2025 Stats
W-L
1-3
ERA
5.06
WHIP
1.21
K
28
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
No-decision in quality start
Falter did not factor into the decision of Saturday's game against the Padres, allowing one run on two hits and two walks while striking out six over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
Falter scatted four baserunners over seven strong innings, with his only blemish coming on a Manny Machado solo homer in the seventh frame. It was Falter's third quality start of the season and the second time he has made it through seven innings. He has a 5.06 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 28:11 K:BB across 37.1 innings, and his next start is slated for next weekend at home against Atlanta.
Falter scatted four baserunners over seven strong innings, with his only blemish coming on a Manny Machado solo homer in the seventh frame. It was Falter's third quality start of the season and the second time he has made it through seven innings. He has a 5.06 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 28:11 K:BB across 37.1 innings, and his next start is slated for next weekend at home against Atlanta.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-50%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .323 | 37 | 12 | 70 | 11 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .253 | 148 | 64 | 196 | 29 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .406 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .204 | 22 | 8 | 21 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .277 | 19 | 6 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .255 | 78 | 39 | 105 | 14 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .364 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .269 | 48 | 17 | 70 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-21%
ERA at Home
2025
-34%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.24 | 1.17 | 131.2 | 6.9 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 5.39 | 1.46 | 128.2 | 5.9 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 4.00 | 0.83 | 18.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 6.05 | 1.55 | 19.1 | 7.0 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.98 | 1.25 | 74.2 | 6.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.92 | 1.33 | 67.2 | 5.7 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.85 | 1.18 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.83 | 1.63 | 41.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.55K/9
6.8BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.4Fastball
91.7 mphERA
5.06WHIP
1.21BABIP
.266GB/FB
0.95Left On Base
54.6%Exit Velocity
83.3 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
1994 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
31.1%Swinging Strike
8.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
More Fantasy News
Stumbles in loss
Falter (1-3) yielded seven runs (five earned) on eight hits and two walks over 4.1 innings Sunday, striking out two and taking a loss against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Ready for next start
Falter (back) is listed as the Pirates' scheduled starting pitcher for Sunday's game against the Dodgers in Los Angeles.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with back tightness
Falter was removed from his start Tuesday against the Angels due to lower-back tightness.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses seven shutout innings
Falter (1-2) earned the win against the Nationals on Wednesday, allowing two hits and one walk while striking out two across seven scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles with command in loss
Falter (0-2) was hit with the loss against the Reds on Friday after giving up five runs (three earned) on three hits and five walks while striking out four batters across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.