Alex Verdugo

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Atlanta Braves AAA

2025 Stats

AVG

.000

RBI

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2025 Fantasy Outlook

Expectations for Verdugo going to New York were high, as the ballpark and lineup appeared to be a great fit for him on paper. Yet, the final counting stats were very similar to his 2023 numbers while his batting average plummeted 31 points to a career-worst .233. The Yankees did give Verdugo more playing time against lefties than he had with Boston in 2023, but he actually hit them slightly better in 2024. The problem was a career-worst .235 average against righties, which was 34 points lower than any other previous season. Verdugo does not swing and miss often, but his hard hit rate has declined each of the past four seasons, while his bat speed finished just above the 10th percentile in the first season that metric was made public by StatCast. Verdugo was given the volume of playing time as his defensive skills are still a plus, and he will ultimately find a new home with a club who values his defense and his ability to put the ball in play. However, Verdugo needs to end the five-year decline in production to be anything more than a late-round fantasy option in 2025. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

From Preseason

#420

ADP

League AAA

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'0"

Weight 192

DOB 5/15/1996

Born Tucson, AZ

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2014 LAD

Inks $1.5 million deal with Atlanta

OFAtlanta Braves AAA

March 20, 2025

Atlanta signed Verdugo to a one-year, $1.5 million contract and optioned him to Triple-A Gwinnett, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.

ANALYSIS
Verdugo's free-agent market has been quiet all winter, but he's finally managed to land a major-league deal a week before Opening Day. It's not clear when Verdugo might be able to play, and by the time he's ready Ronald Acuna (knee) may have already rejoined the Atlanta lineup, so the 28-year-old could be viewed purely as corner outfield insurance by Atlanta. Verdugo slashed only .233/.291/.356 across 149 regular-season games for the Yankees in 2024.

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Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2023

+22%

OPS vs RHP

2025

No Stats

2024

+13%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+30%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2023vs Left	.600	353	35	3	21	4	.224	.311	.289
Since 2023vs Right	.732	870	120	23	94	3	.257	.306	.427
2025vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024vs Left	.592	192	18	2	8	1	.228	.311	.281
2024vs Right	.670	429	56	11	53	1	.235	.282	.388
2023vs Left	.608	161	17	1	13	3	.220	.311	.298
2023vs Right	.793	441	64	12	41	2	.279	.329	.464
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2023

+5%

OPS at Home

2025

No Stats

2024

+6%

OPS on Road

2023

+15%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2023Home	.713	610	77	14	57	4	.250	.314	.399
Since 2023Away	.678	613	78	12	58	3	.245	.301	.377
2025Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Home	.627	300	30	7	29	2	.221	.284	.343
2024Away	.665	321	44	6	32	0	.243	.297	.368
2023Home	.796	310	47	7	28	2	.279	.342	.454
2023Away	.692	292	34	6	26	3	.248	.305	.387
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Prospect Rankings History

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

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2022

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2016

2015

Acquired from the rival Red Sox this past December in exchange for three pitchers, Verdugo is joining a Yankees team that will be hungry to bounce back from last year's mediocre 82-80 finish. Maybe a change of scenery will help him individually -- Verdugo always wore the stink of being part of the Mookie Betts trade in Boston -- but there aren't many indicators in his current offensive profile suggesting a fantasy breakthrough is coming. Since posting a career-high .844 OPS during the COVID-shortened 2020 season, the outfielder has registered a mediocre .751 OPS while averaging only 14 home runs for every 162 games played. He finished in the 49th percentile last year in average exit velocity and was just 29th percentile in hard-hit rate. Lacking both projectable power and projectable speed, he'll need his new teammates in the Bronx to bolster his counting-stats production.

Verdugo hit .280 with 74 RBI and 75 runs in 2022, but it was a largely disappointing campaign as his power and on-base percentage dropped. He finished 2022 with a 103 wRC+ and hit only 11 home runs in 152 games. He also saw his walk rate drop two percentage points to 6.6 percent, though he similarly cut his strikeout rate to 13.4 percent. Verdugo's defense has never been a strength, but he took a step back last season and finished with minus-five OAA. He handled left-handed pitchers better in 2022 but saw a sharp drop against righties, which led to reduced production overall. Verdugo could push for a .300 average if he can bounce back against RHP in 2023, but his below-average power and lack of production on the basepaths (one steal last year) limits his appeal to modest RBI and run totals.

Verdugo continues to make the most of the opportunity provided to him since he was traded from the Dodgers to the Red Sox. Where he struggled to stay in the lineup in Los Angeles due to depth and matchups, he has excelled in Boston as an everyday player while the club has lived with his faults. He has mashed righties since joining Boston at a .316/.384/.505 clip, but the issues against lefties have become more pronounced with increased exposure as he has hit .254/.300/.322 against them over the past two seasons. His defense has its moments, but he has otherwise been a below-average outfielder, though the bat has been enough to keep him in games despite those challenges. His high-contact abilities should allow him to continue to hit for a high average and the Boston lineup provides him both run-scoring and RBI opportunities aplenty. Whether or not he hits over .300 will hinge upon how he handles lefties in 2022.

If you're sick of hearing about the Mookie Betts trade, just wait for the follow-up to Verdugo's first season in Boston. The subtitle of that sequel should be "Regression City." No player -- aside from perhaps DJ LeMahieu -- outperformed their Statcast expected outcomes to a greater extent than Verdugo. In fact, the differentials between his xBA, xSLG and xwOBA and his actual marks were among the greatest gaps in the league (in all three categories). Verdugo puts bat to ball with consistency and the Red Sox will play him against lefties since Verdugo can handle himself fine against same-handed pitching. Verdugo is far from a burner but has enough speed to approach double-digit steals in a full season. With middling power, Verdugo will be reliant on a high average to do all the heavy lifting when it comes to his fantasy value. He is unlikely to hurt you, but the total package here is modest.

