Gunnar Henderson

21-Year-Old Third Baseman3B

Baltimore Orioles

2023 Stats

AVG

.000

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

Henderson was shot out of a cannon last season, putting up a .312/.452/.573 slash line and 176 wRC+ with more walks (19.7 BB%) than strikeouts (18.3 K%) as a 20-year-old at Double-A. He subsequently got the bump to Triple-A, and while his production predictably dipped slightly, he still established himself as one of the game's elite prospects and got rewarded with a taste of the majors. Henderson's plus all-fields power is his current top skill for fantasy, and that may always be the case. However, he should also be a good enough hitter to add value in batting average and add significant value in on-base percentage. His 26.4 K% at Triple-A and 25.8 K% in the majors aren't very concerning when considering he won't turn 22 until late June and was well above the league average as a hitter at both stops. The young third baseman stole 23 bases on 27 attempts and has a 91st percentile sprint speed, so he could add double-digit steals over a full season. He primarily hit fifth in the majors and is one of Baltimore's bluechip building blocks, along with Adley Rutschman. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#87

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

Prospect

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 195

DOB 6/29/2001

Born Montgomery, AL

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2019 BAL

On base twice Sunday

3BBaltimore Orioles

March 19, 2023

Henderson went 1-for-2 with a walk in Sunday's Grapefruit League win over the Pirates.

ANALYSIS
Henderson is hitting just .160 through 10 games this spring, and just one of his hits, a triple, has gone for extra bases. It's not exactly an encouraging line for a player whose spot in the big leagues isn't guaranteed, but the bright side is that players like Ramon Urias and Jorge Mateo also haven't done much with the bat this spring. Henderson is still more on the likely side to make the Opening Day roster, but he'll need to build off of Sunday's effort to solidify his place in the Orioles' short-term plans.

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Batting Stats

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2023

2022

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2021

+92%

OPS vs RHP

2023

-100%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+95%

OPS vs RHP

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021vs Left	.448	26	1	0	2	0	.130	.231	.217
Since 2021vs Right	.858	111	12	4	16	1	.281	.378	.479
2023vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023vs Right	.400	5	1	0	0	0	.000	.400	.000
2022vs Left	.448	26	1	0	2	0	.130	.231	.217
2022vs Right	.872	106	11	4	16	1	.290	.377	.495
2021vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2021

+57%

OPS on Road

2023

-100%

OPS on Road

2022

+62%

OPS on Road

2021

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2021Home	.620	73	5	1	6	0	.227	.301	.318
Since 2021Away	.972	64	8	3	12	1	.283	.406	.566
2023Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023Away	.400	5	1	0	0	0	.000	.400	.000
2022Home	.620	73	5	1	6	0	.227	.301	.318
2022Away	1.007	59	7	3	12	1	.300	.407	.600
2021Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Gunnar Henderson compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

1.00

BB Rate

40.0%

K Rate

40.0%

BABIP

.000

ISO

.000

AVG

.000

OBP

.400

SLG

.000

OPS

.400

wOBA

.276

Exit Velocity

101.7 mph

Hard Hit Rate

0.0%

Barrels/PA

20.0%

Expected BA

.215

Expected SLG

.790

Sprint Speed

Ground Ball %

0.0%

Line Drive %

0.0%

Fly Ball %

100.0%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Gunnar Henderson See More

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

Henderson performed well statistically at the level he was supposed to perform well at (Low-A as a 19-year-old) but he struggled after aggressive assignments to High-A and Double-A. He struck out too much, even when he was having success, logging a 30.9 K% on the season. Henderson uses the whole field well and comfortably projects for plus power -- he hit 17 home runs and 28 doubles in 105 games, primarily against more advanced competition. However, so far, Henderson looks like a better prospect for OBP leagues than AVG leagues, given that he walked or struck out in 43% of his plate appearances last season. He is an average runner with some stiffness and a thicker lower half, so he may end up moving to third base and probably won't be a major threat on the bases, although he does have good instincts. It is noteworthy when a 20-year-old gets the bump to Double-A, and that's likely where Henderson will return this season, but for now, he projects as a three-category contributor in standard roto leagues.

By all accounts, Henderson was the most pleasant surprise this past summer at the Orioles' alternate training site and in the fall instructional league. A 6-foot-3, 195-pound shortstop who bats left-handed, Henderson was selected out of high school with the No. 42 overall pick in 2019 and held his own (103 wRC+) in the Gulf Coast League after signing. There were some mechanical adjustments made last year to Henderson's lower half that allowed him to have success over the summer as the youngest player at the alternate site. He is only an average runner and could slow down before he reaches the majors, so the hope is that he will hit for average and power to make up for the fact that he won't be a major source of stolen bases. He will likely head to Low-A, and if he is as good as advertised, he could get a bump to High-A before his 20th birthday in late June.

Henderson received $2.3 million (equivalent to the slot value of the No. 31 overall pick) when the Orioles selected him with the 42nd pick in 2019. While he was young for his class, not turning 18 until June 29, Henderson's Gulf Coast League showing wasn't particularly impressive. He hit .259/.331/.370 with one home run and two steals on four attempts in 121 PA. Seen as a sum-of-the-parts prospect without a standout tool, he does not stand out as an appealing dynasty-league target, although he should be rostered in deeper leagues. He uses the whole field and could develop above-average power as he fills out his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame. He is just an average runner, which also limits the fantasy appeal.

More Fantasy News

Making spring debut

3BBaltimore Orioles

February 28, 2023

Henderson is making his Grapefruit League debut Tuesday after overcoming some wrist soreness, Nathan Ruiz of The Baltimore Sun reports.