CJ Abrams

22-Year-Old ShortstopSS

Washington Nationals

2022 Stats

AVG

.246

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Abrams, the No. 6 overall pick in 2019, was traded from San Diego to Washington in the blockbuster Juan Soto deal. His numbers down the stretch with the Nationals were mostly underwhelming, although he stole six bases in 44 games following the trade, showcasing the speed that made him a top prospect in both real-life and fantasy circles. At 22 years old, Abrams is still mostly projection with the bat. He showed that there is some thump in there during his time at Triple-A El Paso last season, smacking seven homers with a .507 SLG in 30 games with the affiliate, but he didn't look particularly close to putting it together at the big-league level. The Nationals will be patient with Abrams as they embrace a long-term rebuild. Can he hit enough at this stage to allow the speed to play? Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#235

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 185

DOB 10/3/2000

Born Alpharetta, GA

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2019 SD

Managing shoulder injury

SSWashington Nationals

Shoulder

October 4, 2022

Abrams exited Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets with a left shoulder injury and will undergo an MRI on Wednesday, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Abrams went 1-for-5 with a steal across the two games before he suffered the injury on a diving attempt in the field during the nightcap. Given he has an MRI scheduled Wednesday, the 22-year-old shouldn't be expected to be available for the series finale in New York. Assuming that's the case, Abrams will finish 2022 with a .246/.280/.324 slash line, two home runs, seven stolen bases, 21 RBI and 33 runs across 302 plate appearances split between the Nationals and Padres.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2022 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+81%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+81%

OPS vs RHP

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.387	92	7	0	6	2	.157	.185	.202
Since 2020vs Right	.702	210	26	2	15	5	.287	.322	.379
2022vs Left	.387	92	7	0	6	2	.157	.185	.202
2022vs Right	.702	210	26	2	15	5	.287	.322	.379
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+13%

OPS on Road

2022

+13%

OPS on Road

2021

No Stats

2020

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.568	155	16	1	9	3	.226	.260	.308
Since 2020Away	.642	147	17	1	12	4	.268	.301	.341
2022Home	.568	155	16	1	9	3	.226	.260	.308
2022Away	.642	147	17	1	12	4	.268	.301	.341
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2020Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does CJ Abrams compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.10

BB Rate

1.7%

K Rate

16.6%

BABIP

.291

ISO

.077

AVG

.246

OBP

.280

SLG

.324

OPS

.604

wOBA

.269

Exit Velocity

86.5 mph

Hard Hit Rate

24.5%

Barrels/PA

1.7%

Expected BA

.241

Expected SLG

.316

Sprint Speed

25.1 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.9%

Line Drive %

17.7%

Fly Ball %

31.5%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete CJ Abrams Prospect Ranking History

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

Abrams, one of the fastest players in the minors, was performing as expected at Double-A before suffering a fractured left tibia and a sprained MCL in early July. Any kind of prospect ranking method that incorporates hard-hit data is going to be much lower on Abrams, as he had a 15.7 Hard% in 183 PA before suffering the season-ending injury. However, he was one of the youngest players at Double-A and was still 12% better than league average. He is a career .343 hitter in the minors with a 14.4 K%, so his hit tool is way ahead of his power. His 80-grade speed has led to 28 steals in 76 games, and if he reaches his ceiling, Abrams has a chance to be a similar fantasy producer to Trea Turner. That upside is extremely alluring, but there is no denying the fact that he needs to make significant strides as a power hitter to be more than a slappy leadoff type. He has been gradually adding muscle to his 6-foot-2 frame, and this will be a big year for the 21-year-old speedster to show he is still heading in the right direction. With a strong start to the year, he could be in position to be the No. 1 prospect for fantasy following some graduations this summer. Expecting him to reach San Diego in 2022 is probably unrealistic, but shortstop, center field and second base are all potential landing spots in 2023.

In a normal year, Abrams would have spent the bulk of his age-19 season at High-A, but instead he spent the summer at the alternate training site. His top areas of improvement were his defense at shortstop, thanks to lots of hands-on work with the organization's best infield instructors, and added strength that has upped his long-term power potential. He still has a lean, 6-foot-2 frame reminiscent of Byron Buxton, but his forearms and biceps are stronger. Given that frame, it's difficult to envision him slowing down anytime soon, so 30-steal potential should be there for the foreseeable future. With burgeoning power, game-changing speed and a career .393 AVG and 14:11 K:BB in 34 pro games, there's really no cap on Abrams' fantasy upside. He probably won't debut at his natural position, but he is a special enough talent that the Padres should find a spot for him when he is ready, likely in early 2022.

The same six hitters were at the top of most team's draft boards in June, and while Abrams was the last of the six to get drafted (sixth overall), he had the most impressive statistical debut. An athletic prep shortstop with plus-plus speed, Abrams' bat-to-ball ability was on full display in the AZL. He logged a 9.0 K% and had as many steals (14) as strikeouts in 32 games. Abrams won the AZL's batting title and MVP award and his 189 wRC+ was the league's second-best mark. His hit tool and speed were as advertised, but he exceeded expectations in the power department (.261 ISO) and should grow into more thump as he fills out his 6-foot-2, 185-pound frame. The plan was for him to spend the final month at Low-A, but a shoulder injury cut his season short just days after receiving that promotion. Some evaluators think he will eventually move to center field, but there are no real fantasy-relevant concerns.

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