Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Civale was a coveted trade acquisition for Tampa Bay at the 2023 deadline, and he was dealt to Milwaukee for little fanfare in 2024. He had a 5.07 ERA in 17 starts with the Rays but had more success for the Brewers with a 3.53 ERA in 13 outings. The right-hander dipped into his bag and broke out the slider following the trade, which was a pitch he didn't utilize while with Tampa Bay. A 4.78 FIP while with Milwaukee indicates he may have been fortunate to get those results and been the beneficiary of the club's strong defense. Civale threw a career-high 161 innings during 2024 and has limited fantasy upside with a career K/9 of 8.2, but he could round out a rotation in deeper leagues if he's able to continue the success he had with the Brewers during the second half of 2024. He was reportedly a candidate to be non-tendered early in the offseason, but he's likely to begin 2025 in the rotation after Milwaukee tendered him a contract. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#372
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $8 million contract with the Brewers in January of 2025.
Pitches well against Red Sox
PMilwaukee Brewers
May 28, 2025
Civale allowed one run on three hits and a walk while striking out four in five innings Tuesday against the Red Sox. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Civale blanked the Red Sox through five innings while tossing 75 pitches. He returned for the sixth and was met with a ground-rule double from Ceddanne Rafaela, which ended his night. Rafaela would come around to score for the game's first run and leave Civale in line for the loss. Still, it was a needed bounce-back outing for Civale, who came in having allowed seven runs and four homers in seven innings this season. Civale lines up to make his third road start of the campaign next week against the Reds.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2025 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2024 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2023 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
calculator icon
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
73
Last 10 Games
73
Last 5 Games
73
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .244 613 158 44 137 32 1 24
Since 2023vs Right .246 630 116 45 141 23 0 21
2025vs Left .217 26 6 2 5 2 0 3
2025vs Right .273 24 3 2 6 1 0 1
2024vs Left .254 333 86 26 77 16 0 15
2024vs Right .250 356 63 26 81 15 0 14
2023vs Left .234 254 66 16 55 14 1 6
2023vs Right .237 250 50 17 54 7 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-80%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.74 1.15 161.1 8 8 0 9.0 2.3 1.2
Since 2023Away 4.43 1.35 134.0 7 7 0 7.5 3.2 1.6
2025Home 1.80 0.80 5.0 0 0 0 7.2 1.8 0.0
2025Away 9.00 1.57 7.0 0 1 0 6.4 3.9 5.1
2024Home 3.35 1.17 94.0 5 6 0 8.8 2.3 1.5
2024Away 5.78 1.49 67.0 3 3 0 7.7 3.8 1.7
2023Home 4.48 1.16 62.1 3 2 0 9.5 2.5 0.7
2023Away 2.40 1.17 60.0 4 3 0 7.5 2.4 1.1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.25
 
