Luke Raley

Luke Raley

30-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Seattle Mariners
2025 Fantasy Outlook
T-Mobile Park has swallowed up hitters in the past but Raley thrived there during his first season in Seattle, putting up a .901 OPS with 15 of his 22 long balls at home. The left-handed hitting Raley made just two starts versus southpaws all season, but he was a regular against righties and cranked 20 homers off them in just 373 plate appearances. With a career 31 percent strikeout rate, Raley is prone to droughts, and his counting stats will lag as a platoon player who will often be pinch-hit for late in games. That said, Raley does enough in the power and speed department versus righties to make him a handy deep-league option, especially with the added value of multi-position eligibility. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#293
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2025.
Idle against RHP on Monday
1BSeattle Mariners
June 30, 2025
Raley is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Royals.
Analysis
The left-handed-hitting Raley has gotten on base at a .364 clip and has provided three extra-base hits in eight games since returning from the injured list, but he'll nonetheless hit the bench for the second time in the Mariners' last five matchups with a right-handed pitcher (Michael Wacha). Raley still looks to be in good position to hold down a strong-side platoon role for the long haul, but he'll give way at first base Monday to Donovan Solano, who has made it difficult on the Mariners to take his bat out of the lineup. Since June 8, Solano has hit safely in 11 of 14 games while slashing .413/.449/.630 overall.
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Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
17
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+41%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+192%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+46%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .586 144 13 4 7 2 .198 .266 .321
Since 2023vs Right .828 835 114 40 114 25 .252 .340 .488
2025vs Left .273 19 0 0 1 1 .063 .211 .063
2025vs Right .797 99 13 3 13 1 .259 .378 .420
2024vs Left .570 82 8 2 4 1 .189 .259 .311
2024vs Right .830 373 50 20 54 10 .255 .333 .497
2023vs Left .741 43 5 2 2 0 .268 .302 .439
2023vs Right .834 363 51 17 47 14 .247 .337 .497
More Splits View More Split Stats
Minor League Splits View Minor League Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+35%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .825 468 64 23 67 19 .241 .331 .494
Since 2023Away .762 511 63 21 54 8 .246 .327 .435
2025Home .603 52 6 1 6 2 .205 .308 .295
2025Away .800 66 7 2 8 0 .245 .385 .415
2024Home .901 229 34 15 42 9 .264 .344 .557
2024Away .666 226 24 7 16 2 .222 .296 .369
2023Home .792 187 24 7 19 8 .222 .323 .469
2023Away .850 219 32 12 30 6 .272 .342 .508
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Stat Review
How does Luke Raley compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
9.3%
 
K Rate
22.9%
 
BABIP
.279
 
ISO
.134
 
AVG
.227
 
OBP
.350
 
SLG
.361
 
OPS
.711
 
wOBA
.325
 
Exit Velocity
91.6 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.9%
 
Barrels/PA
7.6%
 
Expected BA
.266
 
Expected SLG
.445
 
Sprint Speed
25.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
47.8%
 
Line Drive %
15.9%
 
Fly Ball %
36.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Did anyone have Raley stealing more bases in 2023 than Ozzie Albies, Jeremy Pena, or Adolis Garcia? Yea, that really happened. Not bad for a player who was out of options coming into camp and was nearly cut at the end of camp. Raley refused to let that happen, as he continued to hit becoming a more nimble version of Ji-Man Choi for the Rays as someone who could come in and generate offense against righties (133 wRC+, 17 homers) and play both first base and a corner outfield position. Raley is built like a tight end and is yet deceptively quick which is why the club permitted him to attempt 17 steals last season. He does have voluminous swing and miss in his game but is also quite capable of barreling up mistakes to all fields. His role in 2024 should be more of the same but the swing and miss in his game opens the door to more volatility in his outcomes than other players. Set expectations around 375-400 plate appearances, which takes him off mixed league draft plans.
Raley seemed destined for a bigger major-league opportunity when he was traded from the Dodgers to the Rays shortly before Opening Day, but he wound up with the exact number of plate appearances (72) for the second year in a row and similar production, as well. He crushed the ball again at Triple-A, which should be expected since he was 27 at the time (now 28) and repeating the level for a third time. Raley has good raw power and has shown elite sprint speed in the majors, but he might not ever make enough contact for it to matter. He's out of options, so it could be make-or-break time.
Raley made his big-league debut for the Dodgers last season and had a .538 OPS in 72 plate appearances, and he'll now joined the Rays after being traded for third time in his career. Raley spent most of last year at Triple-A Oklahoma City where he slashed .294/.393/.570 with 19 home runs, 69 RBI, 60 runs and eight stolen bases across 72 minor-league appearances He'll compete for a depth role in the outfield behind Tampa Bay's established group of Randy Arozarena, Kevin Kiermaier, Manuel Margot and Austin Meadows, with top prospect Josh Lowe also waiting in the wings. He could find a platoon role in the outfield if an opportunity emerges.
The Dodgers reacquired Raley in February of 2020; they traded him to the Twins in the Brian Dozier deal back in 2018 and got him back in the return for Kenta Maeda. Raley never joined the Dodgers' major-league roster in 2020, but at press time he remains on the club's 40-man roster. That's subject to change as he has to be on the short list for removal as a 26-year-old who had a 30.4 K% and 5.1 BB% at Triple-A. He bats from the left side and Raley has a little pop, but it's going to be tough for him to hit enough to clear the high bar that is required of corner outfielders at the MLB level.
A dislocated tendon in his left ankle held Raley to just 33 games with Triple-A Rochester, but that was enough for the Twins to shield him from the Rule 5 draft, putting him on the 40-man roster. Raley slashed .302/.362/.516 for the Red Wings. He was sidelined from mid-May until late September, rehabbing from surgery. Raley is a stocky 6-foot-4, 235 pounds but is athletic for his frame, totaling 19 triples in 2017-2018 and swiping 17 bases in 18 tries from 2017-2019. Still, his game is power though Raley needs to improve his plate skills to fully tap into it. He fanned 42 times to only seven walks in 138 plate appearances during his truncated 2019 campaign. Look for Raley to return to Rochester to work on contact. His lefty bat could make its way to Minnesota as a reserve if he cuts down on the strikeouts as he can play both corner outfield spots while filling in at center field in a pinch.
More Fantasy News
On bench against righty
1BSeattle Mariners
June 26, 2025
Raley is out of the lineup for Thursday's game against the Twins.
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Blasts first homer since return
1BSeattle Mariners
June 23, 2025
Raley went 1-for-2 with a three-run homer and a hit-by-pitch in Monday's victory over the Twins.
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Not in Sunday's lineup
1BSeattle Mariners
June 22, 2025
Raley is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Cubs.
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Strong performance in loss
1BSeattle Mariners
June 22, 2025
Raley went 3-for-4 with two RBI and one run scored in Saturday's 10-7 loss against the Cubs.
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Returns from 10-day IL
1BSeattle Mariners
June 20, 2025
The Mariners activated Raley (oblique) from the 10-day injured list Friday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
On fire in May
1BSeattle Mariners
May 22, 2024
Raley has a .396/.439/.679 slash line with four homers through 16 games in May.
Analysis
Raley's career in Seattle got off to a slow start as he posted a .505 OPS and 30.4 percent strikeout rate in March and April, but his bat has come alive this month. The 29-year-old opened the campaign with a semi-regular spot in the lineup, but he's now started 12 of the past 13 games. Raley has seen most of his action in the corner outfield but also has four starts at first base.
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