Super Bowl Odds: Current 2025 Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: Green Bay Packers +1600 → +900 (8-3-1)
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Kansas City Chiefs +1100 → +1800 (6-6)

More: Here's what you should know about Week 14 NFL Odds

Super Bowl Favorites – Week 14

The Los Angeles Rams (+450) have emerged as the clear-cut favorites in the current odds to win the Super Bowl. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the top-five teams as the Rams (+450), Seahawks (+850), Packers (+900), Eagles (+900), Bills (+1000). The Kansas City Chiefs, meanwhile, have fallen from third to T-9 (+1700) after losing to the Dallas Cowboys. 

The biggest takeaway is that sportsbooks don't seem worried about the Rams. Los Angeles remains the clear-cut favorite despite losing to the Carolina Panthers in Week 13. In fact, we could be headed for another Rams-Patriots Super Bowl, as LA and NE are the only two teams in the league that rank top-seven in EPA per play on offense and defense. 

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 14. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 14. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000

The Buffalo Bills' weaknesses were on full display in Week 12. Their defense can't stop the run, and their pass-catchers can't get open. Even the dominant offensive line got exposed, as Allen was sacked eight times. And yet, as they've done so many times this season, the Bills turned it around the following week. Buffalo beat Pittsburgh while running for 249 yards – the most rushing yards the Steelers have given up at home since 1975. 

Recent history suggests Buffalo is about to go on a run. Since 2022, the Bills are 14-2 when playing a regular-season game in December and January. And one of those losses came while they were resting their starters in a meaningless game. If you're a Bills believer, I'd bet them now at +1000, as those odds will shrink if Buffalo starts ripping off wins. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in a league full of Clark Kents
• ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
• ✅ Joey Bosa leads scary pass-rushing unit – first-round pick Maxwell Hairston might be a gem in the secondary?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Keon Coleman and the receiving corps aren't much of a threat 
• ❌ Run defense has been terrible – Ed Oliver hurt again 
• ❌ Mounting injuries on the D-Line could derail season

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1100 

The 11-2 Patriots now own the sixth-best Super Bowl odds overall, and they're second in the AFC. Their ranking here probably says more about the state of the AFC than the Pats, as oddsmakers have been hesitant to put them high all year. But with the Ravens, Chiefs, and Colts all falling off significantly, the Pats are finally getting the respect you'd expect an 11-2 team to get. 

I think this team is probably a year away, and the injury to starting LT Will Campbell is devastating. But the AFC is more wide open than ever. At the end of the day, they're 11-2, they have an elite head coach, a solid defense, and the potential 2025 NFL MVP at QB. It's not often a team with that kind of resume is available at 11-to-1 odds 13 weeks into the season. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye & Henderson leads suddenly explosive run game 
• ✅ Major improvements defensively since the return of Christian Gonzales
• ✅ Mike Vrabel at head coach

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can they survive mounting injuries to the offensive and defensive lines?
• ❌ Receiving corps doesn't scare anyone
• ❌ Young and inconsistent – probably a year away

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1200

The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. But I'm not convinced their offense is up to the task. Bo Nix has been so-so, and there's just no down-to-down consistency. Denver has only been able to move the ball by generating chunk plays – and I've watched Nix miss a lot of those, as he's tied for the 12th-highest off-target throw rate. The argument for Denver is that Nix started out similarly slow last year before turning it on in the second half. And we've seen signs of life from him recently. But I don't think he's good enough for this team to reach its potential. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Return of Patrick Surtain
• ✅ Potential for another second-half surge from Nix and the offense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Underwhelming play from Nix
• ❌ Run game doesn't scare defenses either 
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 14. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +450

The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This could be the year they get it done. And the books have caught up to that, as they're now the clear-cut favorites. Bookmakers are clearly confident in LA, as the Rams' odds barely moved after their baffling loss to the Carolina Panthers in Week 13.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can Emmanuel Forbes and Cobie Durant maintain this level of play?
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players – will they be healthy when it matters? 
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +850 

I've thought the Seahawks have a legitimate shot to come out of the NFC for a while. The oddsmakers finally agree, as Seattle has vaulted up to the second-best Super Bowl odds in the league. This is arguably the most complete team in football. Their biggest weaknesses are a lack of a legitimate second option behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba, an inconsistent running game, and the occasional head-scratching decision from Sam Darnold. 