K/9
6.8
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
3.0
 
Fastball
92.0 mph
 
ERA
6.00
 
WHIP
1.25
 
BABIP
.220
 
GB/FB
0.32
 
Left On Base
74.5%
 
Exit Velocity
82.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
10.6%
 
Spin Rate
2538 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.7%
 
Swinging Strike
7.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Civale See More
Top MLB Betting Picks for May 27: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
3 days ago
Dig into the top MLB betting picks today as Michael Rathburn identifies his three best bets for Tuesday's action, including a look at Astros ace, Hunter Brown.
MLB DFS Pitcher & Team Stacks Guide for Tuesday, May 27
3 days ago
Ryan Pohle takes a deeper look into team stacks and pitchers for Tuesday's MLB slate, including Houston's Hunter Brown in a matchup against the Athletics.
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Top Plays and Strategy for Tuesday, May 27
3 days ago
Tuesday's top MLB DFS options on FanDuel include the surging Rafael Devers as the Boston Red Sox take on the Milwaukee Brewers.
MLB DFS Picks: DraftKings Top Plays and Strategy for Tuesday, May 27
3 days ago
Tuesday's top MLB DFS options on DraftKings include Jackson Chourio as the Milwaukee Brewers host the Boston Red Sox in a potentially high-scoring affair.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
5 days ago
Read up on the latest NL roster updates, including a few decent NL hitters set to return soon.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Civale was traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo straight up at the deadline. His strikeout rate jumped from 19 percent to 29.3 percent and his walk rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 5.6 percent after the trade. Don't downgrade him because of his 5.36 ERA in 10 starts with the Rays. He had a 3.26 xFIP over that unlucky stretch and his 23.7 K-BB% in 45.1 innings after the trade was an elite mark. In fact it was similar to his new teammate Zach Eflin's 23.0 K-BB% on the season, and Civale happens to have almost an identical repertoire to Eflin. Perhaps that's why the Rays targeted him. Civale missed almost two months early in the season with an oblique strain and still tallied 133.1 innings, including his rehab assignment. He shouldn't have any notable workload restrictions in 2024.
Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form.
Civale came into 2021 with a lot of hype, but ended it with more questions than answers. The young hurler re-worked his repertoire in the winter with a desire to go with more four-seamers than two-seam fastballs while adding a split-change to give him six pitches by which to attack hitters. Early on, things went well as Civale was 10-2 in his first 15 starts with a 3.32 ERA and 1.06 WHIP while holding opponents to a .226 average. A finger sprain shut him down in mid-June and kept him out until September where he closed the season 2-3 with a 5.74 ERA (6.85 FIP), 1.31 WHIP and .257 opponents' average. The fastball was particularly painful for Civale as the league slugged over .600 off both the two- and four-seam fastballs, and even the splitter had a .484 SLG against, so the transition work is by no means done. His 2022 success hinges upon that transition getting over the speed bumps.
A popular sleeper pick heading into 2020, Civale looked early on like he was headed for that breakout, posting a 2.97 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 32:3 K:BB over his first five starts spanning 34 innings. However, things took a turn for the worse and an eight-run blowup on the second-to-last day of the season capped a disappointing stretch run, bringing Civale's final ERA to 4.74. The estimators are kinder to his performance, putting his deserved ERA closer to 4.00 over his total of 12 starts. Civale does not light up the radar gun and there may not be much room for growth when it comes to strikeouts (22.1 K% last season), but he has a diverse pitch mix -- sinker, cutter, curveball, slider, changeup, four-seamer -- and good command. He pitches in a favorable division and for a team that has had success grooming its young starters. It's not a flashy skill set, but Civale is a nice staff filler with ratio upside.
Injuries to Cleveland's rotation opened the door for Civale to make his major-league debut in 2019 and he enjoyed quite a bit of success. His 92.6 mph sinking fastball doesn't overpower hitters and he does not have a true wipeout pitch, but he can change speed and command his pitches well enough to be effective. Although 2019 provided a limited sample size for the right-hander, he pitched five innings or more in nine of his 10 starts. The 24-year-old's performance will likely afford him an opportunity to compete for a starting role in 2020. Civale impressed in his first glimpse of major-league action and could be a fantasy sleeper in 2020; the low strikeout rate will understandably drive many away, but if you squint you can see a bit of Kyle Hendricks upside here. It helps that he pitches in the weak AL Central and has a top-five defense behind him.
More Fantasy News
Inefficient in return
PMilwaukee Brewers
May 22, 2025
Civale (hamstring) didn't factor into the decision in Thursday's 8-5 win over the Pirates after striking out three batters and allowing two earned runs on four hits and two walks in four innings.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Returning from IL to start Thursday
PMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
May 22, 2025
Civale (hamstring) will be activated from the 15-day injured list to start Thursday's game in Pittsburgh, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Scratched from rehab start
PMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
May 21, 2025
Civale (hamstring) won't make his rehab start at Triple-A Nashville on Wednesday as originally planned, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Making another rehab start
PMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
May 20, 2025
Civale (hamstring) is scheduled to make the third start of his rehab assignment Tuesday with Triple-A Nashville, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Pitches well again in rehab start
PMilwaukee Brewers
Hamstring
May 14, 2025
Civale (hamstring) tossed five shutout innings in his second rehab start with Triple-A Nashville on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance to be non-tendered
PMilwaukee Brewers
November 1, 2024
According to Adam McCalvy of MLB.com, the Brewers could non-tender Civale during the offseason.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander was acquired from Tampa Bay at the summer trade deadline and pitched well in 14 regular-season starts for Milwaukee with a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 65:25 K:BB across 74 innings. Civale is entering his final year of arbitration eligibility and will receive a sizable raise from last season's $4.9 million salary. Even if the Brewers tender him a contract for 2025, the organization could still offload him via trade this winter.
See All MLB Rumors