Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#382
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.22 million contract with the Pirates in January of 2025.
Good to go Monday
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 16, 2025
Falter (general soreness) is scheduled to start Monday's split-squad game against the Tigers, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
Falter was scratched from his spring start Thursday as a precautionary measure due to general soreness, but he'll be ready to take the mound a few days later. The left-hander will begin the season at the back end of Pittsburgh's rotation after finishing 2024 with a 4.43 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 97:45 K:BB over 142.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .308 195 31 9 57 14 0 9
Since 2023vs Right .260 741 126 56 175 37 2 25
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .277 126 19 6 33 9 0 3
2024vs Right .255 463 78 39 105 25 1 14
2023vs Left .364 69 12 3 24 5 0 6
2023vs Right .269 278 48 17 70 12 1 11
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.28 1.22 113.2 7 7 0 7.0 2.3 1.3
Since 2023Away 5.27 1.45 109.1 3 11 0 5.7 3.0 1.4
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 3.98 1.25 74.2 5 4 0 6.5 2.7 1.2
2024Away 4.92 1.33 67.2 3 5 0 5.7 3.1 0.9
2023Home 4.85 1.18 39.0 2 3 0 7.8 1.6 1.6
2023Away 5.83 1.63 41.2 0 6 0 5.6 2.8 2.2
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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75 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
Falter spent last season as the Phillies' sixth starter and was needed in the rotation for roughly half the year, making 16 starts and four relief appearances. The results were perfectly respectable for the second-year lefty, as he finished the year with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 84 innings of work. He didn't provide much in the strikeout category, but his 21.2 K% was close enough to league average and paired well with his 4.9 BB%. Throwing that many strikes is a good thing, but allowing plenty of contact can be an issue at cozy Citizens Bank Park. His 1.7 HR/9 overall was poor, and that number spiked to 2.1 at home, leading to a 5.49 ERA. Falter's 31.7% groundball rate was sixth-lowest among pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, so don't expect those homer problems to disappear any time soon. Still, if he's able to win a rotation spot, his control is good enough to make him usable in the right spots, especially on the road.
More Fantasy News
No longer pitching Thursday
PPittsburgh Pirates
Undisclosed
March 13, 2025
Falter did not recover well from his catch session Wednesday and is no longer scheduled to pitch in Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Twins, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
ANALYSIS
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Should have rotation spot
PPittsburgh Pirates
March 12, 2025
Falter is projected to begin the season in the Pirates' rotation, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets $2.22 million for 2025
PPittsburgh Pirates
January 9, 2025
Falter and the Pirates avoided arbitration by agreeing Thursday to a one-year, $2.22 million contract, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision in final outing
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 29, 2024
Falter did not factor into the decision in Sunday's loss to the Yankees, allowing four earned runs on four hits and three walks in three innings. He failed to record a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Brewers
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 24, 2024
Falter (8-9) took the loss Tuesday against Milwaukee, allowing four runs on five hits and a walk over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
June 28, 2022
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
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