Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#333
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Guardians in January of 2023.
Returns with scoreless outing
PCleveland Guardians
June 2, 2023
Civale allowed four hits and two walks over five shutout frames during Friday's loss to Minnesota. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
Civale returned from the injured list and made his first start since April 7. He worked around danger multiple times but turned in his second scoreless outing of the season. His velocity was up across the board compared to his first two starts, including his fastball which averaged 92.5 mph. Civale will carry a 2.04 ERA into his next outing, which is lined up to come at home against the Red Sox next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
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8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .224 465 116 29 96 20 1 18
Since 2021vs Right .256 510 93 28 120 25 3 19
2023vs Left .212 34 5 1 7 4 0 0
2023vs Right .242 36 7 3 8 0 0 0
2022vs Left .240 184 52 13 40 10 0 7
2022vs Right .257 223 46 9 53 13 0 7
2021vs Left .215 247 59 15 49 6 1 11
2021vs Right .257 251 40 16 59 12 3 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-37%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 4.47 1.21 106.2 9 8 0 8.5 2.1 1.7
Since 2021Away 3.88 1.09 132.1 9 4 0 7.3 2.2 1.2
2023Home 6.35 1.76 5.2 0 1 0 7.9 1.6 0.0
2023Away 0.00 0.75 12.0 1 0 0 5.3 2.3 0.0
2022Home 3.80 1.07 45.0 4 3 0 9.8 1.8 1.6
2022Away 5.88 1.29 52.0 1 3 0 8.5 2.3 1.0
2021Home 4.82 1.27 56.0 5 4 0 7.6 2.4 1.9
2021Away 3.03 1.00 68.1 7 1 0 6.8 2.1 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
6.1
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
91.9 mph
 
ERA
2.04
 
WHIP
1.08
 
BABIP
.284
 
GB/FB
1.29
 
Left On Base
78.9%
 
Exit Velocity
82.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.2%
 
Spin Rate
2634 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.7%
 
Swinging Strike
8.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Civale See More
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4 days ago
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17 days ago
Erik Siegrist sifts through the available talent in the American League and thinks Bo Naylor offers a solution for the Guardians' catching woes.
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42 days ago
Erik Halterman discusses this week's risers and fallers, noting plenty of outfielders like Josh Lowe are rising.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Civale came into 2021 with a lot of hype, but ended it with more questions than answers. The young hurler re-worked his repertoire in the winter with a desire to go with more four-seamers than two-seam fastballs while adding a split-change to give him six pitches by which to attack hitters. Early on, things went well as Civale was 10-2 in his first 15 starts with a 3.32 ERA and 1.06 WHIP while holding opponents to a .226 average. A finger sprain shut him down in mid-June and kept him out until September where he closed the season 2-3 with a 5.74 ERA (6.85 FIP), 1.31 WHIP and .257 opponents' average. The fastball was particularly painful for Civale as the league slugged over .600 off both the two- and four-seam fastballs, and even the splitter had a .484 SLG against, so the transition work is by no means done. His 2022 success hinges upon that transition getting over the speed bumps.
A popular sleeper pick heading into 2020, Civale looked early on like he was headed for that breakout, posting a 2.97 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 32:3 K:BB over his first five starts spanning 34 innings. However, things took a turn for the worse and an eight-run blowup on the second-to-last day of the season capped a disappointing stretch run, bringing Civale's final ERA to 4.74. The estimators are kinder to his performance, putting his deserved ERA closer to 4.00 over his total of 12 starts. Civale does not light up the radar gun and there may not be much room for growth when it comes to strikeouts (22.1 K% last season), but he has a diverse pitch mix -- sinker, cutter, curveball, slider, changeup, four-seamer -- and good command. He pitches in a favorable division and for a team that has had success grooming its young starters. It's not a flashy skill set, but Civale is a nice staff filler with ratio upside.
Injuries to Cleveland's rotation opened the door for Civale to make his major-league debut in 2019 and he enjoyed quite a bit of success. His 92.6 mph sinking fastball doesn't overpower hitters and he does not have a true wipeout pitch, but he can change speed and command his pitches well enough to be effective. Although 2019 provided a limited sample size for the right-hander, he pitched five innings or more in nine of his 10 starts. The 24-year-old's performance will likely afford him an opportunity to compete for a starting role in 2020. Civale impressed in his first glimpse of major-league action and could be a fantasy sleeper in 2020; the low strikeout rate will understandably drive many away, but if you squint you can see a bit of Kyle Hendricks upside here. It helps that he pitches in the weak AL Central and has a top-five defense behind him.
More Fantasy News
Back from injured list
PCleveland Guardians
June 2, 2023
The Guardians activated Civale (oblique) from the 15-day injured list Friday, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to return from IL on Friday
PCleveland Guardians
Oblique
May 30, 2023
The Guardians will activate Civale (oblique) from the 15-day injured list Friday to have him start against the Twins, Joe Noga of The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Records seven Ks in rehab start
PCleveland Guardians
Oblique
May 29, 2023
Civale (oblique) permitted four earned runs on six hits and three walks and struck out seven over 4.2 innings in his rehab start for Triple-A Columbus on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Getting another rehab start
PCleveland Guardians
Oblique
May 28, 2023
Civale (oblique) is slated to make his third rehab start for Triple-A Columbus on Sunday, Ryan Lewis of the Akron Beacon Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out five in rehab start
PCleveland Guardians
Oblique
May 24, 2023
Civale (oblique) made his second rehab start Tuesday with Triple-A Columbus, covering 3.1 innings and striking out five while allowing two runs on five hits and one walk.
ANALYSIS
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