Daniel Vogelbach

Daniel Vogelbach

30-Year-Old DHDH
New York Mets
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The rotund cult hero of Flushing will be with the Mets at least one more season as the club exercised his incredibly cheap player option for the 2023 season. Vogelbach quickly endeared himself to the Mets fan base with some timely hitting as the strong side part of a DH situation after being freed from the suffering in Pittsburgh. He possesses a 16% walk rate for his career, which is outstanding for someone with just one monster season on his resume. He will strikeout more than the league average and lefties remain a major problem for him, but he was top 15 by wRC+ vs righties last season and did more damage than Kyle Schwarber against righties by that same metric. You should not have to reach for Vogelbach given he is Utility only for drafting and his plate appearance ceiling is rather low, but late power is late power and you can make room for him in the reserves should your active draft phase look a bit light. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#576
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $800,000 contract with the Pirates in March of 2022. Traded to the Mets in July of 2022. Mets exercised $1.5 million team option for 2023 in November of 2022.
Sticking with Mets in 2023
DHNew York Mets
November 6, 2022
The Mets will exercise Vogelbach's $1.5 million team option for 2023, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Vogelbach will unsurprisingly remain in New York after a strong showing with the Mets in the second half of the 2022 campaign. After being traded from the Pirates to the Mets on July 22, the slugger slashed .255/.393/.436 with six homers, 25 RBI and 18 runs scored over 55 contests.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
1
7
35
34
5
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
11
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+109%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+112%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+113%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+121%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .398 130 11 1 11 0 .124 .238 .159
Since 2020vs Right .833 721 82 32 87 0 .248 .373 .460
2022vs Left .415 84 6 0 7 0 .139 .262 .153
2022vs Right .879 377 41 18 52 0 .261 .382 .497
2021vs Left .370 34 4 1 3 0 .097 .176 .194
2021vs Right .788 224 26 8 21 0 .239 .375 .413
2020vs Left .350 12 1 0 1 0 .100 .250 .100
2020vs Right .773 120 15 6 14 0 .225 .342 .431
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2021
Even Split
2020
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .808 403 44 17 53 0 .237 .370 .438
Since 2020Away .726 433 46 15 44 0 .223 .337 .389
2022Home .839 221 25 8 28 0 .264 .394 .445
2022Away .751 240 22 10 31 0 .216 .329 .422
2021Home .729 123 11 5 14 0 .188 .333 .396
2021Away .731 135 19 4 10 0 .246 .363 .368
2020Home .856 59 8 4 11 0 .240 .356 .500
2020Away .610 58 5 1 3 0 .200 .310 .300
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Stat Review
How does Daniel Vogelbach compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.64
 
