Alexis Diaz

Alexis Diaz

28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Cincinnati Reds
15-Day IL
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 4/8/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Diaz's performance was rocky at times in 2024, but his stability as the Reds closer was always high. The right-hander finished with 28 saves in 32 chances and a 77.8 percent team save share, both of which ranked ninth in the league. The velocity on his four-seamer (94 mph) dipped for the second consecutive year, but the pitch yielded better results than his slider, which was reflected in its usage (58 percent - a +9.5% difference from 2023). Diaz's perennially poor walk rate (12.8 percent) and plummeting K-rate (22.7 percent) attributed to a higher WHIP (1.30), which may not sit well with new manager Tito Francona. However, working in Diaz's favor for 2025 is the current lack of competition within his own bullpen. He'll likely open the season as Cincinnati's closer, but his leash may not be as long as it was under David Bell. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#199
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.5 million contract with the Reds in January of 2025.
Goes on IL
PCincinnati Reds
Hamstring
March 26, 2025
The Reds placed Diaz (hamstring) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Diaz's placement on the IL is retroactive to Monday, so he could be activated as soon as April 8, assuming he's fully moved past his hamstring injury by then. The 28-year-old has notched at least 25 saves in consecutive seasons, but he struggled to keep his walks in check in both years and saw his strikeout rate dip to 22.7 percent in 2024. The control problems cropped up again this spring, which put Diaz's status as the Reds' closer on shaky ground even before he was diagnosed with hamstring inflammation. The Reds are seemingly prepared to take a committee approach to the closer position to begin the season, and if a reliever is quickly able to gain the trust of manager Terry Francona in the late innings, Diaz may not be in the mix for save chances once he's healthy.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .187 258 75 37 39 10 0 5
Since 2023vs Right .203 270 66 30 47 9 0 5
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .200 114 27 21 18 4 0 4
2024vs Right .211 128 28 10 24 5 0 2
2023vs Left .176 144 48 16 21 6 0 1
2023vs Right .197 142 38 20 23 4 0 3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-36%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-26%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.28 1.39 61.0 6 6 29 10.2 5.0 0.9
Since 2023Away 2.73 1.09 62.2 5 5 36 10.3 4.7 0.6
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.61 1.50 27.1 1 2 15 8.2 5.6 1.0
2024Away 3.41 1.10 29.0 1 3 13 9.3 4.3 0.9
2023Home 4.01 1.31 33.2 5 4 14 11.8 4.5 0.8
2023Away 2.14 1.07 33.2 4 2 23 11.2 5.1 0.3
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Diaz emerged last year as one of the best closers for fantasy purposes, boasting nine wins and 37 saves with solid ratios and a 30% strikeout rate. While his save total was fourth highest in the majors, Diaz only accounted for 69.8% of the Reds' 53 saves. Cincinnati was more competitive last year, but led the league in one-run games and recorded a save in a league-leading 64.6% of their 82 wins. As such, expecting Diaz to approach the 40-save mark again in 2024 might be a mistake, especially given the 27-year-old's perennially high walk rate. Diaz did adjust his pitch usage, opting to throw far more sliders (51.5% usage) than he did in 2022 (35.2%). It was one of the best sliders in baseball per Statcast Run Value (16), while his four-seamer lost some velocity (-1.2 mph) and wasn't as effective. Diaz also faded down the stretch, possibly due to a career-high 71 appearances. Look for him to be one of the top 10 closers off the board, but don't lock in a repeat of last season's stats.
Diaz bypassed Triple-A entirely, making the jump from Double-A to the majors last season after making the Reds roster out of spring training. Edwin's younger brother quickly emerged as a key bullpen piece for Cincinnati, going from middle relief to high leverage by mid May. Both his fastball (65% usage) and slider (35%) were extremely effective, as his xBA was in the 99th percentile while his strikeout and whiff rates were also elite. Not all was great, as the rookie had a high walk rate (12.9%), and an extreme fly ball percentage (54.5%) that yielded a .178 BABIP that was second lowest among qualified relievers. Ultimately, Diaz was a stabilizing presence within an otherwise inconsistent bullpen. He should be the favorite to close games for the Reds to start 2023, but keep in mind David Bell has deployed a committee the last two years and several injured relievers (Antone, Sims, Santillan) will be returning next season.
More Fantasy News
Out with hamstring injury
PCincinnati Reds
Hamstring
March 23, 2025
Diaz was diagnosed with hamstring inflammation Sunday and will begin the season on the injured list, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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May not close games
PCincinnati Reds
March 23, 2025
Diaz had command issues in an outing against White Sox minor leaguers Friday, Gordon Wittenmyer of the Cincinnati Enquirer reports. In a subsequent report from Wittenmyer, Reds manager Terry Francona was not ready to endorse Diaz as the Reds' closer.
ANALYSIS
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To pitch in minors game Tuesday
PCincinnati Reds
March 17, 2025
Diaz will pitch in a minor-league game Tuesday, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ugly outing Saturday
PCincinnati Reds
March 16, 2025
Diaz allowed five runs on three hits and three walks while striking out one over a third of an inning in Saturday's Cactus League game against Kansas City.
ANALYSIS
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Makes spring debut
PCincinnati Reds
March 10, 2025
Diaz (hamstring) allowed one hit and one walk over a scoreless inning in Sunday's spring game against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Interest from Washington, Tampa Bay
PCincinnati Reds
December 19, 2024
The Nationals and Rays are among the teams to show trade interest in Diaz, Jack Azoulay-Haron of MLB Nerds reports.
ANALYSIS
Azoulay-Haron writes of Diaz that the Reds "have been shopping him around." Diaz, 28, had a disappointing 3.99 ERA and 55:31 K:BB over 56.1 frames in 2024. He is projected to earn around $4 million in 2025 in his first year of arbitration eligibility.
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