Sugano opened the season with a 3.04 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across his first 12 starts, but the warning signs were evident beneath the surface. A 4.43 xFIP reflected a limited strikeout total of 40 and 12 home runs allowed in 71 innings, setting the stage for decline. Over his final 86 innings, his ERA ballooned to 5.97 with a matching 1.57 WHIP. Although his strikeouts increased somewhat, additional walks and a jump in home run rate from 1.5 HR/9 to 2.2 HR/9 erased any benefit. Strikeout limitations were a known risk upon his arrival from Japan, though his reputation for elite control offered some optimism. That control largely carried over, but the inability to suppress home runs did not. Now 36, Sugano fits best as a back-end innings eater, and his early-season success should not be treated as something likely to return. Read Past Outlooks