BB Rate
15.8%
 
K Rate
24.7%
 
BABIP
.290
 
ISO
.194
 
AVG
.238
 
OBP
.360
 
SLG
.433
 
OPS
.793
 
wOBA
.351
 
Exit Velocity
89.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.0%
 
Barrels/PA
6.3%
 
Expected BA
.236
 
Expected SLG
.428
 
Sprint Speed
20.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
37.7%
 
Line Drive %
21.2%
 
Fly Ball %
41.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
With the DH now in place in the National League, Vogelbach should have a clear path to an everyday spot in the lineup against right-handed pitching, provided he can keep his strikeouts in check. The 29-year-old has historically been a liability defensively even at first base. For his career, the lefty-hitting Vogelbach has been a well above league-average performer versus righties, slashing .228/.357/.442 (117 wRC+).
Despite being an All-Star just two years ago, Vogelbach was cut loose by the Mariners last August after hitting .094 in 64 PA over 18 games. He was briefly acquired by the Blue Jays, but they also removed him from the roster shortly thereafter and he wound up with the Brewers. That turned out to be a good thing for both team and player, as the Brewers fixed something in his swing and watched him post a .987 OPS over 67 PA games with the club. They were pleased enough with that performance to bring him back for another year, even without the guarantee of the DH remaining in the NL. Vogelbach could fill that spot frequently against righties if it does, but he will probably be a part-time player at best if it does not, as he is not going to face southpaws and the Brewers rarely used him at first base last season.
Vogelbach had brief stints in the majors over the previous three years, but in 2019 he served as an everyday player for the Mariners and clubbed 30 home runs. He had a .208/.341/.439 slash line in 144 games, starting 49 at first base and 80 as the DH. Vogelbach had an .881 OPS with 21 homers in the first half, but he labored over the final few months of the year with a 32.3 K%. He also struggled against same-handed pitching (.270 wOBA vs. LHH, .355 wOBA vs. RHH). The 16.6 BB% kept him playable despite the poor average, so if he can keep that eye at the plate he shouldn't have a problem seeing playing time for the rebuilding Mariners. Vogelbach should have plenty of opportunities with Seattle in 2020 after making a name for himself last season, and at least should be able to serve in a strong-side platoon if his struggles against lefties continue.
Vogelbach broke camp with the Mariners thanks to an impressive spring training, and he saw regular playing time between first base and DH over the first month of the season while Nelson Cruz and Ryon Healy dealt with injuries. The 26-year-old failed to capitalize, hitting just .204/.317/.352 with a 33% strikeout rate in 63 plate appearances, and was sent back to the minors at the end of April. Vogelbach spent the rest of the season shuttling between Triple-A and the majors, excelling with Tacoma but struggling during his limited opportunities with the big club despite an improved approach (6:5 BB:K in his final 39 plate appearances). He continued to show platoon splits, posting a .274 OPS vs. lefties (.745 OPS against LHP at Triple-A). He's out of options and should finally get an extended look against big-league pitching this year, assuming the Mariners can unload Edwin Encarnacion to a contender.
For several years now there has been a push among fantasy owners to "Free Dan Vogelbach," but the reality that he may not fit on a big-league roster is finally starting to sink in. He simply can't play anywhere in the field, so he would need to get starts at DH, and in order for an MLB team to roster a designated hitter who can't play the field, that player would need to be a dominant hitter against big-league pitching. Vogelbach, who is entering his age-25 season, has proven to be at least 20 percent better than the average Triple-A hitter over 258 games at that level. But while he has plus power, it's not special power, and while the jolly lefty mashes righties, he is significantly worse against lefties. So we have a DH-only slugger who may need a platoon partner. That profile just isn't going to win over many modern front offices. Look for him to once again start the year at Triple-A, and keep in mind, he will be out of minor-league options after the 2018 season.
Opportunity is the prevailing force in rotisserie baseball, and now that he's out of Chicago, Vogelbach has a chance to work his way into fantasy prominence. Vogelbach was used sparingly down the stretch in 2016 after being traded to Seattle, but as a 23-year-old Vogelbach beat up on Triple-A pitching to the tune of a .923 OPS, 23 homers and 96 RBI while striking out just four more times (101) than he walked (97) in 563 plate appearances. Safeco Field still skews favorably for pitchers in terms of runs scored, but it was a top-six park for home runs in 2016, so even in a platoon role, Vogelbach could gain and maintain fantasy value outside of AL-only formats. He failed to earn a spot out of spring training but Vogelbach should at least be owned in most keeper leagues with a much clearer path to playing time than he had in Chicago.
Vogelbach came out of the gate on fire last year, slashing .460/.571/.780 with three home runs, 11 runs, 12 RBI, and 13 walks in his first 14 games for Double-A Tennessee. Unfortunately a couple of injuries - which may have sapped his power - slowed him down considerably, and his final line with the Smokies was rather disappointing. True, he'd be an asset in OBP leagues - he's topped 60 walks in each of his last three years - but most look at him and expect him to be a big power-hitting first baseman. He's still just 23, but with Anthony Rizzo blocking him in Chicago, we see a DH job in his future. Don't be surprised to see the Cubs trade him.
Vogelbach is the Cubs' top first baseman in the minors, but it would be a shock to see him overtake Anthony Rizzo as the starter at the big league level at any point. There are some appealing items in his skill set, as he can draw a walk and hit for some power, but he doesn't seem to have anything that truly stands out, and his defensive limitations might make him a future DH. He should spend most of the 2015 season with Double-A Tennessee as a 22-year-old, but unless Rizzo suffers a serious injury, Vogelbach could be trade bait, especially to an AL-team that values on-base percentage more than defense.
Vogelbach is not just some run-of-the-mill slugger. Last year's 73:89 BB:K ratio contributed to a .375 on-base percentage between Low-A Kane County and High-A Daytona. While he only hit 19 home runs in 483 at-bats, he's done all that as a 20-year-old, and certainly projects as a power hitter in the majors. Anthony Rizzo is blocking him at first base, but in two years, who knows? Tuck him away, especially in deep OBP leagues.
Drafted 68th overall in 2011 for his elite power, the 5-foot-11, 255-pound Vogelbach did not disappoint last year, slugging .686 in 102 rookie-ball at-bats and .608 in 143 Low-A ones. He also hit .324 and .322, respectively, at those stops and showed good plate discipline, to boot. Expect the 20-year-old Vogelbach to get a shot at High-A and perhaps Double-A this year, though so long as he remains in the Cubs organization, he's blocked by Anthony Rizzo at first base. Given Vogelbach's frame, we very much doubt a position change is an option.
More Fantasy News
Not starting Game 2
DHNew York Mets
October 8, 2022
Vogelbach will be on the bench for Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Padres on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks two hits, including homer
DHNew York Mets
October 2, 2022
Vogelbach went 2-for-2 with a solo home run and an additional RBI in a 5-3 loss to Atlanta on Sunday.
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Hits bench against lefty
DHNew York Mets
September 30, 2022
Vogelbach will sit Friday against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Sits against left-hander
DHNew York Mets
September 28, 2022
Vogelbach isn't starting Wednesday against Miami.
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Remains on bench vs. lefty
DHNew York Mets
September 25, 2022
Vogelbach is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Athletics, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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