Adrian Sampson

Adrian Sampson

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Sampson turned in a solid if not spectacular season in 2022. The righty appeared in 21 games and made a career-high 19 starts, compiling a 3.11 ERA and 1.23 WHIP across 104.1 total innings. That ERA was backed by a solid 3.79 FIP, marking the first time in his career that Sampson registered a FIP below 5.00. Of course, that track record is reason for some skepticism heading into 2023. Another red flag is Sampson's inability to miss bats, as he posted a 6.30 K/9 in 2022 and has a 6.73 mark for his career. Entering his age-31 season, Sampson should compete for a spot in a thin Chicago rotation, but he's certainly no guarantee to match his numbers from last year. Fantasy managers may want to stream him in certain spots if he continues to keep his ERA down, though that may be about the extent of his fantasy value. Sampson could also shift into a long-relief role, which would further diminish his appeal. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#594
ADP
$Agreed to a one-year, $1.9 million contract with the Cubs in November of 2022, avoiding arbitration.
Reaches deal to avoid arbitration
PChicago Cubs
November 18, 2022
Sampson agreed to a one-year, $1.9 million contract with the Cubs on Friday, avoiding arbitration, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Sampson was a bright spot in the Cubs' rotation last season, pitching to a 3.11 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 104.1 innings. The strikeouts lag behind and the estimators suggest Sampson was pitching well above his head last season, but he's earned the chance to compete for a rotation spot in spring training.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
79
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Adrian Sampson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Adrian Sampson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .229 285 47 21 60 13 1 6
Since 2020vs Right .266 288 54 14 71 11 1 12
2022vs Left .230 215 32 15 46 9 1 3
2022vs Right .276 213 41 12 55 9 1 7
2021vs Left .226 70 15 6 14 4 0 3
2021vs Right .235 75 13 2 16 2 0 5
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.29 1.10 68.1 1 4 0 5.5 1.6 1.6
Since 2020Away 2.78 1.28 71.1 4 3 0 7.4 2.9 0.8
2022Home 3.71 1.20 51.0 1 3 0 4.8 1.8 1.4
2022Away 2.53 1.26 53.1 3 2 0 7.8 2.9 0.3
2021Home 2.08 0.81 17.1 0 1 0 7.8 1.0 2.1
2021Away 3.50 1.33 18.0 1 1 0 6.5 3.0 2.0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Adrian Sampson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.70
 
K/9
6.3
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
92.2 mph
 
ERA
3.11
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.291
 
GB/FB
1.17
 
Left On Base
77.2%
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.2%
 
Spin Rate
2064 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.6%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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More Fantasy News
Diagnosed with right groin issue
PChicago Cubs
Groin
October 5, 2022
Sampson was removed from Wednesday's start against the Reds as a precautionary measure due to right groin tightness, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with apparent injury
PChicago Cubs
Undisclosed
October 5, 2022
Sampson exited Wednesday's start against the Reds in the bottom of the third inning due to an apparent injury, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses seven innings
PChicago Cubs
September 30, 2022
Sampson (4-5) yielded one run on three hits and two walks over seven innings Friday, striking out six and earning a win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Another great start Sunday
PChicago Cubs
September 25, 2022
Sampson (3-5) earned the victory Sunday in Pittsburgh, striking out three in six innings while allowing a run on four hits.
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Another quality start Tuesday
PChicago Cubs
September 21, 2022
Sampson didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 2-1 win over the Marlins, allowing one run on eight hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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