But Seattle has a Super Bowl-caliber roster. Sam Darnold has (mostly) played at a Super Bowl-caliber level. Still, he has a tendency to shrink in big moments. He'll need to overcome those jitters for Seattle to win it all. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Signs of life from the running game – Walker retaking the backfield from Charbonnet

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Someone needs to step up behind JSN – where is Rasheed Shaheed? 
• ❌ Lackluster run game 
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line outside of Zabel

Packers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +900

From top to bottom, the Packers should have one of the most loaded lineups in the league. They've got elite efficiency with Jordan Love at QB, a superstar pass-rusher in Micah Parsons, and a top-five head coach in Matt LaFleur. And yet, I can't shake the feeling that they're frauds. This team is talented enough to make me look foolish, but they're way overvalued here. In the NFC, I'd much rather bet on the Eagles to figure it out at +1000, or take flyers on long shots like the Cowboys (+7000). 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Micah Parsons leads a dominant pass-rush
• ✅ Matt LaFleur scheming up one of the most explosive offenses in football 
• ✅ Return of Christian Watson gives them even more downfield juice 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Down-to-down inconsistency – might be missing a true "chain-mover" at WR
• ❌ League-average defense by EPA –a team this talented should be better
• ❌ Loss of Tucker Kraft

Super Bowl Contenders

Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets. 

NFC Super Bowl Contenders

Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000

It's been a weird season for the defending champs. We've waited all year for the offense to click, but now that we're this deep into the season, it's fair to wonder if that breakout is still on the horizon. A.J. Brown finally turned it on, but nothing else is working for Philadelphia. 

It looked like the Eagles were about to make up for that by turning into the league's most dominant defense. But we've now watched that group get pushed around by the Cowboys and Bears in back-to-back weeks. But from top to bottom, this is still the most talented roster in football. I wouldn't rule them out just yet. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Recent additions round out a dominant defense
• ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
• ✅ Offense is too talented for struggles to continue… right?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
• ❌ Inconsistent play from the passing game
• ❌ Continued shaky play from CB2 

Lions Odds to Win Super Bowl: +2500

The Lions got exposed in Week 11. The offensive line has been the strength of this team since it broke out a few years ago. But that unit got overwhelmed by the Eagles, and Jared Goff couldn't overcome the pressure. They didn't put any of those fears to rest in the following weeks, narrowly beating the Giants in Week 12 before dropping the Thanksgiving Game to Green Bay. 

Now on the outside looking in on the postseason, Detroit has a must-win game against Dallas in Week 14. I think Dallas' dominant interior rush is a serious problem for the Lions' weak IOL; I'd advise against backing Detroit at this price.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Offensive juggernaut through the air and on the ground with star-studded lineup 
• ✅ Aidan Hutchinson is a legitimate DPOY candidate
• ✅ Kelvin Shepard leading a defense that has outperformed expectations 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Outside of Hutchinson, is there enough of a pass-rush?
• ❌ Injuries all over the secondary 
• ❌ Inconsistency from Goff when pressured; offensive line has significantly fallen off

AFC Super Bowl Contenders

Colts Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1600

Things looked so good for the Colts just a few weeks ago. At 7-1, they were the NFL's most dominant offense, confident enough to move two first-round picks to bring in superstar CB Sauce Gardner. Now, Gardner will likely miss the next few games, Daniel Jones has regressed as he plays through a fractured fibula, and the Colts have dropped three of their last four. 

To make matters worse, the AFC South has suddenly become a three-horse race between the 8-4 Jaguars, 8-4 Colts, and 7-5 Texans. Indianapolis has three pivotal games remaining against those two teams, and its other two games will come against the 49ers and Seahawks. That brutal end-of-season schedule makes it hard to back Indianapolis.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Elite skill-position group that meshes together perfectly in Taylor, Warren, Downs, and Pierce
• ✅ Offensive brilliance of head coach Shane Steichen
• ✅ Laiatu Latu seems to be making the leap 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Daniel Jones regression was a concern before he fractured his fibula
• ❌ Injury to Sauce Gardner

Chiefs Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1800 

The Chiefs are currently 6-6. If the season ended today, they'd be out of the playoff picture. It feels like we do this song and dance every year, only for the Chiefs to turn it on and make the Super Bowl. But this time, the concern feels legitimate. Seriously. KC is two games back of a Wild Card spot and four games behind the Broncos in the AFC West. NFL.com only gives the Chiefs a 33% chance to clinch a postseason berth. 

