Carmen Mlodzinski

Carmen Mlodzinski

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Mlodzinski began the 2024 season on the injured list with an elbow injury, but he emerged as one of Pittsburgh's most reliable relievers by season's end. Across his final 35 appearances, he surrendered zero earned runs 27 times and maintained a 2.30 ERA in that span. While it took some time, the Pirates did take note of Mlodzinski's success and pushed him into a high-leverage role in the final two weeks the season, and he delivered two wins and a hold while working exclusively in the seventh and eighth innings. It's dangerous to draw conclusions from such a short sample, but the back end of Pittsburgh's bullpen is uncertain after David Bednar's struggles in 2024, with Mlodzinski a potential option for saves if Bednar's downturn carries over into 2025. The primary problem with considering Mlodzinski as a potential source of saves is that he has a relatively modest strikeout rate (22.2 percent in 86.2 career innings) and is instead reliant on keeping batted balls on the ground to get outs (career 46.7 percent groundball rate). Overall, Mlodzinski is more likely to be relevant in leagues that reward holds, but he's a name to keep on the radar as a potential source of saves. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#364
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2025.
Logs no-decision Monday
PPittsburgh Pirates
May 5, 2025
Mlodzinski allowed two runs on four hits and no walks while striking out two batters over 4.2 innings in a no-decision against St. Louis on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Mlodzinski allowed just four hits in the outing, but two of those were solo homers. That was the extent of the damage against the righty, who exited after 4.2 frames having thrown 88 pitches (53 of which were strikes). Mlodzinski has looked a little better in his past two starts, but he still holds an ugly 6.16 ERA on the campaign and has managed to complete five innings just twice through seven starts. His next trip to the mound is lined up to come at home against Atlanta.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
75
Last 5 Games
73
How many pitches does Carmen Mlodzinski generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carmen Mlodzinski generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2023
Even Split
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .240 227 46 18 49 13 0 4
Since 2023vs Right .254 274 58 29 61 7 1 6
2025vs Left .292 68 12 3 19 7 0 2
2025vs Right .344 72 12 7 22 1 1 2
2024vs Left .217 94 18 7 18 4 0 1
2024vs Right .228 115 28 12 23 4 0 2
2023vs Left .214 65 16 8 12 2 0 1
2023vs Right .213 87 18 10 16 2 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2024
Even Split
2023
 
 
-68%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.17 1.39 54.0 6 6 0 7.3 3.3 0.2
Since 2023Away 4.26 1.29 63.1 3 5 1 8.5 3.8 1.3
2025Home 5.54 1.92 13.0 1 1 0 6.9 3.5 0.7
2025Away 6.62 1.47 17.2 0 2 0 7.1 2.5 1.5
2024Home 3.38 1.29 24.0 2 3 0 7.5 3.0 0.0
2024Away 3.38 1.09 26.2 3 2 0 8.8 3.7 1.0
2023Home 1.06 1.12 17.0 3 2 0 7.4 3.7 0.0
2023Away 3.32 1.42 19.0 0 1 1 9.5 5.2 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carmen Mlodzinski compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.40
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
95.3 mph
 
ERA
6.16
 
WHIP
1.66
 
BABIP
.372
 
GB/FB
1.64
 
Left On Base
66.1%
 
Exit Velocity
82.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.8%
 
Spin Rate
2289 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.9%
 
Swinging Strike
8.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Mlodzinksi was a competitive balance pick for the Bucs in the 2020 draft, after he saw his draft stock spike due to his performance in the Cape Cod League. Unfortunately, he's found it difficult to stay on the mound, as he struggled to rack up innings both while at South Carolina and in his first season in the pros. That changed in 2022, as he threw 105.1 innings with Double-A Altoona while serving as a starter. He likely has the stuff to stick in that role thanks to a solid, albeit not standout, fastball-changeup-slider mix to turn to. His control doesn't grade out well on most scouting scales around the industry, but Mlodzinski managed a passable 9.4 and 8.7 BB% in his two seasons as a pro. Given the lack of impact arms at the big-league level under team control in Pittsburgh, Mlodzinski will likely get the chance to prove he can be a big-league starter and that journey will almost certainly begin with Triple-A Indianapolis in 2023. If he can stay healthy and show some improved control, he could rise quickly within the Pirates' system.
More Fantasy News
Yields two runs in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 30, 2025
Mlodzinski did not factor into Wednesday's decision against the Cubs, allowing two runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four over four-plus innings.
ANALYSIS
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Knocked around in fourth inning
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 24, 2025
Mlodzinski didn't factor into the decision Thursday against the Angels after allowing three runs on five hits and one walk in five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard in Friday's loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 19, 2025
Mlodzinski (1-3) took the loss Friday as the Pirates fell 10-7 to the Guardians, coughing up five runs on nine hits and two walks over four-plus innings. He failed to strike out a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Yields four runs in loss
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 13, 2025
Mlodzinski (1-2) took the loss against the Reds on Sunday. He allowed four runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
April 7, 2025
Mlodzinski (1-1) allowed a run on five hits and two walks over five innings Monday, striking out six and earning a win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Higher-leverage role in 2025?
PPittsburgh Pirates
October 27, 2024
According to John Perrotto of Pittsburgh Baseball Now, Mlodzinski could step into a high-leverage role in 2025.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander has spent most of the past two seasons in the big leagues and has a 2.91 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 80:37 K:BB over 86.2 frames in his first 86 appearances. David Bednar pitched his way out of the closer role in 2024, and Aroldis Chapman is headed for free agency, which leaves Pittsburgh with some question marks for the ninth inning heading into the offseason. Even if Mlodzinski doesn't end up in the mix for saves, he should see more high-leverage chances in 2025.
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