Brennen Davis

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Chicago Cubs AAA

Out

Injury Back

Est. Return 2/2/2023

2022 Stats

AVG

.000

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Nothing went right for Davis last season. He entered the year as the Cubs' top prospect but scuffled in the cold weather of the Midwest over the first month at Triple-A Iowa before getting shut down with a back injury in early-May and then having back surgery in early-June. Davis finished a rehab assignment at the end of August and returned to Triple-A, where he failed to get on track before the end of the season. A trip to the Arizona Fall League was supposed to be an opportunity for Davis to make up for lost time and finish the year on a high note, but though he looked excellent while hitting two home runs in his first five games, back issues resurfaced and Davis was limited to 21 plate appearances (1.048 OPS). Injuries can excuse some of Davis's struggles at Triple-A (.213/.343/.381 slash line, 27.7 K%, eight HR, zero SB in 59 games), but he is 23 and on the 40-man roster, so further excuses probably won't fly in 2023. Davis still has at least plus raw power, but his hit tool and durability are suspect and he no longer looks like a decent bet to chip in double-digit steals. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#588

ADP

Dynasty

Prospect

League AAA

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 210

DOB 11/2/1999

Born Chandler, AZ

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2018 CHC

Added to 40-man

OFChicago Cubs AAA

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November 15, 2022

The Cubs selected Davis' contract from Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday.

ANALYSIS
After flying through the Cubs' farm system in 2021, Davis' progress slowed down in 2022, as he slashed just .191/.322/.319 over 174 plate appearances with Triple-A Iowa. Back issues plagued him all season, and he underwent surgery in June to address the issue only for them to return during the Fall League. Davis will need to bounce back in a major way in order to earn the first major-league promotion of his career.

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

Davis could be the face of the next great Cubs team. He is a 6-foot-4, five-tool center fielder with a chance to make a fantasy impact this summer. The sneaky thing about Davis is that the widespread grade of 60 on his power might be selling him short. He hits majestic, towering shots to all fields and does so with ease. His worst ISO in full-season ball was a .220 mark at Low-A in 2019, and he turned 22 in November. The two knocks on Davis are that he doesn't make the most of his plus speed on the bases, and that his hit tool may top out at average. He attempted just 12 steals (eight successes) in 99 games last year, so it would be unrealistic to expect more than 15 steals over a full MLB season. His 30.7 K% at Double-A is a massive outlier, as his next worst mark is 22.1% at Triple-A, but given his long levers and massive power, strikeouts will probably always be a part of the package. Davis will be one of the Cubs' most talented outfielders in spring training, but he will likely head back to Triple-A for a couple of months before making his long-awaited big-league debut.

There was some jockeying at the top of the Cubs' farm system in recent years, but Davis is now not only the clear top guy, but potentially the future face of the franchise as it enters what could be a multi-year rebuild. Drafted out of high school in 2018 as a two-sport athlete oozing with tools, Davis is more advanced as a hitter at this stage in his development than anticipated. He has added 35 pounds of muscle since signing in 2018, up to 208 pounds, and at 6-foot-4, he still has a lean, athletic frame. Plus speed remains, but it's his elite bat speed and plus-plus power potential that has elevated his ceiling. In a normal season, he would have opened at High-A with a chance to finish the year at Double-A. Instead, he spent the summer at the alternate site, where he faced mostly MLB-ready arms. He should spend the bulk of 2021 at Double-A, setting up a potential 2022 debut.

Hand and finger injuries limited Davis to 50 games at Low-A after a hamstring issue limited him to 18 games in the AZL after he was selected with the No. 62 overall pick in 2018. When healthy, Davis looks like the best fantasy prospect in the Cubs' system. He was seen as a raw two-sport athlete as an amateur but quickly showed an innate ability to track pitches in pro ball -- he has a 50:28 K:BB in 276 PA. The 6-foot-4 outfielder has thickened some since signing and no longer has plus speed, so he may end up in a corner. Still, he is an above-average runner with above-average raw power, and the tool that most scouts saw as his biggest weakness (hitting), may end up being his biggest strength. He has not had to make many adjustments in pro ball, so the next 20 months will tell us a lot about his ultimate upside and floor. For now he looks like a player who could be good at everything that matters in fantasy.

Not only is Davis an underrated prospect from the 2018 draft, he seems to be flying under the radar in a shallow Cubs farm system, largely because fellow draftee Nico Hoerner has generated a lot of offseason buzz. However, Davis has the tools and upside to be considered the top prospect in that system by season's end. A 6-foot-4, 175-pound two-sport athlete in high school (Davis also played basketball), he was seen as a raw but toolsy pick when the Cubs selected him in the second round. However, he had almost as many walks (10) as strikeouts (12) in 18 AZL games (his season was cut short due to a hamstring injury), and despite not hitting a home run, he was 32 percent better than the league's average hitter. Davis, who stole six bases on seven attempts, is a burner who should grow into at least above-average power, so if he hits for a high average, he could be a star. He may not make his full-season debut until late 2019 or early 2020.

More Fantasy News

Dealing with more back issues

OFChicago Cubs AAA

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October 29, 2022

Davis is battling back tightness and is expected to miss the remainder of the Arizona Fall League, Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
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Ready to rejoin Triple-A club

OFChicago Cubs AAA

August 30, 2022

Davis (back) completed his rehab assignment at High-A South Bend and will be reinstated from Triple-A Iowa's 7-day injured list Tuesday, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
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Moves rehab to High-A

OFChicago Cubs AAA

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August 24, 2022

Davis (back) shifted his rehab assignment to High-A South Bend on Tuesday and went 1-for-5 with three strikeouts while playing 10 innings in left field in a 2-1 win over West Michigan.

ANALYSIS
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Starts up rehab assignment

OFChicago Cubs AAA

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August 16, 2022

Davis (back) served as the designated hitter Monday in the first game of his rehab assignment in the Arizona Complex League, going 0-for-3 with a walk, a run and three strikeouts.

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Could return in 2-to-3 weeks

OFChicago Cubs AAA

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July 25, 2022

The Cubs are optimistic that Davis (back) will return to game action in the minors in 2-to-3 weeks, Tim Stebbins of NBC Sports Chicago reports.

ANALYSIS
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