Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2025
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Cavalli needed Tommy John surgery in March of 2023, but he is doing well in his recovery and is on track to join the Nationals' rotation sometime this summer. It's easy to dismiss most Nationals starting pitchers in fantasy these days, but Cavalli has legitimate pedigree (2020 first rounder) and stuff. His fastball is a monster upper-90s offering that has touched triple digits in the past, and he pairs it with a plus curveball, above-average slider and a decent fourth-pitch changeup. Cavalli only has fringe-average command, and command can be the last thing to return for pitchers after TJS. If he is struggling to throw consistent strikes during his rehab assignment, that would diminish his waiver-wire appeal, but it's possible he will be a mixed-league option as early as June. Read Past Outlooks
Not returning this season
Nationals manager Dave Martinez said Tuesday that Cavalli (elbow) will continue to work through his throwing program but won't pitch in games before the end of the season, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander began the season on the injured list while completing his recovery from Tommy John Surgery in May 2023, but a "dead arm" phase over the summer derailed his rehab assignment. Cavalli will continue to build up his arm over the final weeks of the regular season, but he'll head into 2025 with plenty of uncertainty coming off consecutive lost seasons.
The right-hander began the season on the injured list while completing his recovery from Tommy John Surgery in May 2023, but a "dead arm" phase over the summer derailed his rehab assignment. Cavalli will continue to build up his arm over the final weeks of the regular season, but he'll head into 2025 with plenty of uncertainty coming off consecutive lost seasons.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-48%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .200 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .385 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .200 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .385 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-100%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 14.54 | 1.85 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 4.2 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Home | 14.54 | 1.85 | 4.1 | 12.5 | 4.2 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Cavalli has loud stuff and a clear path to a full season in the Nationals rotation. However a significant shoulder injury suffered in his first MLB start (Aug. 26) clouds his immediate future. He was able to throw pain-free from 60 feet at the end of the season, but he mentioned in an interview after landing on the injured list that he had never felt the kind of shoulder discomfort he was feeling at that time. The big 6-foot-4 righty sits at 96 mph with his fastball while showing off a plus mid-80s curveball and a changeup and slider that have the potential to be plus pitches in time. Cavalli's command and control have lagged behind, and this latest injury adds to the risk. The Nationals won't win many games in 2023 and haven't shown an ability to develop quality starting pitching, so there are factors outside Cavalli's control that lessen his appeal. However, he is still talented enough to merit consideration in most competitive leagues.
More Fantasy News
Throwing bullpen session
Cavalli (elbow/arm) will throw a 20-to-25 pitch bullpen session Tuesday, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rehabbing in FCL
Cavalli (elbow) reported to the Nationals' Florida Complex League affiliate Tuesday, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resuming rehab assignment
Cavalli (elbow/illness) was sent to High-A Wilmington on Thursday to resume his rehab assignment.
ANALYSIS
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Rehab assignment on pause
Cavalli (elbow/illness) had been scheduled to report this week to the Nationals' spring training facility in West Palm Beach, Fla. to continue his rehab program, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with illness
Nationals manager Dave Martinez said Monday that Cavalli (elbow) is dealing with the flu and will be held back for a few days during his minor-league rehab assignment, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Debut coming
Cavalli could make his big-league debut as early as this weekend, reports Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com.
ANALYSIS
Washington has yet to announce its starters for the weekend series against the Reds, but when they do, Cavalli's name could be listed as one of the probable starters. Should the 24-year-old make his debut, he is likely to retain his rookie status for next season, which could result in draft pick compensation for the Nationals if he's one of the top rookies in the league in 2023. Cavalli has strong numbers for Triple-A Rochester this season and has been dominant over his last 13 starts, going 5-1 with a 2.10 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 77:25 K:BB in 68.2 innings while allowing just two homers.
Washington has yet to announce its starters for the weekend series against the Reds, but when they do, Cavalli's name could be listed as one of the probable starters. Should the 24-year-old make his debut, he is likely to retain his rookie status for next season, which could result in draft pick compensation for the Nationals if he's one of the top rookies in the league in 2023. Cavalli has strong numbers for Triple-A Rochester this season and has been dominant over his last 13 starts, going 5-1 with a 2.10 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 77:25 K:BB in 68.2 innings while allowing just two homers.