Cade Cavalli

Cade Cavalli

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Washington Nationals
Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Cavalli has loud stuff and a clear path to a full season in the Nationals rotation. However a significant shoulder injury suffered in his first MLB start (Aug. 26) clouds his immediate future. He was able to throw pain-free from 60 feet at the end of the season, but he mentioned in an interview after landing on the injured list that he had never felt the kind of shoulder discomfort he was feeling at that time. The big 6-foot-4 righty sits at 96 mph with his fastball while showing off a plus mid-80s curveball and a changeup and slider that have the potential to be plus pitches in time. Cavalli's command and control have lagged behind, and this latest injury adds to the risk. The Nationals won't win many games in 2023 and haven't shown an ability to develop quality starting pitching, so there are factors outside Cavalli's control that lessen his appeal. However, he is still talented enough to merit consideration in most competitive leagues. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $3.03 million contract with the Nationals in June of 2020.
Expected to open year in rotation
PWashington Nationals
Shoulder
December 6, 2022
Cavalli (shoulder) is penciled into an Opening Day rotation role, Kyle Glaser of Baseball America reports.
ANALYSIS
The 2020 first-round pick made his big-league debut in late August but was knocked around in his lone start before missing the rest of the year with shoulder inflammation. He was able to resume throwing before the end of the season, and the Nationals are seemingly confident in both his health and his ability heading into next season. A secure rotation spot boosts Cavalli's appeal as a fantasy lottery ticket, and he has a fair amount of prospect pedigree, but he'll have to sort out his control before becoming an effective starter. He walked 10.7 percent of the batters he faced across 44 career starts in the minors.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
99
Last 10 Games
99
Last 5 Games
99
How many pitches does Cade Cavalli generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Cade Cavalli generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-48%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-48%
BAA vs LHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .200 6 2 0 1 1 0 0
Since 2020vs Right .385 17 4 2 5 2 0 0
2022vs Left .200 6 2 0 1 1 0 0
2022vs Right .385 17 4 2 5 2 0 0
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 14.54 1.85 4.1 0 1 0 12.5 4.2 0.0
Since 2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 14.54 1.85 4.1 0 1 0 12.5 4.2 0.0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Cade Cavalli compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
12.5
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
95.6 mph
 
ERA
14.54
 
WHIP
1.85
 
BABIP
.491
 
GB/FB
1.50
 
Left On Base
12.5%
 
Exit Velocity
73.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2242 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
14.7%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Cade Cavalli
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69 days ago
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83 days ago
James Anderson, Eric Cross and Chris Clegg draft pitching prospects for 2023 value only, with Astros righty Hunter Brown solidifying his place near the top.
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101 days ago
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Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings are topped by Max Fried, who's set to face a pair of light-hitting lineups.
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103 days ago
Chris Bennett kicks off his Friday recommendations with Yankees ace Gerrit Cole in an attractive matchup with Oakland.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
Cavalli made good on his billing as one of the very best pitchers in the 2020 draft, striking out 175 in 123.1 innings across stops at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A. The 13.2 BB% he logged at Double-A and Triple-A is the primary blemish on his pro debut, and improving his command and control will be the key to him reaching his ceiling as a frontline starter. He has a mid-90s fourseam fastball that touched triple digits last year and a bevy of quality secondary offerings. His slider is currently his best offspeed pitch, but his curveball and changeup show promise, giving him a complete repertoire. Getting up over 120 innings was a big accomplishment for the 6-foot-4, 226-pound righty, as he'd dealt with some injuries in college. Cavalli will head back to Triple-A with the goal of walking fewer batters, but he should spend a good chunk of the season in the big leagues if he stays healthy. Few pitching prospects can match his fantasy upside.
At 6-foot-4, 226 pounds, the right-handed Cavalli has a prototypical starter's frame with the stuff to match. A former two-way player at Oklahoma, he focused on pitching as a sophomore and his stock took off, with the Nationals popping him with the No. 22 pick in the 2020 draft. He sits in the mid-90s with his fastball and can touch 98 mph. Cavalli also has a plus slider, while his changeup and curveball project as above-average offerings. Back and arm injuries have held him back in prior seasons, and despite a clean, effortless delivery, throwing strikes has been an issue at times, although he only walked five while striking out 37 in 23.2 innings last spring. It would not be surprising if Cavalli ended up being the best pitcher from this historically good class of college arms, but he is also quite risky. He threw over 50 innings after getting drafted and could head to High-A this year.
More Fantasy News
Returns to throwing
PWashington Nationals
Shoulder
September 30, 2022
Cavalli (shoulder) played catch from 60 feet Friday and said he felt no pain, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shut down with shoulder discomfort
PWashington Nationals
Shoulder
September 16, 2022
Cavalli experienced shoulder discomfort when throwing Wednesday and will be shut down from throwing for 3-7 days as a precaution, Jessica Camerato of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing, but likely done for 2022
PWashington Nationals
Shoulder
September 14, 2022
Nationals manager Dave Martinez said Wednesday that Cavalli (shoulder) has been cleared to resume a throwing program but isn't expected to be activated from the 15-day injured list before season's end, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes on IL
PWashington Nationals
Shoulder
August 31, 2022
The Nationals placed Cavalli (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Sidelined with inflamed shoulder
PWashington Nationals
Shoulder
August 30, 2022
Nationals manager Dave Martinez said Tuesday that Cavalli is headed to the 15-day injured list with right shoulder inflammation, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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