Derek Hill

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Washington Nationals NRI

2022 Stats

AVG

.229

RBI

2023 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

A first-round pick by the Tigers in 2014, Hill has carried the "bust" label for several years now due to injury and middling performance. He is still just 27 years old, however, and showed in his brief sample with Detroit last year that he can still turn on the burners, posting sprint speed ranking in the 97th percentile. Hill appeared in 80 MLB games over the past two seasons and slashed .248/.297/.351 with 70 strikeouts, four home runs and nine steals in 12 attempts -- certainly not great, but not completely embarrassing for a player who can play a high-level center field. The Nationals brought Hill in on a minor-league contract with an invitation to major-league spring training. Washington will have a lot of at-bats to spread around in the first full year of its rebuild, and Hill could end up with some of those, if mostly by attrition over the course of a long season. Read Past Outlooks

League NRI

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man No

Height 6'2"

Weight 190

DOB 12/30/1995

Born Des Moines, IA

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2014 DET

Gets NRI deal

OFWashington Nationals NRI

November 15, 2022

Hill signed a minor-league contract with the Nationals on Tuesday that includes an invite to big-league spring training, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.

ANALYSIS
A superb defensive center fielder who has been unable to hit big-league pitching, Hill could get reps in Washington in 2023, given how barren the depth chart is. The 26-year-old has a career .240/.291/.339 slash line with four home runs and nine steals in 254 MLB plate appearances.

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Batting Stats

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2022

2021

2020

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2020

+49%

OPS vs LHP

2022

+96%

OPS vs LHP

2021

+25%

OPS vs LHP

2020

-100%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020vs Left	.789	93	11	1	5	2	.322	.344	.444
Since 2020vs Right	.529	158	19	3	12	7	.186	.258	.271
2022vs Left	.837	28	3	0	0	0	.370	.393	.444
2022vs Right	.427	64	5	1	3	3	.161	.213	.214
2021vs Left	.792	63	8	1	5	2	.311	.333	.459
2021vs Right	.632	87	11	2	9	4	.218	.299	.333
2020vs Left	.000	2	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
2020vs Right	.143	7	3	0	0	0	.000	.143	.000
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2020

+35%

OPS at Home

2022

+13%

OPS at Home

2021

+45%

OPS at Home

2020

-100%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2020Home	.734	119	17	3	7	4	.264	.319	.415
Since 2020Away	.544	131	13	1	10	5	.220	.267	.276
2022Home	.595	45	5	1	2	1	.231	.262	.333
2022Away	.527	47	3	0	1	2	.227	.277	.250
2021Home	.842	70	10	2	5	3	.297	.357	.484
2021Away	.582	80	9	1	9	3	.227	.275	.307
2020Home	.250	4	2	0	0	0	.000	.250	.000
2020Away	.000	4	1	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
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Stat Review

How does Derek Hill compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.18

BB Rate

5.4%

K Rate

30.4%

BABIP

.327

ISO

.060

AVG

.229

OBP

.270

SLG

.289

OPS

.559

wOBA

.251

Exit Velocity

85.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

18.6%

Barrels/PA

2.2%

Expected BA

.193

Expected SLG

.242

Sprint Speed

25.6 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

49.0%

Line Drive %

21.6%

Fly Ball %

29.4%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2017

2016

2015

The ultra-athletic Hill was a first round selection by the Tigers in the 2014 draft, but he has struggled to stay healthy or make consistent contact since entering the minors. Quad and knee injuries limited him to 53 games in 2015 and he ended 2016 on the disabled list following reconstructive elbow surgery. He hit a career-best .266 while repeating Low-A in 2016, though he bashed just one home run and struck out 105 times in 93 contests. While Hill swiped 35 bases over that span, he posted an anemic .312 OBP. The injuries, lack of power and impatience at the dish have caused Hill's prospect luster to fade, as his baseball skills have not been able to catch up with his raw tools. Hill remains a stellar defensive center fielder with plus-plus speed, but the 20-year-old has major red flags in the batter's box. Staying healthy in 2017 will be paramount if he is to make up for lost time.

Injuries have stalled the development of the Tigers’ first-round pick in the 2014 draft. Hill has played in just 90 games since being drafted, primarily due to lower-body injuries, and he dealt with a quad issue in April and then missed the entire second half with a knee injury. The number-one selling point with Hill as a fantasy prospect is his speed, which bordered on 80-grade entering the draft. However, as the lower-body injuries have mounted, not only has his speed been put at risk but he has also lost valuable reps to improve upon a fringey hit tool. It is too early to write off Hill entering his age-20 season, but the onus is now on him to prove he can stay relatively healthy over a full season before dynasty league owners start to buy back in.

The Tigers selected Hill with their first-round pick of the 2014 first-year player draft. Immediately after being selected, Hill was considered one of the Tigers' best prospects. The 19-year-old outfielder possesses plus-plus speed, which allows him to be a disruptive force on the basepaths. He’s also considered a premium defender and will likely patrol center field once he reaches the majors. At the plate, Hill has demonstrated elevated discipline for a player of his age, but his power potential appears to be limited to the double-digit range if he doesn’t more bulk than expected. Even with low-to-modest power production, Hill’s stellar speed and defense should one day earn him a regular spot in a major league lineup. He’ll need to work his way through the minors over the next few years, but Hill will eventually be a regular presence in Detroit’s outfield if he develops as projected.

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