Carson Williams

Carson Williams

21-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Tampa Bay Rays AA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Williams was hit on the hand by a pitch and exited a game June 12 before returning June 18. Before the hit-by-pitch, Williams slashed .294/.376/.552 with 10 home runs, 15 steals and a 27.1 percent strikeout rate in 49 games. After the HBP, he slashed .225/.331/.400 with 10 home runs, 17 steals, and a 29.6 percent strikeout rate in 66 games. It's possible the hand injury hurt his production and he'll be the pre-injury version of himself in 2025, and it's also possible the post-HBP decline was a coincidence and Williams is just the hitter we saw over the whole season (.256/.352/.469, 11.5 BB%, 28.5 K%). He has always had extremely strong tools with the exception of his hit tool -- his power, speed, defense and throwing arm all grading as at least plus. It's easy to get scared off by all the strikeouts, but players like Trevor Story and Jazz Chisholm had similar strikeout and walk rates to Williams in the minors and went on to be excellent fantasy options. The defensive component, particularly at shortstop where Tampa Bay lacks another quality long-term option, should buy Williams a lot of chances at the big-league level in the coming years. He should spend most, if not all of 2025 at Triple-A. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
$Signed a $2.35 million contract with the Rays in July of 2021.
Returns from week-long absence
SSTampa Bay Rays  AA
June 20, 2024
Williams (hand) returned to action Tuesday for Double-A Montgomery and has gone 1-for-7 with two walks, a run and an RBI while starting at shortstop in the club's last two contests.
ANALYSIS
Williams missed a week of action with a hand injury but was never placed on Montgomery's 7-day injured list. The 20-year-old shortstop prospect is hitting .289/.374/.537 with 10 home runs and 15 stolen bases across 230 plate appearances in the Southern League this season.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Williams has all the tools except the most important tool (hit), but he may be able to make enough contact to still make it as an everyday shortstop in the Willy Adames mold. An athletic 6-foot-1, 180 pounds, Williams is a plus defensive shortstop with above-average speed and a 70-grade arm. After hitting 19 home runs in 113 games in his full-season debut as a 19-year-old, Williams hit 23 homers in just 105 games at High-A before getting bumped to Double-A and Triple-A to finish out the season (since those leagues had longer seasons). He'll head back to Double-A this year, and he'll be promoted as quickly as his hit tool warrants. The Wander Franco situation is difficult to project, but unlike Taylor Walls and Osleives Basabe (not enough offense) or Junior Caminero (not enough range), Williams is a no-doubt everyday shortstop as long as he can keep the strikeout rate in the 25-30 percent range. He has a 31.6 percent strikeout rate for his career and had a 31.4 percent strikeout rate in 2023, so he has plenty of work still to do.
Williams had a 32.1 K% and 62.7 Contact% in his age-18/19 season at Single-A, yet he remains relevant in all dynasty leagues because his other four tools range from above-average (run) to plus-plus (arm). He has monster right-handed power for his age and is a lock to stick at shortstop. Williams slashed .252/.347/.471 with 19 home runs and 28 steals on 38 attempts (73.7% success rate). As is often the case with players this toolsy, the hit tool will make or break things for Williams.
More Fantasy News
Dealing with hand injury
SSTampa Bay Rays  AA
Hand
June 13, 2024
Williams is considered day-to-day after being hit by a pitch in the hand during Wednesday's game with Double-A Montgomery, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Stock way up at Double-A
SSTampa Bay Rays  AA
May 16, 2024
Williams is slashing .336/.410/.571 with five home runs, nine steals, a 24.6 percent strikeout rate and a 72.3 percent contact rate in 29 games for Double-A Montgomery.
ANALYSIS
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Boosted to Triple-A
SSTampa Bay Rays  AA
August 15, 2023
The Rays promoted Williams from High-A Bowling Green to Triple-A Durham on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Raking in July
SSTampa Bay Rays  AA
July 11, 2023
Williams is hitting .412 with four home runs, 10 strikeouts and seven walks in nine July games for High-A Bowling Green.
ANALYSIS
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Doing damage for Hot Rods
SSTampa Bay Rays  AA
June 1, 2023
Williams has a .276/.373/.504 slash line with six home runs and eight steals in 33 games for High-A Bowling Green.
ANALYSIS
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