German Marquez

German Marquez

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Colorado Rockies
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/15/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for German Marquez in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKSFrom Preseason
#601
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $20 million contract extension with the Rockies in September of 2023.
Appears in Complex League game
PColorado Rockies
Elbow
May 11, 2024
Marquez (elbow) gave up three earned runs on four hits and one walk over 1.2 innings in his first rehab start Friday with the Rockies' rookie-level Arizona Complex League affiliate.
ANALYSIS
Marquez had been making appearances in extended spring training, but kicking off his rehab assignment in the ACL -- albeit in less-than-impressive fashion -- marks an important milestone in his recovery from the Tommy John surgery he underwent May 12, 2023. He'll continue to ramp up his pitch count in his subsequent rehab outings and could be ready to come off the 60-day IL around midseason.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .274 471 93 44 114 26 4 20
Since 2022vs Right .249 388 74 22 90 25 2 14
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .233 47 11 2 10 3 1 3
2023vs Right .290 33 6 1 9 3 0 1
2022vs Left .279 424 82 42 104 23 3 17
2022vs Right .245 355 68 21 81 22 2 13
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-43%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-49%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 6.53 1.55 92.1 3 6 0 8.2 2.3 1.9
Since 2022Away 3.70 1.16 109.1 8 9 0 6.8 3.5 1.2
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 3.60 0.60 5.0 1 0 0 7.2 0.0 0.0
2023Away 5.40 1.27 15.0 1 2 0 7.8 1.8 2.4
2022Home 6.70 1.60 87.1 2 6 0 8.2 2.5 2.0
2022Away 3.43 1.14 94.1 7 7 0 6.7 3.7 1.0
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring German Marquez See More
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
61 days ago
Jan Levine kicks off the column for 2024 and examines all the NL positional battles.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
92 days ago
Brad Johnson helps get ready for draft day by analyzing pitching staffs, and this week he focuses on the National League West, and in Los Angeles, Walker Buehler will start the season on the IL.
Collette Calls: 2024 NL West Bold Predictions
146 days ago
Last year's NL West bold predictions correctly pegged Blake Snell as the future Cy Young. Will Tyler Glasnow continue the trend?
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Nagging Wrist Soreness for Guerrero
May 8, 2023
Jeff Stotts checks in with this week’s biggest injury news, starting with Toronto’s Vladimir Guerrero, who continues to be plagued by lingering soreness in his left wrist.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
April 30, 2023
A few NL hitters have impressed since being promoted, and Jan Levine reviews a couple of them in this week's column.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Well-earned nod
PColorado Rockies
March 29, 2023
Marquez earned the nod as the Rockies' Opening Day starter after recording a sparkling 0.53 ERA over 17.0 innings in Cactus League.
ANALYSIS
Marquez' spring performance is encouraging, but expectations should be tempered. Marquez was burned by the long ball last season, allowing 30 home runs -- tied for fourth most in the league. His hard-hit percentage allowed of 47.2 percent ranked among the worst in baseball. He also posted the lowest strikeout rate of any full season in his career. Even if he bounces back, Marquez is best viewed as a streamer when on the road.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
For years, Marquez was a pitcher fantasy players longed to see get a chance outside of Colorado, as his park-adjusted numbers were quite strong. That changed last season. Marquez managed an ERA- of 88 through the end of 2021, but that number spiked to 108 last year as his ERA jumped to 5.00. His 1.49 HR/9 effectively tied his career-worst mark of 1.50, set back in 2019, but his struggles went beyond just the long ball. His strikeout rate fell by four points to 19.3%, while his groundball rate dipped to a merely above-average 47.6%, his lowest mark since 2018. Toss in a merely average 8.1 BB% and you get a pitcher who would be fine but forgettable on most teams and a potential disaster in Denver. If you can justify giving a roster spot to Marquez while only ever using him on the road, you could be in fine shape, as his 6.70 home ERA last season came with a 3.43 road ERA, but expecting anything more than that may be unwise.
Marquez is one of the league's best starters, but he makes half his starts in Colorado where he can get BABIP'd to death. Over his career, he has a 3.85 ERA and .285 BABIP on the road and at home those numbers jump to 4.73 and .330, respectively. Last season, the narrative got turned on its head a bit. The big difference was his 57.7 GB% at home (0.8 HR/9) compared to a 43.9 GB% (1.4 HR/9) on the road. The discrepancy seemed to be based primarily on him pitching low in the zone at home and high on the road since his pitch mix was nearly identical. Maybe he should just throw low in the zone all the time since he's one of the few starters with two pitches boasting a 20% or higher swinging-strike rate. Due to his home field and nonexistent offense, Marquez won't be worth the hassle for many, but there is value to be extracted here if you pick your spots right.
