Super Bowl Odds: Current 2025 Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: San Francisco 49ers +2200 → +1400 (11-4)
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Houston Texans +1300 → +1500 (10-5)

More: Here's what you should know about Week 17 NFL Odds

Super Bowl Favorites – Week 18

Despite losing to the Seattle Seahawks, the Los Angeles Rams (+450) are still the favorites in the latest odds to win the Super Bowl. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the top-five teams as the Rams (+450), Seahawks (+650), Bills (+850), Broncos (+900), and Eagles (+900). 

Seattle inched closer to the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and the Seahawks have also solidified their lead in the Super Bowl odds race over the Bills, Broncos, and Eagles.

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 18. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 18. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl: +900

Recent history suggested Buffalo was about to go on a run. Since 2022, the Bills were 14-2 when playing a regular-season game in December and January. And one of those losses came while they were resting their starters in a meaningless game.

They've held up their end of the bargain, as Buffalo has gone 3-0 in December. But that Week 16 win against the Browns wasn't exactly convincing. The Week 17 matchup against the Eagles feels like a huge test for both teams. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Josh Allen is Superman in a league full of Clark Kents
• ✅ Cook-Allen duo leads an elite run game
• ✅ Joey Bosa leads scary pass-rushing unit – first-round pick Maxwell Hairston might be a gem in the secondary?

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Keon Coleman and the receiving corps aren't much of a threat 
• ❌ Run defense has been terrible – Ed Oliver hurt again 
• ❌ Mounting injuries on the D-Line could derail season

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +900

The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. And Bo Nix is finally making the second-year leap Broncos fans were hoping he would. Since his breakout win against the Chiefs in Week 11, Nix is averaging 296.4 passing yards per game with a 94.6 passer rating. That's way up from what he was doing over his first 10 games, when he averaged 212.6 passing yards per outing and carried an 85.7 passer rating. The Week 16 loss to Jacksonville was concerning, and the defense has fallen off a bit lately, but if Nix keeps playing like this, Denver is a very real threat to come out of the AFC. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Return of Patrick Surtain
• ✅ Second-half surge from Nix and the offense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Is the recent defensive fall-off a blip on the radar or a sign of things to come?
• ❌ Inconsistent run game
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000 

I think this team is probably a year away, and the injury to starting LT Will Campbell is devastating. But the AFC is more wide open than ever. At the end of the day, they're 12-3, they have an elite head coach, a solid defense, and the potential 2025 NFL MVP at QB. It's not often a team with that kind of resume is available at 10-to-1 odds this late into the season.

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye 
• ✅ Stefon Diggs looks like a legit No. 1 when New England increases his snap count
• ✅ Mike Vrabel at head coach

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can they survive mounting injuries to the offensive and defensive lines?
• ❌ Outside of Diggs, the receiving corps doesn't scare anyone
• ❌ Young and inconsistent – probably a year away

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 18. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +460

The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This feels like the year they get it done. 

The oddsmakers seem to agree, as LA remained favored to win it all even after they lost to the Seahawks, who owned the second-best Super Bowl odds coming into the week. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can Emmanuel Forbes and Cobie Durant maintain this level of play?
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players – will they be healthy when it matters? 
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +650 

I've thought the Seahawks have a legitimate shot to come out of the NFC for a while. The oddsmakers finally agree, as Seattle has vaulted up to the second-best Super Bowl odds in the league. This is arguably the most complete team in football. Seattle has a Super Bowl-caliber roster, and Sam Darnold has (mostly) played at a Super Bowl-caliber level. 

It looked like Bad Sam Darnold was showing up in Week 16, though. He had just 179 yards with two brutal interceptions with under seven minutes to go in the fourth quarter. But he turned it all around with a phenomenal game-winning drive in overtime, completing 5-of-7 passes for 49 yards and a touchdown, including the game-winning two-point conversion. If Darnold has finally gotten that big-game monkey off his back, Seattle might win it all. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Signs of life from the running game – Walker retaking the backfield from Charbonnet

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Will Bad Sam Darnold show up in the postseason?
• ❌ Someone needs to step up behind JSN – they need more from Shaheed
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line outside of Zabel

Eagles Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1000

From top to bottom, this is still one of the most talented rosters in football. Philadelphia might've finally busted out of its offensive slump, as AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley are finally cooking. The Eagles are averaging 30.0 PPG over their last two after averaging 16.2 PPG over their previous five games. If that holds, look out. No one has reached even 25 points against Philadelphia's defense since the Giants did it in Week 6. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Recent additions round out a dominant defense
• ✅ Star-studded lineup on both sides of the ball – might be the most complete roster in football
• ✅ Offense is finally rounding into form

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Massive decline from Saquon Barkley & the run game
• ❌ Inconsistent play from the passing game
• ❌ Continued shaky play from CB2 

Super Bowl Contenders

Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets. 

