Brandon Pfaadt

Brandon Pfaadt

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Don't be discouraged by Pfaadt's bloated 4.71 ERA; all the estimators peg it at least a run better. He was victimized by a low 64.5 percent left on base mark. The righty improved his strikeout and walk rates last season while fixing the gopheritis plaguing him in his rookie year. Pfaadt adjusted his pitch mix, throwing more sinkers at the expense of four-seam fastballs. In 2023, his change-up generated a negative Fangraphs Pitch Value, but last year it rated as Pfaadt's second best offering, though he used it only 11.2 percent of the time. His sweeper sported the highest swinging strike rate of his repertoire. Pfaadt has demonstrated willingness to adjust, and it appears he has the arsenal to fine tune even more. Last season's high ERA could drop his acquisition cost. Buy the floor, and dream on further tweaks elevating Pfaadt to the next level. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#194
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $45 million contract extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2025. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2031 and $25 million mutual option for 2032.
Tames Dodgers for sixth win
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2025
Pfaadt (6-2) allowed four hits and three walks while striking out six over 6.1 scoreless innings to earn the win Thursday over the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
Pfaadt had his worst start of the year his last time out, allowing seven runs (six earned) in 4.2 innings versus the Phillies. He rebounded against another tough foe, posting his fifth quality start and second scoreless outing of the season while keeping the Dodgers' offense in check. Pfaadt is now at a 3.28 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 41:10 K:BB over 46.2 innings across eight starts this season, which is looking like a breakout year, though he is giving up a few too many baserunners. He's lined up to make his next start on the road in San Francisco.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Brandon Pfaadt generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Brandon Pfaadt generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .280 711 149 47 182 33 6 29
Since 2023vs Right .252 665 171 31 157 33 3 24
2025vs Left .248 131 30 7 30 5 0 6
2025vs Right .283 64 11 3 17 5 0 1
2024vs Left .294 385 76 24 104 17 5 12
2024vs Right .224 375 109 18 79 14 1 12
2023vs Left .273 195 43 16 48 11 1 11
2023vs Right .290 226 51 10 61 14 2 11
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-71%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.86 1.37 164.2 13 11 0 9.1 2.4 1.1
Since 2023Away 4.73 1.20 159.2 7 10 0 8.7 2.0 1.8
2025Home 1.78 1.12 30.1 4 1 0 7.4 2.1 0.3
2025Away 6.06 1.41 16.1 2 1 0 8.8 1.7 3.3
2024Home 5.09 1.31 88.1 7 5 0 9.7 2.0 1.3
2024Away 4.34 1.17 93.1 4 5 0 8.7 2.1 1.1
2023Home 6.46 1.63 46.0 2 5 0 9.0 3.1 1.4
2023Away 5.04 1.20 50.0 1 4 0 8.6 1.8 2.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brandon Pfaadt compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.00
 
K/9
7.8
 
BB/9
1.6
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
93.3 mph
 
ERA
3.79
 
WHIP
1.24
 
BABIP
.314
 
GB/FB
2.15
 
Left On Base
77.1%
 
Exit Velocity
82.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.7%
 
Spin Rate
2520 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.5%
 
Swinging Strike
10.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Many will point to Pfaadt's postseason and ignore the regular season. While those five starts can't be ignored, Pfaadt foreshadowed his playoff success with a strong second half. After his first six outings, Pfaadt recorded an ugly 9.82 ERA and 1.87 WHIP, with only 21 strikeouts in 25.2 frames. His issue was a 3.2 HR/9 mark. Pfaadt was recalled after the All-Star break and posted a 4.22 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 73 punchouts in 70.1 innings, with a still high but improved 1.7 HR/9. Pfaadt is a fly ball pitcher, so he'll continue to be homer-prone, but his BABIP should be below average, especially with strong defenders chasing down fly balls in the desert. However, Pfaadt threw fewer four-seamers and more sinkers in the postseason, with a 1.23 HR/9. If he carries this over to his sophomore season, Pfaadt could keep more balls in the yard. The concern in redraft leagues is someone may chase last season's postseason exploits. Expecting a full season of what Pfaadt did over the second half is the sage approach.
Perhaps a sleeper in shallower redraft leagues, Pfaadt is now an in-demand pitching prospect in dynasty and draft and hold formats after he built up to 167 innings and had a very strong showing in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League. Among PCL pitchers with at least 50 innings, Pfaadt ranked third in ERA (2.63) and first in WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (24.8%). Nobody was all that close to him in WHIP or K-BB%, so it's safe to say that Pfaadt was the best pitcher in the league. The 6-foot-4 righty has a well-rounded pitch mix, featuring a mid-90s fastball with good ride, a plus slider with sharp bite and a solid changeup. Most scouts have him pegged as a No. 3 or No. 4 starter in real life, but the stats suggest there might be a little more here. He won't have any workload restrictions in 2023 and could crack the big-league rotation out of spring training.
More Fantasy News
Gives up two homers in loss
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 3, 2025
Pfaadt (5-2) took the loss against the Phillies on Saturday, allowing seven runs (six earned) on nine hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Secures fifth win
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 27, 2025
Pfaadt (5-1) allowed three runs (two earned) on nine hits and a walk over six-plus innings Sunday, striking out six and earning a win against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Win streak at four
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 23, 2025
Pfaadt (4-1) picked up the win Tuesday in a 5-1 victory over the Rays, allowing one run on four hits over six innings. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Another strong outing
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 16, 2025
Pfaadt (3-1) earned the win against the Marlins on Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks while striking out six across 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Baltimore in win
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 9, 2025
Pfaadt (2-1) earned the win Wednesday over the Orioles, allowing four hits and two walks over six scoreless innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Possible trade candidate
PArizona Diamondbacks
November 17, 2024
The Diamondbacks could trade Pfaadt during the offseason, per Will Sammon and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Pfaadt won't be eligible for his first year of arbitration until 2027, so he could be targeted as a cost-controlled starter. The 26-year-old righty had a 4.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 185:42 K:BB over 181.2 innings during 2024, though teams could view him more favorably due to a 3.58 xFIP.
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