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Jarred Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic

26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2025 Stats
AVG
.167
HR
2
RBI
2
R
7
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
AVG
HR
RBI
R
SB
Unlock Our Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Once considered a top prospect, Kelenic has been humbled by the realities of Major League Baseball. Seattle gave up on him last winter, trading him to Atlanta, and after a decent start with his new team in 2024, Kelenic fizzled yet again. He reached a career-high 15 home runs to go along with seven stolen bases, but he needed 449 plate appearances to get there. By the end of the season, he was losing work to Ramon Laureano. In fact, Kelenic made just eight starts in September even though he was active for the entire month. He has logged more than 1,400 MLB plate appearances, which is quite a bit of experience for a player that is still just 25. It's possible Kelenic is not done developing as a player, but there is little in the numbers to suggest he may turn a corner. Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#424
ADP
Bats L
Throws L
40 Man No
Height 6'1"
Weight 190
DOB 7/16/1999
Born Waukesha, WI
College None
Drafted 1st Rd 2018 NYM
Signed a one-year, $2.3 million contract with Atlanta in January of 2025. Elected free agency in October of 2025.
Hits free agency
OFFree Agent  
October 2, 2025
Kelenic elected to become a free agent Thursday, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
Kelenic has refused Atlanta's outright assignment, choosing to become a free agent instead. The former top prospect slashed only .222/.279/.381 during his two seasons in Atlanta and hit just .167/.231/.300 in 24 games with Triple-A Gwinnett in 2025. Kelenic is still just 26, so he'll get another chance elsewhere, but it's unlikely he'll be guaranteed a regular role in 2026.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
9
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+38%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .635 170 20 5 21 1 .226 .271 .365
Since 2023vs Right .713 760 80 23 75 19 .238 .307 .406
2025vs Left .000 6 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2025vs Right .588 59 6 2 2 0 .185 .254 .333
2024vs Left .516 72 7 1 6 0 .206 .236 .279
2024vs Right .711 377 42 14 39 7 .235 .295 .416
2023vs Left .774 92 12 4 15 1 .259 .315 .459
2023vs Right .738 324 32 7 34 12 .251 .330 .408
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
+62%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .714 477 54 14 48 11 .244 .305 .409
Since 2023Away .682 453 46 14 48 9 .227 .296 .386
2025Home .648 35 6 1 1 0 .200 .314 .333
2025Away .400 30 1 1 1 0 .133 .133 .267
2024Home .735 232 27 9 24 4 .244 .299 .437
2024Away .619 217 22 6 21 3 .216 .272 .347
2023Home .700 210 21 4 23 7 .250 .310 .391
2023Away .795 206 23 7 26 6 .256 .345 .450
Stat Review
How does Jarred Kelenic compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.22
 