NFC Super Bowl Contenders

49ers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1400

The San Francisco 49ers have officially entered the Super Bowl conversation. If they win out, the 49ers will be the No. 1 seed in the NFC. That's a remarkable achievement considering how banged up this team is. San Francisco has lost numerous players on defense, including its two Hall-of-Famers in Fred Warner and Nick Bosa, and first-round pick Mykel Williams. 

Brock Purdy finally looks all the way back from that turf toe injury, and the offense has been carrying this team. Since Week 9, San Francisco has averaged 33.1 PPG, which would lead the league this season. It's hard to see this team winning three playoff games considering all of the injuries, but the rumored return of Fred Warner could change that. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Offensive dominance of Kyle Shanahan CMC, Purdy, and Kittle
• ✅ Proven playoff pedigree
• ✅ Could Ricky Pearsall be an X-factor down the stretch? 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Mounting injuries on defense
• ❌ Can the offensive line hold up? 
• ❌ Do they have enough juice at WR?

Packers Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1600

I'm not sure the Packers can overcome these injuries. With Micah Parsons on the field, this team had the third-best pass-rush in the league. When he's off the field, they are the worst team in the league in that same metric. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Elite play from Jordan Love
• ✅ Matt LaFleur scheming up one of the most explosive offenses in football 
• ✅ Christian Watson resurgence & Jayden Reed getting healthy

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Down-to-down inconsistency – might be missing a true "chain-mover" at WR
• ❌ League-average defense by EPA – a team this talented should be better
• ❌ Loss of Tucker Kraft & Micah Parsons

AFC Super Bowl Contenders

Jaguars Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1400

Entering Week 16, it was easy to overlook the 10-4 Jaguars. While Trevor Lawrence was finally in the midst of a breakout during their five-game win streak, they hadn't really beaten any surefire contenders outside of the Chargers, who were dealing with a decimated offensive line. 

But in Week 17, Jacksonville proved it's for real. They dominated the Denver Broncos, who hadn't lost since Week 3, 34-20. I'm still not all the way bought in just yet, but Jacksonville is a scary matchup come playoff time. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Trevor Lawrence finally delivering on his remarkable pre-draft pedigree 
• ✅ Scary skill-position group
• ✅ Dominant run defense

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Beatable secondary
• ❌ Can the offensive line hold up against the elite pass-rushes?
• ❌ Brian Thomas Jr. needs to return to form to truly unlock the offense's ceiling

Texans Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1500

I wrote about Houston as my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse back in Week 12. Since then, they jumped from +5000 to +1500. They're too high to be considered a real dark-horse anymore, but they still offer fantastic value. They have the scariest defense in the league. The one-two punch of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter is more than enough, but Derrick Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter are also becoming one of the best CB duos in football. Offensively, we're finally seeing some signs of life. But they need to put it together consistently if they want to make a real run in the postseason. 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Scariest defense in football – no one has eclipsed 21 points since Week 10
• ✅ Return of C.J. Stroud
• ✅ Nico Collins resurgence and breakouts from Woody Marks & Jayden Higgins

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Is the offensive line ready for primetime? 
• ❌ Inconsistency from C.J. Stroud
• ❌ No clear-cut No. 2 option after Nico Collins

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Week 18

Here are my favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 18. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

Buffalo Bills: +850  

The AFC is more open than it has been in years. Every traditional powerhouse in the conference is having a down season. And sometimes this league is simple. Just pick the best quarterback. For my money, that's still Josh Allen. 

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +850 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

Best Dark-Horse Super Bowl Bet: Week 18

• ⭐️ Houston Texans (+1500) – DraftKings Sportsbook

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team