Caleb Kilian

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Kilian opened the season with Triple-A Iowa. The primary return in the Kris Bryant trade made his MLB in early June, fanning six Cardinals in five frames. Kilian started two more games, before being sent back to the farm. In those two outings, he walked 10 with only three punchouts in 6.1 innings. Kilian finished the season in Triple-A where walks were still an issue as he issued 59 free passes in 106.2 stanzas. Kilian will turn 26-years-old in June, so time is running out to lay claim to a career as a starter. The Cubs rotation is more about quantity than quality, so if Kilian exhibits better control, he has a chance to make the opening day roster. Chances are, he'll return to Triple-A and have to earn a spot. With his ability to miss bats, Kilian will always have the bullpen as a fallback, but for now the Cubs envision him as a starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#601
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in June of 2022.
Mixed results back in Triple-A
PChicago Cubs
August 16, 2022
Kilian has put up a 4.72 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 48:19 K:BB across 34.1 innings (eight starts) since returning to Triple-A.
ANALYSIS
That's not exactly the stat line you want to see from your most advanced pitching prospect after his first taste of the majors, but Kilian has never been a super-high-upside arm. The 25-year-old's season-long WHIP in Triple-A is a poor 1.40, and while Kilian has shown notable strikeout ability, he hasn't pitched deep into games very often and is walking far too many batters. The Cubs are still treating him as a potential starter in the long run, but there's relief risk here.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
78
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
78
How many pitches does Caleb Kilian generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Caleb Kilian generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
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9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .308 32 5 5 8 4 0 0
Since 2020vs Right .188 24 4 7 3 0 0 0
2022vs Left .308 32 5 5 8 4 0 0
2022vs Right .188 24 4 7 3 0 0 0
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 8.00 1.67 9.0 0 1 0 6.0 7.0 0.0
Since 2020Away 19.29 3.43 2.1 0 1 0 11.6 19.3 0.0
2022Home 8.00 1.67 9.0 0 1 0 6.0 7.0 0.0
2022Away 19.29 3.43 2.1 0 1 0 11.6 19.3 0.0
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Caleb Kilian compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.75
 
K/9
7.1
 
BB/9
9.5
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
93.9 mph
 
ERA
10.32
 
WHIP
2.03
 
BABIP
.324
 
GB/FB
1.55
 
Left On Base
34.8%
 
Swinging Strike
6.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2022 Fantasy Outlook
Kilian was quite busy last season, first breaking out with the Giants, then getting dealt to Chicago as the headliner for Kris Bryant, and capping his season with Championship MVP honors in the Arizona Fall League. The right-hander has prototypical size (6-foot-4, 180 pounds) and athleticism. He repeats his delivery well and pounds the zone. All told, Kilian registered a 2.42 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 112:13 K:BB in 100.1 innings across High-A and Double-A with the Giants and Cubs before striking out 18 in 14 AFL innings. He used to be a control artist with back-end starter stuff, but Kilian was touching 98 mph with good run on his heater late in the year and his command has not suffered since his stuff ticked up. His curveball is a hammer and his changeup is trending up. A big riser in offseason prospect rankings, Kilian appears poised to be one the Cubs' top starters in the coming years if he can stay healthy. If he picks up where he left off last year, he could reach the majors mid-year.
More Fantasy News
Returns to Triple-A
PChicago Cubs
June 21, 2022
Kilian was optioned to Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles with command Monday
PChicago Cubs
June 20, 2022
Kilian (0-2) allowed seven runs (five earned) on three hits across 2.1 innings to take the loss Monday against the Pirates. He walked five and struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Remains in rotation
PChicago Cubs
June 20, 2022
Kilian is listed as the Cubs' starting pitcher for Monday's game in Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders five runs in loss
PChicago Cubs
June 15, 2022
Kilian (0-1) took the loss during Wednesday's 19-5 defeat at the hands of the Padres, allowing five runs on five hits and five walks in four innings. He failed to record a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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Officially called up Wednesday
PChicago Cubs
June 15, 2022
Kilian was recalled from Triple-A Iowa ahead of Wednesday's start against the Padres, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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