Dustin May

25-Year-Old PitcherSP

Los Angeles Dodgers

2022 Stats

W-L

2-3

ERA

4.50

WHIP

1.17

2023 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2023 Fantasy Outlook

It took May 475 days to resume his major league pitching career after his Tommy John Surgery in May of 2021. He made six starts for the Dodgers and pitched about as well as any young arm recovering from a major surgery would. The velocity and movement were there as those two aspects are typically the first things to come back, but the command was not as he struggled to throw strikes and was more hittable than the guy we saw before he went down with his injury. Even with all the challenges, he still had three pitches with greater than a 30% whiff rate, so it really comes down to him getting more repetitions and rediscovering his command. His electric stuff is rarely straight, but he must be able to put it where it needs to go and not rely upon it getting there accidentally. The work on reshaping his slider toward the end of the season is worth watching as well. Drafting his full ceiling is risky given the fact he has never worked a full season at the major league level and has never eclipsed the 135 inning mark in any one season as a professional. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#156

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'6"

Weight 180

DOB 9/6/1997

Born Justin, TX

College None

Drafted 3rd Rd 2016 LAD

Throws 94 pitches in final tune-up

PLos Angeles Dodgers

March 26, 2023

May completed 5.2 innings in a Cactus League start against Kansas City on Saturday, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits and no walks while striking out four batters.

ANALYSIS
May's outing was the longest by a Dodgers pitcher this spring and puts him in line to handle a nearly full workload once the regular season begins. The right-hander was tagged by Bobby Witt Jr. for a three-run homer in the third inning but otherwise allowed just one run. May is scheduled to start Los Angeles' second game of the season Friday at home against Arizona.

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Pitching Stats

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2022

2021

2020

2019

2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Dustin May generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Dustin May generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-6%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-39%

BAA vs LHP

2021

-26%

BAA vs LHP

2020

-20%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2020vs Left	.200	225	59	25	39	5	0	9
Since 2020vs Right	.213	215	48	9	43	3	0	7
2022vs Left	.148	66	17	9	8	1	0	1
2022vs Right	.241	61	12	5	13	1	0	2
2021vs Left	.159	49	23	5	7	2	0	2
2021vs Right	.214	44	12	1	9	0	0	2
2020vs Left	.247	110	19	11	24	2	0	6
2020vs Right	.198	110	24	3	21	2	0	3
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2020

-33%

ERA on Road

2022

-68%

ERA on Road

2021

-8%

ERA at Home

2020

Even Split

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2020Home	3.93	1.19	50.1	2	3	0	9.1	3.4	1.4
Since 2020Away	2.63	0.99	54.2	3	2	0	8.6	2.5	1.3
2022Home	7.07	1.50	14.0	1	2	0	11.6	5.8	1.3
2022Away	2.25	0.88	16.0	1	1	0	6.2	2.8	0.6
2021Home	2.61	1.06	10.1	0	0	0	13.9	1.7	0.9
2021Away	2.84	0.87	12.2	1	1	0	13.5	2.8	2.1
2020Home	2.77	1.08	26.0	1	1	0	5.9	2.8	1.7
2020Away	2.77	1.12	26.0	1	0	0	7.6	2.1	1.4
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Dustin May compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.07

K/9

8.7

BB/9

4.2

HR/9

0.9

Fastball

97.7 mph

ERA

4.50

WHIP

1.17

BABIP

.245

GB/FB

2.05

Left On Base

58.4%

Exit Velocity

80.2 mph

Barrels/BBE

3.1%

Spin Rate

2477 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

20.9%

Swinging Strike

13.5%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Dustin May Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Dodgers Depth Chart

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dustin May See More

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: And So It Begins

Yesterday

Todd Zola shares his pitcher rankings for the first week of the season, covering both four-day and 11-day periods.

RotoWire Roundtable: Fantasy Baseball Top 300 Final Update

6 days ago

The RotoWire Roundtable crew is back with their final update of the spring, with injuries shaking things up as early as the back half of the first round.

