Grant Holmes

Grant Holmes

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Holmes reached the majors for the first time last season after spending a decade in the minor leagues, and he was more than just a feel-good story for Atlanta. The right-hander proved plenty capable between starting and relief work, posting a 3.56 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 70:15 K:BB over 68.1 total innings. His breaking pitches in particular were excellent swing-and-miss offerings for him. Holmes' career Triple-A walk rate of 4.1 per nine is more than double his mark from his debut season in the majors, so some giveback with his walk rate would make sense. Still, he seems to have established himself on the big-league pitching staff and the expectation is that Holmes will be in the mix for a rotation spot this spring. Atlanta will have to limit him at some point, but somewhere around 120 innings might be possible if his health cooperates. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#297
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2025.
Strikes out six in win
PAtlanta Braves
May 24, 2025
Holmes (3-3) earned the win against the Padres on Saturday, allowing one run on six hits and one walk with six strikeouts over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
Holmes allowed a run in the third inning but was otherwise fantastic, tossing 65 of 94 pitches for strikes with 12 whiffs. The 29-year-old has now logged quality starts in four of five May outings, issuing just one walk three times in that span. He owns a 3.68 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 55:26 K:BB across 58.2 innings and lines up for a home matchup with the Red Sox next weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2020
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2024 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Grant Holmes generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Grant Holmes generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .234 253 56 18 54 12 0 4
Since 2023vs Right .223 270 69 23 54 5 0 13
2025vs Left .195 126 28 12 22 5 0 4
2025vs Right .204 115 27 14 20 2 0 6
2024vs Left .271 127 28 6 32 7 0 0
2024vs Right .236 155 42 9 34 3 0 7
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-57%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 2.70 1.11 66.2 3 2 0 9.9 2.3 0.7
Since 2023Away 4.62 1.24 60.1 2 2 0 7.8 3.6 1.8
2025Home 2.36 1.19 34.1 2 2 0 9.7 3.4 1.0
2025Away 5.55 1.11 24.1 1 1 0 6.7 4.8 2.2
2024Home 3.06 1.02 32.1 1 0 0 10.0 1.1 0.3
2024Away 4.00 1.33 36.0 1 1 0 8.5 2.8 1.5
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Grant Holmes compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.12
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
4.0
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
94.4 mph
 
ERA
3.68
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.225
 
GB/FB
1.68
 
Left On Base
81.5%
 
Exit Velocity
84.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.6%
 
Spin Rate
2574 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.9%
 
Swinging Strike
11.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2018
2017
2016
2015
Holmes was one of the three players the Dodgers sent to the A's to acquire Josh Reddick back in 2016. Holmes has pitched in professional baseball for six years now, yet he has still only thrown 4.2 innings above the Double-A level. He had a nasty bout of shoulder trouble in 2018 which washed away all but six innings of that season. There are durability concerns here as well as command troubles, leading most to believe he is headed to the bullpen despite the fact he has enough of a repertoire to go as a starter. He turns 25 just before the start of the season, so Oakland will likely bring him to the big-league level and ease him into things through the bullpen to see how he does. This is his last season with a minor-league option, so it will be sink-or-swim for the 2014 first-round pick.
Holmes, who turns 22 in March, is nearing the majors, but the No. 3 starter upside that was once very apparent, has started to fade. His low-90s fastball and solid curveball are both above-average pitches, but he has fringe-average command, and his changeup is little more than a change-of-pace offering. He has the heft (6-foot-1, 215 pounds) to handle a starter's workload, and has been relatively healthy as a pro. Holmes could make it as a No. 4 starter, and may make his big-league debut this summer. However, without a quality third pitch and without above-average command, he will be susceptible to blow-up starts. In the end, he may fit better as a seventh- or eighth-inning reliever. For dynasty-league owners who are simply looking for big-league innings in the not-so-distant future, Holmes is worth hanging on to, but don't expect those innings to be very impressive, especially in 2018.
Even prior to coming over to the A's in the Josh Reddick/Rich Hill trade, Holmes struggled to command the ball the way a future No. 2 or No. 3 starter needs to, posting a career-worst 1.39 WHIP in 105.1 innings with High-A Rancho Cucamonga. Part of that is the California League favoring offense but for a pitcher with Holmes' raw stuff and upside, it was not unreasonable to look for him to mow down High-A hitters with ease all summer long. His dynasty league value took a hit after he allowed 22 earned runs while posting a 24:10 K:BB and throwing 10 wild pitches in 28.2 innings with High-A Stockton. While some of that could be attributed to the harsh pitching conditions and potential mechanical adjustments suggested by his new team, it also has a whiff of the Dodgers cutting bait at the exact right time on an arm they perceived to be overvalued by the industry. On the bright side, he won't turn 21 until late March.
Holmes, the 19th overall pick of the Dodgers in 2014, doesn’t turn 20 until March but he's already made enough strides to possibly see time on top-100 prospect lists at some point this year. He was treated cautiously in 2015, spending all season with Low-A Great Lakes. The relatively high WHIP was driven by a 4.7 BB/9, but with more experience and coaching that number should come down over time. Holmes can throw into the mid-90s and above as needed, though he's generally shown to be more effective in the 91-94 mph range. His curveball has plus potential, though his changeup is still developing like many young hurlers. Holmes appears set to challenge hitters in the hitter-friendly California League to open the year, with the possibility that he could finish in Double-A depending on how things go. A late 2017 debut in the bigs isn't out of question.
Getting Holmes with the 22nd pick in the 2014 draft may turn out to be a steal for the Dodgers. The 6-foot-1 righty has a thick 215-pound frame, and as an 18-year-old, he showed good control and an excellent fastball/curveball combo, posting a 58:13 K:BB ratio in 48.1 innings of rookie ball. Holmes is second only to Julio Urias in terms of pitching upside in the Dodgers’ system. He has the realistic projection of a No. 3 starter with the potential to be a No. 2 starter if he can develop his changeup into a third plus pitch to go with his curveball and mid-90s fastball. Considering that he is probably three full seasons away from the major leagues, there is risk with Holmes, as with all young pitchers, but with the relative weakness of the 2014 class, he should not last long in dynasty league drafts this year.
More Fantasy News
Tosses quality start Saturday
PAtlanta Braves
May 17, 2025
Holmes allowed two runs on three hits and four walks while striking out five batters over six innings in a no-decision against Boston on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Sticking in Atlanta rotation
PAtlanta Braves
May 15, 2025
Holmes will remain in Atlanta's rotation after Bryce Elder was optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Could get booted from rotation
PAtlanta Braves
May 15, 2025
Holmes could be moved to the Atlanta bullpen when Spencer Strider (hamstring) returns from the 15-day injured list next week, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Limits Nats to one run
PAtlanta Braves
May 12, 2025
Holmes allowed one run on four hits and one walk while striking out four over 6.1 innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Shaky in third loss Wednesday
PAtlanta Braves
May 7, 2025
Holmes (2-3) took the loss Wednesday against the Reds after allowing four runs on seven hits and one walk in 5.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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