Jeff McNeil

Jeff McNeil

33-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
New York Mets
10-Day IL
Injury Oblique
Est. Return 4/21/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
McNeil won the National League batting title in 2022 with a .326 batting average, but the past two years have been a much bumpier road with a .270 average in 2023 and career-low .238 mark last season. He missed most of the final month of the 2024 regular season due to a fractured wrist but returned to action during the playoffs. McNeil isn't a great defender but will have dual-position eligibility with 110 appearances at second base and 28 in the outfield last year. His middling power and speed (38 home runs and 22 stolen bases over the past four seasons) limit both his floor and ceiling, and the drop in batting average has cratered his one elite category. A 30.8 percent hard-hit rate last year was his best figure since 2021, but McNeil also had a career-worst 14.6 percent strikeout rate. He's on the wrong side of 30 and has been on a downward trajectory the past two years, so he likely isn't worth more than a late-round flier with high-average potential if he bounces back. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#383
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $50 million contract extension with the Mets in January of 2023. Contract includes $15.75 million team option for 2027.
Playing center field in rehab game
2BNew York Mets
Oblique
April 16, 2025
McNeil (oblique) will start in center field during a rehab game with Single-A St. Lucie on Thursday, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
McNeil has limited experience in center field, having made three appearances there with the Mets in 2023 and another three in the minors. With Jose Siri (leg) sidelined, the club would like to have McNeil as an option to play center field. That said, most of McNeil's reps should still come at second base. The 33-year-old appears likely to be activated from the 10-day injured list early next week.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
Even Split
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .704 317 32 3 27 6 .271 .338 .366
Since 2023vs Right .703 803 100 19 72 9 .251 .317 .386
2025vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Left .621 116 11 2 12 2 .234 .284 .336
2024vs Right .716 356 46 10 32 3 .240 .315 .401
2023vs Left .753 201 21 1 15 4 .294 .369 .384
2023vs Right .693 447 54 9 40 6 .260 .318 .375
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2025
No Stats
2024
 
