2024 Stats
AVG
.209
HR
3
RBI
25
R
19
SB
2
2025 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
There was a time when Carlson was one of the top prospects in baseball. There likely wasn't a scenario where managers envisioned Carlson signing a one-year deal at age 26 after being dumped by his second organization, but Baltimore swooped in and gave him a six-figure guarantee after he was non-tendered by Tampa Bay at the deadline. The Rays acquired Carlson at the last second of the deadline and hoped there was some more magic dust in the cupboard that had been applied to Randy Arozarena and Tommy Pham when those two outfielders were acquired from St. Louis, but the canister must have had an expiration date, as Carlson did very little for the Rays. He hit all three of his homers for them and hit 20 points better after the trade, but his actual and expected batting average on non-off-speed pitches was below .200 and his swing-and-miss rate was at least 30 percent on all pitch types. The old adage that says, once you display a skill, you own it, applies here, because Carlson has nearly 1,750 plate appearances in his major league career, and outside of a hot second half of 2021 in which he hit 11 homers with a .277/.343/.505 slash line, he has done very little over the remaining 1,500 plate appearances on his resume. Read Past Outlooks
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Gets one-year deal from Baltimore
The Orioles signed Carlson to a one-year, $975,000 contract Monday, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
He'll earn an additional $25,000 if he gets to 200 plate appearances. Carlson was non-tendered by the Rays earlier this offseason after finishing the 2024 season with an ugly .209/.287/.277 batting line over 96 contests between St. Louis and Tampa Bay. The switch hitter has had just one healthy and productive season in the majors and that was his rookie year back in 2021. However, Carlson is still just 26 and has hit .285/.361/.431 versus left-handed pitching, so he could be a useful short-side platoon bat for the Orioles.
He'll earn an additional $25,000 if he gets to 200 plate appearances. Carlson was non-tendered by the Rays earlier this offseason after finishing the 2024 season with an ugly .209/.287/.277 batting line over 96 contests between St. Louis and Tampa Bay. The switch hitter has had just one healthy and productive season in the majors and that was his rookie year back in 2021. However, Carlson is still just 26 and has hit .285/.361/.431 versus left-handed pitching, so he could be a useful short-side platoon bat for the Orioles.
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
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#4
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#7
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#9
3
2
1
8
7
2
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#9
4
1
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13
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2024
+13%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .747 | 342 | 6 | 31 | .265 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .600 | 666 | 10 | 64 | .204 | ||||
2024vs Left | .603 | 116 | 1 | 9 | .212 | ||||
2024vs Right | .533 | 149 | 2 | 17 | .206 | ||||
2023vs Left | .771 | 85 | 2 | 7 | .268 | ||||
2023vs Right | .592 | 170 | 3 | 20 | .196 | ||||
2022vs Left | .845 | 141 | 3 | 15 | .305 | ||||
2022vs Right | .633 | 347 | 5 | 27 | .207 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+17%
OPS at Home
2024
+24%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .702 | 491 | 10 | 55 | .238 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .600 | 517 | 6 | 39 | .211 | ||||
2024Home | .628 | 121 | 2 | 13 | .241 | ||||
2024Away | .505 | 144 | 1 | 12 | .179 | ||||
2023Home | .657 | 140 | 3 | 16 | .220 | ||||
2023Away | .643 | 115 | 2 | 11 | .219 | ||||
2022Home | .771 | 230 | 5 | 26 | .249 | ||||
2022Away | .631 | 258 | 3 | 16 | .226 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.29BB Rate
8.3%K Rate
28.3%BABIP
.288ISO
.068AVG
.209OBP
.287SLG
.277OPS
.563wOBA
.259Exit Velocity
86.8 mphHard Hit Rate
26.4%Barrels/PA
1.5%Expected BA
.195Expected SLG
.270Sprint Speed
23.1 ft/secGround Ball %
41.0%Line Drive %
20.5%Fly Ball %
38.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Just a few short years ago, Carlson was regarded as a promising, up-and-coming big leaguer, but his shine has taken a considerable hit on account of his .230/.316/.364 batting line over the past two seasons (743 plate appearances). He injured his left ankle in mid-May of last year and battled the ankle throughout the campaign before ultimately undergoing surgery in September. The outfielder was cleared for running and baseball activities in December, but he will still be brought along slowly in spring training. Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol once considered Carlson his leadoff hitter of the future, and his optimism was justified after a 2021 season in which Carlson had 53 extra-base hits and a .343 OBP at the age of 22. Now 25, Carlson figures to bounce back with better luck on the health front, though he is not assured a regular role out of camp and may in fact open the year as the Cardinals' fourth outfielder.
More Fantasy News
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Let go by Rays
Carlson was non-tendered by the Rays on Friday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ends season with three hits
Carlson went 3-for-4 with an RBI on Sunday against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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At DH, batting second Monday
Carlson will start at designated hitter and bat second in Monday's game versus the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Idle Wednesday
Carlson isn't in the Rays' lineup for Wednesday's game against the Athletics, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Tuesday's lineup
Carlson is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game at Oakland, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
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Three teams showing interest
Carlson is drawing trade interest from the Guardians, Angels and Nationals, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Carlson is a change-of-scenery candidate, having slashed just .212/.303/.300 while being limited to only 135 games due to injury since the start of the 2023 season. The switch hitter is still just 25 and under team control through 2026, and there appear to be some clubs interested in buying low.
Carlson is a change-of-scenery candidate, having slashed just .212/.303/.300 while being limited to only 135 games due to injury since the start of the 2023 season. The switch hitter is still just 25 and under team control through 2026, and there appear to be some clubs interested in buying low.