2025 Stats
W-L
4-6
ERA
5.28
WHIP
1.41
K
74
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ober has become a key part of the Minnesota staff after a successful first full season in the rotation. Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.8 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (6.1% BB%) and deadly change-up (.212 wOBA allowed). About his only knock is that he faded at the end of the season, like his entire team, with a 5.32 ERA in his last four starts. He's had back-to-back seasons of 144 innings or more (178.2 innings) after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. He looks set to be a dependable part of the Minnesota rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $3.55 million contract with the Twins in January of 2025.
Rocked in Detroit
Ober (4-6) took the loss Saturday, coughing up seven runs on 11 hits -- including four home runs -- and a walk over 5.2 innings as the Twins were downed 10-5 by the Tigers. He struck out five.
Analysis
Detroit put at least one run on the board in seven straight frames beginning in the second inning, and Ober served up long balls in four straight frames starting in the third, getting taken deep by Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres, Riley Greene and Zach McKinstry. The right-hander has had trouble keeping the ball in the yard in the past, but not to this extent, and over his last six starts Ober has surrendered an incredible 15 home runs in only 34 innings, leading to an 8.47 ERA over that span. He'll try to snap a 10-start winless streak in his next outing, which lines up to come at home next weekend against the Rays.
Detroit put at least one run on the board in seven straight frames beginning in the second inning, and Ober served up long balls in four straight frames starting in the third, getting taken deep by Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres, Riley Greene and Zach McKinstry. The right-hander has had trouble keeping the ball in the yard in the past, but not to this extent, and over his last six starts Ober has surrendered an incredible 15 home runs in only 34 innings, leading to an 8.47 ERA over that span. He'll try to snap a 10-start winless streak in his next outing, which lines up to come at home next weekend against the Rays.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-3%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .227 | 183 | 40 | 175 | 30 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .243 | 228 | 54 | 194 | 40 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .285 | 33 | 8 | 55 | 12 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .293 | 41 | 14 | 53 | 9 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .190 | 87 | 15 | 58 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .223 | 104 | 28 | 78 | 15 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .228 | 63 | 17 | 62 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .236 | 83 | 12 | 63 | 16 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-1%
ERA on Road
2025
-15%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.09 | 1.14 | 209.0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.06 | 1.09 | 206.0 | 9.0 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 4.89 | 1.29 | 49.2 | 7.6 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.74 | 1.56 | 42.1 | 6.8 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.34 | 1.11 | 83.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.67 | 0.91 | 95.2 | 9.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.30 | 1.07 | 76.1 | 8.4 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.57 | 1.06 | 68.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.36K/9
7.2BB/9
2.2HR/9
2.1Fastball
90.5 mphERA
5.28WHIP
1.41BABIP
.319GB/FB
0.61Left On Base
74.6%Exit Velocity
82.7 mphBarrels/BBE
6.4%Spin Rate
2114 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.7%Swinging Strike
12.1%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
Ober had a strong season that has him set to be a vital part of Minnesota's 2024 rotation. Ober began the season in the minors as the odd man out in a six-man rotation and got some spot starts in April before joining the rotation in May. He was sent down briefly in August to manage his workload, but finished strong with a 2.08 ERA over his last four starts (though he was hit hard in his lone playoff outing by giving up six runs in a loss). Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.4 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (5% BB%) and above average off-speed pitches (slider, curve ball, change-up). His changeup became a lethal weapon by allowing just a .268 wOBA and helped lead to an overall 14.5% swinging K%. After throwing 144.1 innings, Ober shouldn't face any limitations on workload after staying healthy after struggling through injuries his first two major league seasons.
More Fantasy News
Clobbered again
Ober (4-5) took the loss in Monday's game against Seattle, allowing seven runs on seven hits and no walks over seven innings with seven strikeouts.
Analysis
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Knocked around in fourth loss
Ober (4-4) was saddled with the loss Wednesday against Cincinnati, giving up four runs on nine hits and no walks in 5.2 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Gives up four homers in loss
Ober (4-3) took the loss Thursday against the Rangers, allowing seven runs on six hits and six walks across 4.2 innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
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Yields two homers in loss
Ober (4-2) took the loss against Toronto on Friday, allowing five runs on five hits and one walk while striking out four across seven innings.
Analysis
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Inefficient in Saturday's start
Ober allowed two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four over four innings in a no-decision versus the Mariners on Saturday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
Analysis
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.