More: Here's what you should know about Week 13 NFL Odds
The Los Angeles Rams (+425) have emerged as the clear-cut favorites in the current odds to win the Super Bowl. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the top-six teams as the Rams (+425), Eagles (+600), Chiefs (+900), Colts (+1100), Seahawks (+1100), and Lions (+1100). The Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, have fallen from third last week to being tied for the seventh-best odds (+1200).
The Rams are the league's only team with both a top-five offense and defense in EPA per play. They are fifth offensively and, surprisingly, first defensively. They're arguably the most complete team in football with an MVP candidate at QB, an elite skill-position group, a top-five head coach, and a dominant defense.
Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in Week 13. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well.
🏆 Super Bowl Contender | 📲 Best Available Odds |
| Rams | +450 (ESPN Bet) |
| Eagles | +700 (DraftKings Sportsbook) |
| Chiefs | +1100 (FanDuel Sportsbook) |
| Colts | +1100 (FanDuel Sportsbook) |
| Seahawks | +1100 (FanDuel Sportsbook) |
| Lions | +1200 (DraftKings Sportsbook) |
| Ravens | +1200 (DraftKings Sportsbook) |
| Bills | +1300 (FanDuel Sportsbook) |
| Broncos | +1300 (FanDuel Sportsbook) |
| Patriots | +1500 (FanDuel Sportsbook) |
| Last Verified: | December 01, 2025 |
Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article.
Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into Week 13. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks.
The Kansas City Chiefs saved their season with a dramatic Week 12 comeback. They are currently tied with the Colts, who they narrowly defeated in Week 12, for the best Super Bowl odds in the AFC. And yet, if the season ended today, the 6-5 Chiefs would not be a playoff team. They'll have to contend with the 6-5 Steelers and Texans, who are both on the wrong side of the playoff bubble, and unseat at least one of the three 7-4 Wild Card teams, the Bills, Jaguars, and Chargers. Unfortunately, they have a loss against each of those three teams, so they'd need to pass them in the standings outright, though they do have one game against LAC left.
Kansas City has a long way to go to even secure a playoff berth, but if they get in, it'll be hard to pick against this team.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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Daniel Jones finally came back to earth a bit over the last three weeks. But this roster is so good I'm not sure it matters. While we think Jones is for real, we know the rest of this roster is. Jonathan Taylor leads the league's best run game by EPA, the three-headed monster of Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman and Josh Downs are giving opposing secondaries nightmares, and the defense is a rock-solid unit. The recent emergence of Laiatu Latu, who has five sacks in his last five games, could be a game-changer for Indy, defensively.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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For my money, the Ravens are significantly overvalued. The five-game win streak seems great until you look more closely. The only impressive victory in that stretch came against the Bears, who are nowhere near as good as their 8-3 record suggests. And, notably, that victory came without Lamar Jackson, who hasn't looked right since returning from injury.
Let's compare his recent four-game stretch to what he did last year. He's accounting for 99.9 fewer combined rushing and passing yards per game than he did last season. He's recording half the touchdowns he did last year on a per-game basis, while doubling his INT rate and significantly increasing his sack rate. And four of his five total TDs came in his first game back against Miami. These splits get way worse if we remove that game.
I see no reason why Baltimore should be ahead of Buffalo right now. Simply put, if Lamar looks like this the rest of the way, Baltimore has no shot. But he has plenty of time left to turn things around.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into Week 13. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets.
The Los Angeles Rams have been a lot closer to winning the Super Bowl than you might think recently. They narrowly lost out to the Detroit Lions in 2023, who nearly made the Super Bowl themselves. And in 2024, they were just a couple plays away from beating the reigning champs. This could be the year they get it done. And the books have finally caught up to that, as they're now the clear-cut favorites.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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It's been a weird season for the defending champs. We've waited all year for the offense to turn it on, but now that we're this deep into the season, it's fair to wonder if that breakout is still on the horizon. But with the way this defense is playing, I'm not sure it matters.
We saw them get beaten a few times against Dallas, but Philly held Green Bay and Detroit to single-digit performances the two weeks prior. From top to bottom, this is probably the most talented roster in the league.
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I think the Seahawks legitimately have a shot to come out of the NFC. Sam Darnold threw four picks in Week 11, but the rest of this roster is so good that the team was a missed field goal away from winning anyway.