BB Rate
7.7%
 
K Rate
35.4%
 
BABIP
.229
 
ISO
.133
 
AVG
.167
 
OBP
.231
 
SLG
.300
 
OPS
.531
 
wOBA
.239
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.0%
 
Barrels/PA
7.7%
 
Expected BA
.198
 
Expected SLG
.428
 
Sprint Speed
22.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.4%
 
Line Drive %
8.3%
 
Fly Ball %
47.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Kelenic failed to live up to the lofty expectations placed upon him in Seattle, but he will get a chance to start anew in Atlanta in 2024. The sixth overall pick in 2018, Kelenic was once viewed as a top prospect, if not the top prospect in all of baseball. Most Mets fans bemoaned his departure from the organization in the 2018 Edwin Diaz trade. After a disastrous first couple MLB seasons, Kelenic finally enjoyed a taste of big-league success in 2023, though he also missed a large portion of the year due to a fractured left foot, the result of kicking a water cooler in frustration. His poor luck on balls in play reversed and Kelenic finished above league average by many offensive measures. It's important to remember that he is still just 24 years old, and even with his strikeout issues (30.7 K%), he's shown some good things at the plate and on the bases. It's best to project a platoon role, but there may be upside from there in regards to playing time. His landing spot in Atlanta makes a post-hype gamble all the more intriguing.
Kelenic's sophomore season was worse than his rookie campaign. A strong spring finish earned him a starting job, but Kelenic was soon demoted to Triple-A Tacoma. He earned another callup in late July but was again overmatched by MLB pitching so the visit was again short-lived and he rejoined the Rainers before a final promotion in late September. This time, Kelenic impressed with a 1,107 OPS in seven games before he was hit by a pitch on the hand. While Kelenic's career .758 OPS and 19.1% strikeout rate facing hard stuff isn't great, it's Ruth-ian compared to his .418 OPS and 41.5% strikeout rate versus break balls and changeups. Be it pitch recognition or timing, Kelenic clearly has an issue, but it should be fixable. The catch is Seattle is in win now mode and has depth in the outfield, so Kelenic must hit to play. The talent to turn things round is there, the opportunity is in jeopardy.
We've been spoiled by some incredible prospect debuts in recent years. Kelenic does not fit in that category as his rookie year was nothing short of a colossal letdown. He finished with a miserable .181/.265/.350 line in 377 PA. Kelenic showed a pulse with an .854 OPS and seven homers over the final month of the season, and he swiped double-digit bags between Triple-A and the majors, but for a large portion of the year he was simply not doing damage on hittable pitches in the strike zone. His struggles in that regard are reflected in a bottom-eighth percentile xBA and middling 87.5 mph avgEV. Nobody these days is foolish enough to extrapolate his September over a full season, but somebody in your draft room is going to bet aggressively on a bounce-back from a player considered a top prospect in the game this time last year. It may be wise to wait another season and invest in a more proven option with that draft capital.
There was a stretch during summer camp in July where Kelenic was not only the prospect du jour, but the talk of the entire baseball world. Videos of his sweet left-handed home run swing were going viral and people were clamoring for him to make the big-league roster. He would have debuted in a 162-game season, but the rebuilding Mariners kept him at the alternate training site throughout the shortened season. With a good spring training, Kelenic will set himself up for a service-time manipulating April call-up or a long-term extension that would facilitate an Opening Day debut. He should assume a prominent spot in the lineup from day one and has five-category upside as a rookie. He could very reasonably go 25/15 during his age-21/22 season, but projecting his batting average and OBP is a more difficult assignment. The draft day price tag figures to only increase as we near the start of the season.
Kelenic has lived up to his billing as the top prep hitter from the 2018 draft, and after climbing from Low-A to Double-A in his first full season, he will soon be knocking on the door of the majors. Acquired from the Mets in last offseason's Robinson Cano/Edwin Diaz trade, Kelenic was supposed to be an average runner with a hit-over-power profile, but he seems faster (20-for-27 on SB attempts) and more intent on pulling the ball out to right field. His 17.9 LD% and 52.2 Pull% at Double-A would be concerning marks if it weren't his third level of his age-19/20 season. Still, it is worth tracking how he performs against upper-level pitching now that he can't just hunt fastballs in hitter's counts. A back injury limited him to three games in the Arizona Fall League. The Mariners had an overly aggressive promotion schedule for him last year and there's no reason to expect that to stop in 2020 if he performs.
The Mets cashed out Kelenic before his full-season debut -- if they had not, Seattle reportedly would not have included Edwin Diaz in the deal. Through 12 games in the GCL, he looked like the best player from the 2018 draft. That production was unsustainable (.514 BABIP, 58.3 Pull%), but it made him the talk of the prospect community. The No. 6 overall pick was promoted to the Appy League, where his production normalized and we got a better sense of his true talent. He showed plus speed (11-for-12 on SB attempts), hit for power (.178 ISO) and demonstrated a good handle of the strike zone (11.0 BB%, 19.5 K%). The rep on Kelenic coming into the draft was that he may be the best prep hitter in the class. He had reverse splits (.256/.340/.426 in 200 PA vs. RHP, .409/.490/.636 in 51 PA vs. LHP), which will be something to track at Low-A. Using the whole field more often will allow him to reach his ceiling as a five-category OF2.
More Fantasy News
Off 40-man roster
OFAtlanta Braves  
October 1, 2025
Kelenic cleared waivers Wednesday and was sent outright to Triple-A Gwinnett.
Analysis
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Optioned back to minors
OFAtlanta Braves  
August 4, 2025
Atlanta optioned Kelenic to Triple-A Gwinnett on Monday.
Analysis
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Recalled from Triple-A
OFAtlanta Braves  
July 30, 2025
Atlanta recalled Kelenic from Triple-A Gwinnett on Wednesday.
Analysis
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Sent down to Triple-A
OFAtlanta Braves  
April 28, 2025
Atlanta optioned Kelenic to Triple-A Gwinnett on Monday.
Analysis
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Sitting again Saturday
OFAtlanta Braves  
April 26, 2025
Kelenic is out of the lineup for Saturday's game against the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trade possible
OFAtlanta Braves  
December 2, 2024
Atlanta could potentially use Kelenic as a trade chip this offseason, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Bowman believes Atlanta is ultimately more likely than not to hang on to Kelenic, but among trade candidates on the major-league roster, he is a possibility to be dealt. Kelenic had a .721 OPS with 10 home runs in the first half this season before posting a .595 OPS with only five homers after the break. He is under team control through 2028 and is currently projected to see the bulk of the playing time in left field versus right-handed pitching.
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