RotoWire Roundtable: Mid-March Fantasy Baseball Top 300 Update

15 days ago

The RotoWire Roundtable Rankings feature a new player at the top, with Ronald Acuna slipping past Trea Turner to lead a tightly-packed top five.

RotoWire Roundtable: Updated Top-300 Fantasy Baseball Rankings

34 days ago

The RotoWire Roundtable crew shares their updated rankings, with changes as early as the second pick of the draft.

Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West

35 days ago

In a loaded Dodgers rotation, Brad Johnson believes Julio Urias doesn't get the hype he deserves and could be a bargain in drafts.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2021

2020

2019

2017

While May was used in a flexible role during the postseason, he was mostly a true starter during the regular season, starting 10 of his 12 games. Judging purely by his 2.57 ERA, it appears as though he's already delivering on his considerable hype, but his underlying numbers don't paint him in quite the same light, especially his 4.62 FIP. May's 54.7% groundball rate and 7.1 BB% were both strong, but his 19.6 K% wasn't very impressive. He wasn't a high strikeout guy in the minors, either, posting a 23.3 K% at the two highest levels. May's 8.4% swinging-strike rate came in a full three ticks below league average, so, despite his pedigree, don't expect him to suddenly start racking up whiffs any time soon. It's certainly possible to carve out a long and successful career with modest strikeout numbers, and May has the rest of the profile necessary to make that work, but it does put a cap on his ceiling.

May logged over five innings in four of his first five MLB appearances and then shifted to a bullpen role due to the Dodgers' impressive rotation depth. He is the best pitching prospect in a deep system, even though his strikeout rates don't stand out. His 44.4 GB% in the majors was easily his worst mark in pro ball, and generating weak contact will be critical if May is to be a No. 2 or No. 3 starter. His repertoire is unusual, as his three best pitches (sinker, cutter, fourseam fastball) are all thrown at over 90 mph, while he has not had much success with his curveball, changeup or slider. That said, he turned 22 in September, so he is not a finished product, and no other MLB pitcher his age throws six distinct pitches with above-average command. There will be stiff competition for the Dodgers' final rotation spots. Even if May doesn't break camp in the rotation, he should still make double-digit starts.

If May can improve his secondary pitches, he would have No. 2 starter upside. Considering he is entering his age-21 season, we certainly can't rule out that possibility. A lean 6-foot-6, 180-pound righty, May has steadily increased his fastball velocity, and that pitch is now a mid-90s worm-killing monster (GB% around 55%), which gives his repertoire an excellent base. He has two decent secondary offerings in his curveball and cutter, but both pitches still need a good deal of refinement. His control was excellent (4.2 BB%) in 17 starts at High-A, and while that mark almost doubled after a promotion to Double-A (8.3 BB%), he comfortably projects to have at least 50-grade command/control in the majors. May should return to Double-A to start the year, but could spend most of 2019 at Triple-A. If he improves those two secondary offerings, his stock will skyrocket. If not, he could be a groundball-heavy No. 4 starter or power reliever.

A tall, lanky right-hander boasting an impressive mid-90s fastball with sink, May showed unexpectedly stellar command in 30.1 innings in the Arizona League following the 2016 draft. The teenager posted a 34:4 K:BB over that span, did not allow a single home run and ended up with a 3.86 ERA in his first taste of the minors. At 6-foot-6, there are some concerns about his ability to repeat his delivery, though May did not have any issues to begin his professional career. It is just as likely that May ends up in the bullpen, but for now he will remain a starter. The development of a third pitch will be key in his growth. The Dodgers could decide to be bullish on May and start him at Low-A Great Lakes to begin the 2017 campaign.

More Fantasy News

Starting second game for LA

PLos Angeles Dodgers

March 25, 2023

May will make his first start of the regular season in the Dodgers' second game of the campaign, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.