2023 Stats
W-L
0-3
ERA
4.45
WHIP
1.12
K
41
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Typically, a 97 mph fastball would be an encouraging sign, but while Hernandez has velocity, he's yet to do much with it. Hitters tagged his primary pitch for a .366 batting average and .581 slugging percentage in 2022, leading to an ugly 7.39 ERA and 1.84 WHIP across 56 innings. Hernandez started only seven of his 27 appearances last season, posting a 9.10 ERA and 2.16 WHIP in 29.2 innings in the rotation. His time as a reliever was rather unconvincing as well, though he allowed multiple runs in just three of his last 18 appearances. If he can make his pitches more evasive and trim down an ugly 11.7 percent walk rate, there's some upside here as a starter or a high-leverage reliever. It won't do fantasy managers much good if he ends up in a dreaded swingman role or in the minors to begin 2023, though it's a possibility if he doesn't adjust. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#601
ADP

Set to open Monday
Hernandez (thumb) will start Monday's game against the Marlins, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Hernandez exited Friday's game after a callus on his thumb opened up, but he'll return to the mound Monday in Miami to serve as Kansas City's opener. The 26-year-old has a 4.76 ERA across 28.1 innings this season and should cover a frame or two before giving way to bulk pitcher Mike Mayers.
Hernandez exited Friday's game after a callus on his thumb opened up, but he'll return to the mound Monday in Miami to serve as Kansas City's opener. The 26-year-old has a 4.76 ERA across 28.1 innings this season and should cover a frame or two before giving way to bulk pitcher Mike Mayers.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
21
Last 10 Games
22
Last 5 Games
23
How many pitches does Carlos Hernandez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Hernandez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-34%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-5%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .199 | 75 | 39 | 59 | 7 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .301 | 75 | 41 | 108 | 10 | |||
2023vs Left | .218 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 1 | |||
2023vs Right | .230 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 2 | |||
2022vs Left | .214 | 21 | 14 | 21 | 3 | |||
2022vs Right | .389 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 4 | |||
2021vs Left | .182 | 35 | 22 | 26 | 3 | |||
2021vs Right | .257 | 39 | 19 | 43 | 4 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-15%
ERA on Road
2023
-71%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 5.44 | 1.56 | 86.0 | 7.2 | 4.6 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 4.60 | 1.31 | 86.0 | 8.5 | 3.8 | ||||
2023Home | 7.43 | 1.50 | 13.1 | 10.1 | 3.4 | ||||
2023Away | 2.12 | 0.82 | 17.0 | 13.8 | 1.6 | ||||
2022Home | 5.40 | 1.80 | 26.2 | 5.4 | 6.4 | ||||
2022Away | 9.20 | 1.88 | 29.1 | 5.8 | 3.7 | ||||
2021Home | 4.89 | 1.43 | 46.0 | 7.4 | 3.9 | ||||
2021Away | 2.27 | 1.11 | 39.2 | 8.2 | 4.8 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Carlos Hernandez compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
5.13K/9
12.2BB/9
2.4HR/9
0.9Fastball
99.1 mphERA
4.45WHIP
1.12BABIP
.341GB/FB
0.96Left On Base
63.8%Exit Velocity
81.9 mphBarrels/BBE
4.2%Spin Rate
2199 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
19.4%Swinging Strike
15.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carlos Hernandez See More

Erik Siegrist dives into the AL free-agent pool as Drew Waters tries to solidify center field for the Royals.

Jason Collette analyzes what he got right and what he got wrong with his preseason pitching predictions, including an outstanding season from Dylan Cease.

Todd Zola analyzes pitchers with limited arsenals before tackling the most interesting fantasy fall-out from Wednesday's schedule.

Chris Morgan reviews Thursday's slate as Yu Darvish faces a depleted Nationals lineup that wasn't very dangerous even before sending Juan Soto to San Diego.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
Hernandez began the season as a reliever then transitioned to the Royals rotation after the break. He throws four pitches, led by a 97-mph fastball. While it's curious his K% was only 20.7%, Hernandez's swinging strike mark portended a rate a couple ticks higher. That said, unless Hernandez improves his 11.5% BB%, he'll need more than a few additional punch outs to manage his ratios. To that end, his 3.68 ERA was pegged as at least a run lucky by its estimators. He benefited from a fortunate .267 BABIP and 7.3% HR/FB mark along with a 74.7% LOB mark, three points above league average. Hernandez has a live arm worth a speculative investment with a strong chance to win a spot in Kansas City's rotation. Just don't expect last season's ERA, though fewer walks puts a repeat in play.
More Fantasy News

Dealing with thumb issue
Hernandez left Friday's game versus the Rockies when a callus on his thumb opened up, Joel Goldberg of Bally Sports Kansas City reports.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves with apparent injury
Hernandez left Friday's game against the Rockies with an apparent injury, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes second loss
Hernandez (0-2) allowed a run on two hits and struck out two over one inning, taking the loss Tuesday versus the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Starting again Sunday
Hernandez will start Sunday's game versus the White Sox, Pete Grathoff of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out four as opener
Hernandez allowed two hits and struck out four over two scoreless innings in a no-decision versus the Padres on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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