Marquez is under contract with the Rockies for another three guaranteed years (with a fourth-year team option for 2024), which is a shame because it would be wonderful to see what he could do statistically in a full season away from Coors Field. As if 2020 did not suck enough, Marquez took a beating at home with a 5.68 ERA and a .296 opponents' batting average in 38 innings of work. He was not hurt by homers (two), but the expansiveness of the outfield and the altitude's impact on his breaking stuff make him too hittable. Conversely, he had a 2.06 road ERA and a .201 opponents' batting average away from Coors. His overall strikeout rate fell for a third consecutive season, pushing his K-BB% to a rather pedestrian 14% last season. He has not lost any velocity, so the drop in strikeouts could have been a result of the unbalanced scheduling of 2020.
A divisive player last draft season, Marquez's backers argued his huge second half in 2018 proved he could thrive anywhere, while his detractors pointed to the long list of pitchers before him who couldn't tame Coors Field. Though Marquez displayed stellar skills -- his 19.4 K-BB% and 12.7 SwSt% were both top 20 among qualified starters -- the skeptics ultimately got the last laugh. Marquez submitted a bloated 6.26 ERA (3.30 xFIP) and 1.55 WHIP in 13 starts at altitude, and his road numbers, while good, couldn't atone for the Coors-inflicted damage. For that reason, Marquez is best suited for leagues with daily lineup moves, but those rostering him in weekly formats should aim to fill out their staff with low ERA/WHIP arms. Despite the ratio risk he carries, Marquez offers high-end strikeout upside; he was tracking for a second straight 200-K season until he was shuttered in late August with an arm injury.
Marquez took a big leap in his second full season, finishing eighth in the major leagues in strikeouts. Something clicked around midseason. He posted a 2.41 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 137:20 K:BB in his final 16 starts spanning 108.1 innings, including a minuscule 1.90 ERA at Coors Field during that stretch. Both his breaking pitches -- his curveball and his slider -- had swinging-strike rates north of 20%, and Marquez had the fourth-best K-BB% among qualified starters in the second half (28.4%). The Coors Field effect is always risky on a start-to-start basis, but Marquez has two full seasons under his belt and will turn just 24 in February, so there's plenty of reason to expect growth and continued success.
Fun with small samples: in nearly the same number of innings, Marquez's home ERA was 4.59 compared to 4.19 away from Coors Field, which makes sense. However, a 1.26 home WHIP versus 1.49 away is curious until you see Marquez's road BABIP was a bloated .331. Skills-wise, Marquez fanned more and walked fewer at home, though he predictably surrendered more homers in Coors. The message isn't Marquez is a better pitcher at home, but rather if he can improve his performance on the road, which he should, he can be a useful starter. In his favor is a low walk rate (2.7 BB/9) and a groundball tilt (45.2 percent) to help combat the long ball. Colorado did an excellent job managing his innings, limiting the righty to 29 starts spanning 162 frames. Marquez should eclipse that total in 2018, but not by much as the Rockies look to protect their still just 23-year-old arm.
Marquez was more or less an add-on in the trade that brought Jake McGee to Colorado from Tampa Bay, but after one season in the Rockies' system, it seems like the 21-year-old was actually the true prize. The right-hander started off strong, holding a 2.85 ERA and a 126:33 K:BB ratio with Double-A Hartford, prompting a promotion to Triple-A Albuquerque. He also performed well at that stop, leading the Rockies to send Marquez to the big leagues ahead of schedule. The top prospect had some rough outings with Colorado, but he also displayed the pitching prominence that led the Rockies to accelerate him through their farm system. His pitching style fits his future home park quite well (good control, few home runs allowed), and if he can continue to adjust to big league hitters, Marquez could break camp in the rotation and become one of its staples for years to come.
More Fantasy News
Facing hitters at extended spring
PColorado Rockies
Elbow
May 7, 2024
Rockies manager Bud Black said April 24 that Marquez (elbow) hasn't experienced any setbacks since he resumed facing hitters at extended spring training in Arizona, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Opens season on 60-day IL
PColorado Rockies
Elbow
March 24, 2024
The Rockies placed Marquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing off mound
PColorado Rockies
Elbow
February 16, 2024
Marquez (elbow) threw off a mound Friday, Patrick Lyons of TheDNVR.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Return after All-Star break likely
PColorado Rockies
Elbow
January 28, 2024
Rockies GM Bill Schmidt said Sunday that Marquez (elbow) isn't expected to be activated from the injured list until after the All-Star break, Patrick Lyons of TheDNVR.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Inks two-year extension
PColorado Rockies
Elbow
September 8, 2023
Colorado signed Marquez (elbow) to a two-year, $20 million contract extension Friday.
ANALYSIS
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