in the passing game due to their WR options, Josh Allen can cover up a lot of flaws. They're a great flyer at 10-to-1 odds 

• Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team