 
+44%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .673 550 59 7 46 7 .245 .318 .355
Since 2023Away .732 570 73 15 53 8 .268 .327 .405
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home .569 243 24 2 18 4 .199 .277 .292
2024Away .821 229 33 10 26 1 .279 .341 .481
2023Home .755 307 35 5 28 3 .281 .350 .405
2023Away .672 341 40 5 27 7 .260 .319 .354
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jeff McNeil See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Coming off a National League batting title, McNeil needed a strong finishing kick in the final two months just to get his average up to .270, which was 37 points lower than the career .307 mark he carried into the season and 56 points lower than the .326 he hit in 2022. McNeil's contact skills were as good as ever with a strikeout rate of just 10 percent, but his already-weak quality of contact was even worse last season with a hard-hit rate in the fifth percentile and barrel rate in the second percentile. He also hit more flyballs, which helped him reach double digits in home runs for just the second time but also, when combined with feeble contact, led to a lot of lazy flyouts. It's possible McNeil was pressing after signing a long-term deal, and his .303/.342/.466 line from August on is probably closer to what we should expect in 2024. McNeil did end the season on the injured list with a partial tear of the UCL in his right elbow, but all signs point to that healing with rest.
McNeil entered the season with little job security after he posted a .679 OPS in 2021 while the Mets signed Eduardo Escobar during the offseason and returned Robinson Cano from suspension, but McNeil turned things around in a resounding way and led MLB with a .326 average. He hit .319 across his first three big-league campaigns before he dropped to .251 in 2021, and in 2022 he showed the previous poor season was an aberration. The second baseman still didn't hit for much power with nine home runs, but he struck out at only a 10.4 percent clip. McNeil's counting stats were nothing special at 73 runs and 62 RBI, but that could be attributed to the fact he spent most of the year in the bottom half of the order. Leadoff man Brandon Nimmo is headed for free agency, and if he continues his career elsewhere McNeil would be a logical candidate to take over atop the order for the Mets.
McNeil posted an .884 OPS across his first three big-league campaigns but struggled at the plate in 2021 with a .251/.319/.360 slash line in 426 plate appearances. He hit 23 homers in 133 games during the 2019 campaign, though that power stroke looks like an aberration since he otherwise has 14 home runs in 235 major-league contests. McNeil will open the season as the Mets' primary second baseman, but Robinson Cano returning from suspension and Eduardo Escobar signing as a free agent, McNeil may not have a ton of job security if his 2022 production is similar to last season.
Many players will have a breakout in their third season in the big leagues, but it could be said that came in McNeil's second year with his big sophomore power season. His third season at the big-league level was a disappointment if you viewed 2019 as his new performance level, but a satisfactory performance if you viewed him against the backdrop of most of his minor-league career. In this day and age of low-contact and low-average hitters, McNeil shines as someone who makes excellent contact, hits the balls to all fields and will accept walks. He has a career .319 batting average and a .383 OBP spanning over 1,000 plate appearances. The expected stats do not love him, but the actual results are tough to overlook, as long as he continues to feast on fastballs (.354 BA in 2020). As good as his batting average was, it could have been even better were it not for his .146 average against breaking balls.
Even after batting .329 over his first two-plus months of MLB action in 2018, McNeil was slated to open last season in a utility role until injuries intervened. Suffice it to say, McNeil now owns a full-time lineup spot after demonstrating that the exceptional contact skills he exhibited as a rookie weren't a fluke. More surprisingly, McNeil showed he wasn't merely a slap hitter, either. He raised his barrel rate from 2.4% to 4.8%, allowing him to tap into power (62 extra-base hits) that was mostly absent from his minor-league profile. The 2019 baseball undoubtedly helped McNeil, but his high batting-average floor and spot near the top of the order are enough to make him a quality building block for fantasy teams even if the power production proves unsustainable. McNeil's eligibility at three spots (second base, third base and outfield) only burnishes his value further.
McNeil has stellar bat-to-ball ability, as evidenced by the minuscule 9.7% strikeout rate he posted with the Mets last season. Those skills helped McNeil to a .329 average after his late-July callup, which was a top-10 mark among second-half qualifiers. McNeil had a K-rate above 13.3% at only one stop on the farm (16.4% in 30 games at High-A). While there isn't a ton of pop to be found here (.142 ISO, 30.2% hard-hit rate), he uses the entire field with balanced batted-ball distribution. McNeil can also run a little. His recorded average sprint speed of 27.8 ft/sec actually wasn't very good, but he was caught stealing just once in eight attempts, giving him 13 steals total across three levels. New general manager Brodie Van Wagenen said early in the offseason that McNeil was "penciled in" as the starter at second base, but that changed after the team's acquisition of Robinson Cano. Look for McNeil to open in a utility role.
More Fantasy News
Heading to Triple-A this weekend
2BNew York Mets
Oblique
April 15, 2025
McNeil (oblique) will continue his rehab assignment with Single-A St. Lucie through Thursday before his assignment is shifted to Triple-A Syracuse, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting rehab assignment
2BNew York Mets
Oblique
April 11, 2025
McNeil (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A St. Lucie on Friday, Michael Mayer of MetsmerizedOnline.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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On cusp of rehab assignment
2BNew York Mets
Oblique
April 8, 2025
Manager Carlos Mendoza said Tuesday that McNeil (oblique) is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment later this week, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Still aiming for April return
2BNew York Mets
Oblique
April 8, 2025
McNeil (oblique) is traveling to Florida to ramp up his rehab program and still hopes to be activated before the end of April, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hitting in batting cage
2BNew York Mets
Oblique
April 4, 2025
Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Friday that McNeil (oblique) has been hitting off a machine in the batting cage, SNY.tv reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
More outfield action?
2BNew York Mets
June 25, 2024
McNeil could see more action in the outfield after Starling Marte was diagnosed with bone inflammation in his knee Monday, according to Will Sammon of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
McNeil has just six appearances in the outfield this season but had 115 appearances during the 2022 and 2023 campaigns. He's working as the Mets' primary second baseman this year but is in the midst of the worst campaign of his career, posting a .212/.278/.295 slash line through 264 plate appearances. McNeil could be on the move with the trade deadline on the horizon, and a change of scenery certainly wouldn't hurt at this point.
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