Max Kepler
31-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.311
HR
4
RBI
18
R
16
SB
1
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kepler had the second-best season of his career even though it looked like his time in Minnesota was coming to an end at the start of 2023. Coming off a subpar season, Kepler was rumored to be on the trade block all offseason. He then hit .232 with three home runs and a .771 OPS in April. Something changed in May, as he hit .263 with 21 home runs and a .823 OPS the rest of the season. He returned to hitting more fly balls (44.3% from 34.4% in 2022) but luck may have played a factor with a career-best .288 BABIP and second-highest 16.1% HR/RB rate. Still, Kepler has always had chronically low BABIP rates, so he could sustain a slight uptick. Kepler's success came despite a dip in his usual strong command at the plate. He had just a 9.2% walk rate and a career-low 21.6% strike out rate, which were likely offset by continued above-average power as his Max Exit Velocity was in the 89th percentile (per Baseball Savant). His .751 OPS against lefties continued a recent improvement against southpaws, which could keep his bat in the lineup more. While his defensive metrics took an uncharacteristic decline (-0.8 fWAR), he's still viewed by the team as a plus defender. He should reprise as the starting right fielder and could find an early age-30s power surge. Read Past Outlooks
Homer, double in win
Kepler went 2-for-4 with a double, a solo homer and an additional run scored in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
Kepler led off the second inning with a solo shot off Jake Irvin, giving the Twins an early lead, before adding a double in the ninth and scoring what turned out to be a crucial insurance run on a Ryan Jeffers base hit. Kepler had cooled off a bit after a fast start to the year -- he came into Wednesday stuck in a 3-for-16 slump. The 31-year-old outfielder is still slashing an impressive .311/.368/.544 with four homers, 18 RBI and 16 runs scored across 115 plate appearances this season.
Kepler led off the second inning with a solo shot off Jake Irvin, giving the Twins an early lead, before adding a double in the ninth and scoring what turned out to be a crucial insurance run on a Ryan Jeffers base hit. Kepler had cooled off a bit after a fast start to the year -- he came into Wednesday stuck in a 3-for-16 slump. The 31-year-old outfielder is still slashing an impressive .311/.368/.544 with four homers, 18 RBI and 16 runs scored across 115 plate appearances this season.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
19
4
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+19%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .743 | 236 | 6 | 22 | .261 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .770 | 815 | 31 | 105 | .249 | ||||
2024vs Left | 1.050 | 20 | 1 | 3 | .400 | ||||
2024vs Right | .880 | 94 | 3 | 15 | .289 | ||||
2023vs Left | .751 | 97 | 4 | 9 | .250 | ||||
2023vs Right | .832 | 394 | 20 | 57 | .263 | ||||
2022vs Left | .677 | 119 | 1 | 10 | .243 | ||||
2022vs Right | .662 | 327 | 8 | 33 | .221 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+10%
OPS at Home
2024
+13%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .800 | 539 | 20 | 65 | .261 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .726 | 512 | 17 | 62 | .243 | ||||
2024Home | .964 | 59 | 2 | 9 | .333 | ||||
2024Away | .856 | 55 | 2 | 9 | .286 | ||||
2023Home | .895 | 230 | 12 | 34 | .291 | ||||
2023Away | .746 | 261 | 12 | 32 | .233 | ||||
2022Home | .668 | 250 | 6 | 22 | .213 | ||||
2022Away | .664 | 196 | 3 | 21 | .244 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Max Kepler compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.47BB Rate
7.9%K Rate
16.7%BABIP
.346ISO
.233AVG
.311OBP
.368SLG
.544OPS
.912wOBA
.393Exit Velocity
89.3 mphHard Hit Rate
31.8%Barrels/PA
5.2%Expected BA
.244Expected SLG
.401Sprint Speed
22.5 ft/secGround Ball %
30.6%Line Drive %
20.0%Fly Ball %
49.4%Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Max Kepler See More
The potent Atlanta Braves lineup has underperformed thus far in May, but with seven games this week Todd Zola projects them to break out in his Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Juan Soto has six games against right-handers this week, and he’s a player to keep an eye on. Todd Zola steps in the box for the Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Seattle inquired
The Mariners asked the Twins about Kepler's availability during recent trade negotiations, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
While Kepler's name was brought up as part of a larger trade scenario the two sides discussed, Morosi says it never gained traction before a deal which sent Jorge Polanco to Seattle was completed. Kepler has been floated as a potential trade piece with the Twins cutting payroll, but he now seems more likely than not to stay put.
While Kepler's name was brought up as part of a larger trade scenario the two sides discussed, Morosi says it never gained traction before a deal which sent Jorge Polanco to Seattle was completed. Kepler has been floated as a potential trade piece with the Twins cutting payroll, but he now seems more likely than not to stay put.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Kepler hit just nine home runs last year and saw a sharp decrease in power even though his other stats were mostly in line with his career. He did struggle with injuries as he played just 115 games missing time due to a sore knee, broken toe and quad injury, though none seem like long-term worries. Kepler again showed outstanding command at the plate with a 11% walk rate and a career-best 14.8% strike out rate. However, he had a career-low 34.4% FB%. He's still capable of above-average power as his Max Exit Velocity was in the 98th percentile (per Baseball Savant), but that only translated to a career-low .348 SLG. He profiles as a candidate to benefit from the ban on shifts since he's a pull hitter who hits too many ground balls. His 2019 season featured a Pull% of 50.8% compared to just 41.7% last season. His defense remains a plus as he was a Gold Glove finalist in right field. He also had a better OPS last season against lefties, which could mitigate concerns he may be platooned since he's had sharp platoon splits over his career. Still, four years later, it's looking like Kepler's 36-home run 2019 season was an outlier and he'll be hard pressed to keep an everyday job if he can't translate his plate discipline into better production.
More Fantasy News
On bench again
Kepler is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Out against left-hander
Kepler is not in the lineup for Monday's game against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting down versus lefty
Kepler isn't in the Twins' lineup for Saturday's game against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out Tuesday
Kepler is not in the lineup for Tuesday's contest versus the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting against lefty
Kepler is not listed as a starter for Friday's matchup against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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