This is a Super Bowl-caliber roster. Sam Darnold has (mostly) played at a Super Bowl-caliber level. But he has a tendency to shrink in big moments. He'll need to overcome those jitters for Seattle to win it all.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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Next, we'll dive into the second tier of teams in the current Super Bowl odds: the Super Bowl contenders. I recommend using an offer like the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to juice up your bets.
The Lions got exposed in Week 11. The offensive line has been the strength of this team since it broke out a few years ago. But that unit got overwhelmed by the Eagles, and Jared Goff couldn't overcome the pressure in his face. A Week 12 win didn't put any of those fears to rest, as the Jameis Winston-led New York Giants took them to overtime.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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From top to bottom, the Packers should have one of the most loaded lineups in the league. They've got elite efficiency with Jordan Love at QB, a superstar pass-rusher in Micah Parsons, and a top-five head coach in Matt LaFleur. And yet, I can't shake the feeling that they're frauds. This team is talented enough to make me look foolish, but they're way overvalued here. In the NFC, I'd rather bet on Tampa Bay to get healthy at +5000 or San Francisco to go on a Cinderella run at +4000.
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The Buffalo Bills' weaknesses were on full display in Week 12. Their defense can't stop the run, and their pass-catchers can't seem to get open. Even the dominant offensive line got exposed, as Allen was sacked eight times.
The run defense could get fixed as Buffalo gets healthier, but they're likely stuck with what they have at receiver. An explosive offensive showing in Week 11 papered over those wounds, but Week 12 proved they haven't disappeared. And after Tampa Bay suffered a 35-7 beatdown in Week 12, Buffalo's dominant Week 11 showing doesn't look quite as impressive.
⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl:
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The Denver Broncos absolutely have a Super Bowl-caliber defense. But I'm not convinced their offense is up to the task. Bo Nix has been so-so, and there's just no down-to-down consistency. Denver has only been able to move the ball by generating chunk plays – and I've watched Nix miss a lot of those, as he's tied for the eighth-highest off-target throw rate. The argument for Denver is that Nix started out similarly slow last year before turning it on in the second half. And we've seen signs of life from him recently. But I don't think he's good enough (yet) for this team to reach its potential.
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All the Patriots do is win games, and yet no one takes them seriously. If Will Campbell and Jared Wilson are set to miss an extended period of time, I can't really blame the oddsmakers for not believing in New England. But if Drake Maye's protectors do get healthy, the Patriots are an interesting long shot.
They're 10-2, they have an elite head coach, a solid defense, and the potential 2025 NFL MVP at QB. It's not often a team with that kind of resume is available at 15-to-1 odds 12 weeks into the season.
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Each week, I'll examine a few teams, sitting outside the top-10 in the current Super Bowl odds, that I think could make a run. Here are my favorite Super Bowl dark-horse bets for Week 13.
Look, I don't think anyone sitting outside the top-10 odds to win the Super Bowl is going to win the Super Bowl. But if I had to pick anyone, I'd pick Houston. They have the scariest defense in the league. The one-two punch of Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter is more than enough, but Derrick Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter are also becoming one of the best CB duos in football.
Offensively, we're finally seeing some signs of life. Woody Marks has impressed since taking control of the backfield. The offensive line has held up better than expected for Davis Mills, who wasn't sacked against an imposing Bills' front-seven. Nico Collins is still an elite receiver, and the youngsters behind him have impressed recently. If the looming return of C.J. Stroud elevates this offense even further, the Texans will be a scary matchup in the postseason – if they get in.
Here are my favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into Week 13. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam:
Do I think the Bills are going to win the Super Bowl? Honestly, probably not. The run defense is atrocious, and the receivers can't get open. But I do think Buffalo offers the best value right now.
It's possible Buffalo fixes the run defense by the time the playoffs roll around. Pick a Bills' starting defender out of a hat at random, and you'll probably see them on the injury report. If they get healthy, that unit could look a lot better in six weeks. Unfortunately, they are probably stuck with what they have at receiver. But Josh Allen is capable of beating any defense in any given week by himself – even if I were his primary target.
The AFC is more open than it has been in years. And sometimes this league is simple. Just pick the best quarterback. For my money, that's still Josh Allen.