Verdugo impressed in his first extended big-league opportunity in 2019, demonstrating hitting acumen that belies his youth. Among hitters with at least 300 plate appearances, the 23-year-old's 13.0 K% was 21st-best in the league while his 85.2% contact rate ranked 30th. Verdugo doesn't take many walks -- his 6.9 BB% last season was below league average -- but his 6.6% swinging-strike rate is indicative of a keen eye at the plate. While the lefty has thus far demonstrated only average power, his hard-hit rate portends greater long-ball potential with an increase in the 8.8-degree launch angle he posted last season. Verdugo missed most of August and September with related oblique and back injuries, and it was reported in mid-December that Verdugo had yet to resume baseball activities. With his outstanding batting profile, and now with the Red Sox after headlining the return for Mookie Betts, it's not hard to imagine Verdugo blossoming into a .300-plus hitter in the near future.

Verdugo may finally be set for regular playing time in Los Angeles. A second-round pick in 2014, he has been at least 8% better than league average at the plate at every stop on the farm. The hit tool is his carrying tool -- Verdugo has consistently posted low K-rates, never exceeding even 13% above rookie ball, and high batting averages. He's also shown an ability to take a walk (9.0 BB% at Triple-A last season), along with decent in-game power and a splash of speed. His success hasn't translated to the highest level yet, but it's unwise to put any real stock into Verdugo's MLB numbers given how sporadic his opportunities have been. While Verdugo has a fair bit of prospect fatigue, it's important to remember that he's still just 22. The trade that sent Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp to Cincinnati appears to have opened a spot for Verdugo, which should make him a popular late-round target as a fourth or fifth outfielder in mixed leagues.

Verdugo ranked 14th in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League with a .314 batting average and ranked third with a 1.04 BB/K. He also happened to be the youngest hitter in the league. Verdugo has a prototypical all-fields approach. His hit tool is elite, nobody questions that. The one knock that has followed him all the way up the ladder is his inability to hit for enough pop to profile nicely in an outfield corner. However, we’ve seen other hit-over-power prospects -- Jesse Winker comes to mind -- show up in the majors and display power that seemed dormant in the minors. Given Verdugo’s age and 6-foot, 205-pound frame, it seems reasonable to expect him to develop into 20-homer hitter. He will never be much of a threat on the bases, so a lot of his fantasy value will be dependent on where he hits in a loaded Dodgers lineup. He’ll likely be held down to start the year, but should be summoned after a month when the Dodgers have gained an extra year of control.

Verdugo has been pushed aggressively by the Dodgers, as the 20-year-old center fielder has already completed a full season at Double-A and was one of the youngest players at that level in 2016. The left-handed outfielder more than held his own, hitting .273/.336/.407 with 13 home runs and 63 RBI in 126 games. The Dodgers expect the 6-foot, 205-pound Verdugo to develop even more power as he matures and fills out. Curiously, his speed on the basepaths was virtually non-existent. After swiping 14 bags in 2015, he stole just two bases this past season. A former pitcher, Verdugo has a cannon for an arm, and was among the leaders in outfield assists over the past couple of seasons. Since the Dodgers have not been shy about fast-tracking their prospects, expect Verdugo to begin the 2017 campaign at Triple-A and perhaps even make his big-league debut before the season is completed.

A second-round pick in 2014, Verdugo burst out of the gates to the tune of .353/.421/.511 that year and firmly entrenched himself as one of the team's top position prospects. Last year saw him make the big leap from rookie ball to full-season action, and though the results weren't quite as good, a .311/.340/.441 line in 512 at-bats split between Low-A and High-A is still pretty solid. Verdugo's top qualities include his athleticism and raw ability, as though most saw him as a pitcher coming out of High School, the Dodgers like the upside they see in his bat. He can also play center field, which is always a plus. Verdugo walked in just 3.9% of his plate appearances last year, but he showed very good ability against LHP even though he hits from the same side, as Verdugo hit .340 versus southpaws in Low-A. Verdugo doesn't turn 20 until May, but though he's at least two years out from a big league debut, his skill set should be of serious interest in dynasty leagues. He could very well end this year in Double-A where he'll be all of 20 years old.

Verdugo could have been developed as a hitter or a pitcher, but the early returns certainly justify the Dodgers’ decision to deploy the 18-year-old lefty as an outfielder. It would have been difficult to predict the 18-year-old, taken with the 62nd pick in the 2014 draft, would get off to such an impressive start to his career. Verdugo slashed .347/.423/.518 with three home runs and eight steals in 196 plate appearances in the Arizona rookie league, while learning to play center field on a full-time basis. After Corey Seager and Joc Pederson, Verdugo might have the most upside of any of the Dodgers' position player in the minors. Those in dynasty leaguers who invest in Verdugo should be prepared to see some bumps along the way, as he will probably struggle for stretches in 2015. But he should be treated as a first-round talent, as the potential does not match his status as a second-round pick.

More Fantasy News

No MLB offers in free agency

OFFree Agent AAA

March 18, 2025

Verdugo has yet to receive an offer for a major-league deal since becoming a free agent in November, a league source tells Brendan Kuty of The Athletic.