Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Canning's major-league career has been plagued by injuries and inconsistent performance. He pitched through some elbow irritation last season en route to a career-high 171.2 innings, but it came with a 5.19 ERA, third worst among qualified starters. Atlanta acquired him from the Angels in late October, only to non-tender him weeks later. His strikeout rate dipped to just 17.6 percent last season, by far a career low, and Canning served up 31 home runs. The right-hander is still just 28 and might be a worthwhile reclamation project. The Mets were the ones to roll the dice, signing Canning to a one-year, $4.25 million contract in December to compete for a rotation spot. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#422
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.25 million contract with the Mets in December of 2024.
Fans nine in Monday's start
PNew York Mets
March 19, 2025
Canning gave up a run on three hits and a walk over 4.2 innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Rays. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander built up to 71 pitches (45 strikes) in a dominant outing that was blemished only by a Josh Lowe solo shot in the first inning. Canning was never able to reach his potential with the Angels, but he may have figured something out with the help of the Mets' coaching staff. Over 10 Grapefruit League innings he's delivered a stunning 16:2 K:BB, and Lowe's homer marked the first run he's allowed this spring.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .250 645 127 62 143 26 4 22
Since 2023vs Right .264 630 142 40 152 21 2 31
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .272 386 66 42 92 18 2 16
2024vs Right .258 353 64 24 82 10 1 15
2023vs Left .217 259 61 20 51 8 2 6
2023vs Right .271 277 78 16 70 11 1 16
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-12%
ERA at Home
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 4.53 1.36 151.0 10 8 0 8.4 3.6 1.3
Since 2023Away 5.12 1.29 147.2 3 13 0 7.8 2.6 1.9
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home 4.45 1.42 93.0 6 3 0 7.2 4.0 1.3
2024Away 6.06 1.37 78.2 0 10 0 6.4 2.9 2.1
2023Home 4.66 1.28 58.0 4 5 0 10.4 2.9 1.4
2023Away 4.04 1.20 69.0 3 3 0 9.4 2.2 1.7
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Griffin Canning See More
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3 days ago
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5 days ago
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6 days ago
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6 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
13 days ago
Jan Levine kicks off the column for 2025 and examines all the NL positional battles.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
After missing 2022 with a lower-back stress fracture, Canning's season got off to an inauspicious start as began the campaign on the IL with a groin injury. Fortunately, he required only the minimum 15-day visit and went on to toss a career high 127 innings, starting 22 of 24 outings. He did revisit the IL in late July for a calf injury, but only missed three weeks, though it served to keep his inning in check. Considering Canning hadn't thrown a competitive pitch since 2021, his 4.32 ERA was impressive, but a 3.82 xFIP and 3.80 SIERA indicate he pitched even better. His 19.2 percent K-BB percent ranked 22nd among hurlers throwing at least 120 innings. His pitch mix was similar to before he was hurt, but his four-seamer ticked up 1-mph. Even so, Canning's swinging strike rate dropped from 2021, but his called strike rate improved. There's strikeout upside if he can induce more swinging strikes without losing any called strikes. Canning has always yielded homers at a high rate, so he's best used as a streamer, but he can be a sneaky asset if others are scared off by a seemingly high ERA.
Canning was expected to compete for the sixth spot in the Angels' rotation last season, but setbacks from a lower-back stress fracture that first popped up during the previous campaign ruined his spring and eventually wiped out his entire season. The right-hander didn't exactly shine during the previous campaign, posting a 5.60 ERA (5.48 FIP) and 1.48 WHIP over 62.2 innings. Canning has averaged over a strikeout an inning so far as a big-leaguer, but he's had trouble locating his fastball and has posted a 1.6 HR/9 over 209.1 career frames. He'll be about 20 months removed from his last game action when spring training rolls around, so it may take some time for him to work his arm back into shape. He'll be among a group of pitchers vying for a spot at the back of the Angels' rotation, but it may take a strong spring for him to make the Opening Day roster.
Canning was one of the players who benefitted from the shortened season. March drafters did not know what to do with him after he came down with a balky elbow early in camp and received PRP injections. He was a wild card for drafts because many assumed he would go the way of Garrett Richards, Shohei Ohtani and Andrew Heaney before him and eventually have season-ending Tommy John surgery. Canning, in fact, made a full 11 starts in 2020, albeit with lesser results than his impressive 2019 debut. He lost one mph off his fastball, and the league had an easier time with the pitch as it hit .305 off it (.235 xBA). He also cut back his slider usage in favor of more curves, which is understandable given the barking elbow. If he can regain that zip on his fastball with a normal offseason of recovery, things could get interesting in 2021. Health is a risk, but taking on that risk could come with a nice reward.
After three lights-out starts at Triple-A, Canning, the Angels' top pitching prospect, was summoned to the majors in April to bolster a banged-up rotation. He offered immediate aid, posting a 3.06 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 34:9 K:BB across his first six starts. Canning actually did a better job of keeping the ball in the yard thereafter (1.2 HR/9), but a correction in his BABIP and strand rate plus a slight uptick in walks saddled him with a 5.43 ERA over his final 12 turns before he was shelved with elbow inflammation. All in all, it was a promising debut season for Canning, who established himself as a mainstay in the rotation moving forward. Canning's lack of a dominant offering in his four-pitch arsenal probably hinder his chances of emerging as a bona fide ace down the road, but at just 23 years old, there's certainly time for him to improve his skills and change that narrative.
Canning was one of the great in-season helium prospects early on in 2018, but some of that air was let out of the balloon after he advanced to Triple-A. After Canning posted a minuscule 1.97 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for Double-A Mobile, he struggled to a 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP with Salt Lake (13 starts). Part of it was just the change in park factors going from the Southern League to the Pacific Coast League -- his HR/FB more than doubled with the jump in levels. However, Canning also lost something from his K-rate (from 27.2% to 24.5%) and the explosion in his opponents' BABIP (from .229 to .376) wasn't all luck and park related as his line-drive rate jumped from 18.3% all the way to 26%. Canning doesn't have any one standout offering, but he has a decent four-pitch mix (fastball, slider, curveball change) and fringe-average command. The Angels will need arms this season, and Canning appears a likely candidate to start at some point.
More Fantasy News
Set for turn in first series
PNew York Mets
March 17, 2025
Canning is expected to start the third game of the Mets' season-opening series in Houston, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Solidifying rotation spot
PNew York Mets
March 11, 2025
Canning gave up only one hit over 3.2 scoreless innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Effective in first spring outing
PNew York Mets
February 28, 2025
Canning gave up two hits and a walk over 1.2 scoreless innings in Thursday's Grapefruit league game against the Astros. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Odds of rotation spot improving
PNew York Mets
February 24, 2025
Canning appears likely to have a spot in the Opening Day rotation if Sean Manaea (oblique) begins the season on the injured list, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Might be favorite for No. 6 spot
PNew York Mets
February 15, 2025
Canning may be the favorite to win the Mets' sixth starter job, Will Sammon and Tim Britton of The Athletic report.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Might be on Mets' radar
PFree Agent
December 3, 2024
Canning is a name "to keep in mind" for the Mets, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The Mets recently reached an agreement with Frankie Montas and it appears president of baseball operations David Stearns might still be focusing more on mid- to back-end starter types than front-line rotation help. Canning qualifies as the former after posting a 5.19 ERA and 130:66 K:BB across 171.2 frames for the Angels in 2024. He was traded to Atlanta in the Jorge Soler deal last month but was then non-tendered.
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