Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 4/21/2023
2022 Stats
W-L
4-13
ERA
5.13
WHIP
1.57
K
122
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The Royals had one of the worst rotations in the majors last season, and unfortunately, Lynch was part of the problem there. He pitched to a 5.13 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 122:52 K:BB across 131.2 innings spanning 27 starts in his first full season. His 3.6 BB/9 stands out as the biggest issue -- he'll need to trim that down by about one walk per nine innings to really start finding effectiveness. He surrendered less than a home run per start, but hitters still tagged him for a 47.7 percent hard-hit rate. His 19.2 percent whiff rate on a 94 mph fastball that he threw nearly half of the time in 2022 simply isn't good enough. Lynch has a chance to make the rotation again in 2023, but there are improvements to be made -- with the Royals changing their pitching coach, new input could be a benefit for the southpaw. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#588
ADP

Bound for IL with shoulder strain
Lynch is expected to land on the injured list after being diagnosed with a left shoulder strain, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Lynch suffered the injury during the Royals' Cactus League game against the Padres on Thursday. He will be shut down for 7-10 days before being re-evaluated. The injury opens up a spot in Kansas City's rotation, with Kris Bubic being the most likely candidate to fill it.
Lynch suffered the injury during the Royals' Cactus League game against the Padres on Thursday. He will be shut down for 7-10 days before being re-evaluated. The injury opens up a spot in Kansas City's rotation, with Kris Bubic being the most likely candidate to fill it.
Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Daniel Lynch generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Daniel Lynch generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .260 | 19 | 11 | 25 | 2 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .296 | 158 | 72 | 210 | 28 | |||
2022vs Left | .308 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 2 | |||
2022vs Right | .287 | 109 | 43 | 135 | 19 | |||
2021vs Left | .161 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |||
2021vs Right | .313 | 49 | 29 | 75 | 9 | |||
2020vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2020vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-29%
ERA on Road
2022
-22%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 6.32 | 1.63 | 89.2 | 6.8 | 3.6 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 4.50 | 1.56 | 110.0 | 8.9 | 3.8 | ||||
2022Home | 5.84 | 1.58 | 57.0 | 6.9 | 2.8 | ||||
2022Away | 4.58 | 1.57 | 74.2 | 9.4 | 4.1 | ||||
2021Home | 7.16 | 1.71 | 32.2 | 6.6 | 5.0 | ||||
2021Away | 4.33 | 1.56 | 35.1 | 7.9 | 3.3 | ||||
2020Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2020Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Daniel Lynch compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.35K/9
8.3BB/9
3.6HR/9
1.4Fastball
94.0 mphERA
5.13WHIP
1.57BABIP
.350GB/FB
1.39Left On Base
72.1%Exit Velocity
83.2 mphBarrels/BBE
4.8%Spin Rate
2005 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.3%Swinging Strike
11.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Daniel Lynch See More

Erik Halterman breaks down the competition for AL jobs, including in Minnesota where Nick Gordon likely will spend time at several spots around the diamond this season.

Brad Johnson breaks down the pitching situations in the AL Central, starting in Chicago where Johnson expects Lucas Giolito to have a bounce-back season.

Robbie Ray tops Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings thanks to a pair of home matchups against a pair of struggling opponents.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Lynch made his major-league debut last season and made 15 starts for the Royals, and he had a 5.69 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 55:31 K:BB across 68 innings. He entered the campaign as the organization's top pitching prospect, but his 7.7 percent K-BB% is a good indicator of his struggles in his first taste of the big leagues. The 25-year-old could begin the season at the back end of Kansas City's starting rotation, but it may require the team to employ a six-man rotation, so his role may not be stable.
More Fantasy News

Exits game early
Lynch was removed from Kansas City's Cactus League game against San Diego on Thursday with an apparent shoulder issue, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Working on simplifying game
Lynch has made small changes in the offeseason to simplify his mechanics on the mound, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Allows 11 baserunners in loss
Lynch (4-13) took the loss Tuesday in Cleveland, allowing five runs on eight hits, two walks and a hit batsman while striking out two in 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss despite strong effort
Lynch (4-12) allowed two earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out four across six innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two in no-decision
Lynch did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs (one earned) on four hits and one walk over four innings against Minnesota. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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