The Chiefs likely need to get to 11 wins to have a shot, which means they probably have to win out. Their toughest remaining test comes this week against Houston. If the Chiefs pull out a win at home, they'll probably go on another miraculous Super Bowl run. But a loss really could end their season. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Patrick Mahomes & Andy Reid
• ✅ Return of Rashee Rice & Xavier Worthy
• ✅ Great secondary & DC Steve Spagnuolo's decorated playoff history 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ At 6-6, they might've dug an insurmountable hole
• ❌ Lackluster pass-rush might not get home against elite QBs
• ❌ Legitimately might miss the postseason

Ravens Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1800

For my money, the Ravens are significantly overvalued. Let's compare Lamar Jackson's recent five-game stretch to what he did last year. He's accounting for 85.2 fewer combined rushing and passing yards per game than he did last season. He's recording 1 touchdown per game – down from 2.6 scores per game last year. And in nine games, he's matched last year's INT total (4), and his 27 sacks are more than he took all last year (23).

Other than Lamar getting healthy, there's no reason to believe in the Ravens. Simply put, if Lamar looks anything like this the rest of the way, Baltimore has no shot. But he has plenty of time left to turn things around. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Solid skill-position group 
• ✅ Lamar is still one of the scariest matchups in football when healthy
• ✅ Derrick Henry turns it on when the weather gets cold – return of Ricard helps as well

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Aside from his first game back, Lamar has been significantly underwhelming
• ❌ Defense improved, but is it enough? 
• ❌ Poor guard play is limiting the run game 

Super Bowl Dark Horses 

Each week, I'll examine a few teams, sitting outside the top-10 in the current Super Bowl odds, that I think could make a run. Here are my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse bets for Week 14. 

Houston Texans: +3000

I wrote about Houston this time last week. Since then, they jumped from +5000 to +3000. And I still think they offer the best dark-horse value. They have the scariest defense in the league. The one-two punch of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter is more than enough, but Derrick Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter are also becoming one of the best CB duos in football. 

Offensively, we're finally seeing some signs of life. Woody Marks has impressed since taking control of the backfield. The offensive line has held up better than expected lately. Nico Collins is still an elite receiver, and the youngsters behind him have impressed recently. And the return of C.J. Stroud could take this group to the next level. Stroud was impressive in his return to action, but the real test will come in Week 14 against KC. If Houston wins that, the Texans' Super Bowl odds will skyrocket this time next week. 

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +3000 (BetMGM Sportsbook)

Dallas Cowboys: +7000

The Cowboys have one of the league's best offenses, but their defense, which is the second-worst scoring unit in the league, is the reason that they're just 6-5-1. Don't look now, but Jerry Jones might've fixed that group. From Week 1-9, Dallas ranked third-worst in both rushing success rate allowed and EPA against the run. Enter Quinnen Williams. Since Dallas' Week 10 bye, the Cowboys have been a top-10 defense in both of those metrics. It's a small sample size, but the Cowboys are no longer a laughingstock on defense.

And that might be all this offense needs. With George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb, Dak Prescott is playing the best ball of his career. During Dallas' three-game win streak, Prescott is averaging 314.0 passing yards per game while completing 69.4% of his passes and accounting for nine TDs to two INTs. 

Dallas probably needs to win out to get into the postseason. Even then, it's not a sure thing. But that's why they're +7000. And if they do get in, a +7000 ticket would be an incredible value. 

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +7000 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Week 14

Here are my favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 14. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

Buffalo Bills: +1100  

Do I think the Bills are going to win the Super Bowl? Honestly, probably not. The run defense is atrocious, and the receivers can't get open. But I do think Buffalo offers the best value. 

Buffalo may fix the run defense by the time the playoffs roll around. Pick a Bills' starting defender out of a hat at random, and you'll probably see them on the injury report. If they get healthy, that unit could look a lot better in a few weeks. Unfortunately, they are probably stuck with what they have at receiver. But Josh Allen is capable of beating any defense in any given week by himself – even if I were his primary target. 

The AFC is more open than it has been in years. Every traditional powerhouse in the conference is having a down season. And sometimes this league is simple. Just pick the best quarterback. For my money, that's still Josh Allen. 

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1100 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team