Jeimer Candelario

Jeimer Candelario

29-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Washington Nationals
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Like a lot of Detroit hitters, Candelario mostly struggled in 2022. He batted just .159 in April and .210 in May, and while he was a bit better later in the year, Candelario never really got going, finishing with a .217 average. His playing time was trimmed a bit as a result, as he went from 149 games played in 2021 to 124 in 2022. Candelario's OPS dipped precipitously as well, falling from .794 to .633. The new Tigers regime non-tendered him, but he landed on his feet with a one-year, $5 million deal in Washington, where he could play every day. He has at least shown that he's a solid if not spectacular big leaguer, batting .271 or better in 2020 and 2021. He also hit 16 home runs and tallied 67 RBI during that 2021 campaign, and now Candelario goes from the worst park for home runs in the league per Statcast's park factors (Detroit) to the 11th best park (Washington). Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#437
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Nationals in November of 2022.
Signs with Nationals
3BWashington Nationals
November 29, 2022
Candelario and the Nationals agreed to a one-year, $5 million deal Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Candelario was non-tendered by the Tigers after a down season in 2022, which saw him hit just .217/.272/.361 with 13 homers. He's found himself in a great spot to try to launch a bounceback campaign, as his primary competition for playing time at third base will be Carter Kieboom, a career .197/304/.285 hitter who missed most of last season due to Tommy John surgery. A better 2023 for Candelario isn't too tough to envision, as he hit a strong .278/.356/.458 across the 2020 and 2021 seasons.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
17
18
21
22
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
4
7
5
10
7
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+37%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .771 339 43 11 48 0 .275 .319 .453
Since 2020vs Right .740 960 111 25 98 1 .248 .328 .412
2022vs Left .680 122 12 6 24 0 .235 .262 .417
2022vs Right .616 345 37 7 26 0 .210 .275 .341
2021vs Left .752 173 24 3 16 0 .273 .324 .429
2021vs Right .812 453 51 13 51 0 .270 .362 .449
2020vs Left 1.105 44 7 2 8 0 .400 .455 .650
2020vs Right .808 162 23 5 21 1 .269 .346 .462
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .726 615 72 13 64 0 .250 .324 .403
Since 2020Away .773 672 82 23 81 1 .262 .327 .445
2022Home .594 231 25 4 26 0 .206 .268 .325
2022Away .671 236 24 9 24 0 .227 .275 .395
2021Home .806 289 32 6 28 0 .282 .367 .439
2021Away .785 337 43 10 39 0 .262 .338 .447
2020Home .809 95 15 3 10 0 .264 .326 .483
2020Away .976 99 15 4 18 1 .348 .414 .562
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jeimer Candelario compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.26
 
BB Rate
6.0%
 
K Rate
23.3%
 
BABIP
.257
 
ISO
.145
 
AVG
.217
 
OBP
.272
 
SLG
.361
 
OPS
.633
 
wOBA
.279
 
Exit Velocity
87.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.9%
 
Barrels/PA
5.8%
 
Expected BA
.228
 
Expected SLG
.379
 
Sprint Speed
23.5 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
42.0%
 
Line Drive %
18.5%
 
Fly Ball %
39.5%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jeimer Candelario See More
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166 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Candelario had been all over the map heading into the 2021 season. He had just one full season under his belt, and struggled through it despite 19 homers and 78 runs scored. He showed a surprising bat in the 2020 season, but got off to a slow start in 2021 and had just five homers, 24 RBI and a .262 average to show for his efforts at the break. The Tigers stuck with him, and Candelario rewarded them with 11 second-half homers with 43 RBI and a .282 average while reducing his strikeout rate five percentage points. While 2021 was ultimately a happy medium statistically between his surprising 2020 season and his 2018 campaign, last year's second half shows there there could be more upside here. The playing time is all but guaranteed for him as long as he is able to avoid injuries. Beware that strong second half is pushing up his draft cost this winter. Candelario reaching the 20-homer plateau for the first time does seem like a safe bet.
Candelario has teased us in the past with flashes for the Tigers. We're ready to be hurt again. The improvement he showed in 2020 was extraordinary; Candelario hit just a shade under .300, up nearly 100 points from 2019, with 21 extra-base hits over 206 PA. In total, his offensive contributions added up to a 137 wRC+. Statcast says he overachieved by 20 points in the BA department, which makes sense given his BABIP was .372, though in fairness to Candelario he was in the 86th percentile in hard-hit rate, so a lot of those base hits were deserved. He's routinely sat around a 25% strikeout rate and improved upon that mark in 2020 even while adding power. His supporting cast is not good, but the team context means Candelario should have an ultra-secure role. Throw in dual eligibility (1B and 3B) in leagues with a 10-game minimum and Candelario looks like a nice corner-infield pick with upside.
Candelario opened 2019 as the Tigers' third baseman, often entrusted at leadoff. He failed to take advantage and was sent to Triple-A Toledo after posting a .192/.285/.288 line through 28 games. Candelario righted the ship and was recalled in late May. This pattern continued throughout the season. Candelario would struggle with the Tigers and sent down to the Mudhens where he'd rake -- lather, rinse, repeat. To be fair, Candelario's .203 average was a bit lower than his .229 xBA, but even the expected mark is poor; he's overmatched by MLB pitching. Candelario makes frequent contact on four-seamers, but it's weak, with the lowest average exit velocity of all pitches. His strikeout rate on curves, sliders and cutters was 42%. The Tigers will give Candelario the chance to break camp at first base, but unless he learns to square up heat and improve contact on movement, he will be on a Quad-A path.
Defense gets prospects to the major leagues while offense keeps them there. Candelario had a strong sophomore season defensively after barely losing his rookie status in 2017. The counting stats show mostly a repeat of his efforts at Triple-A, as he has been working on getting more loft to his swing over the past two seasons. He has improved a 1.5 groundball-to-flyball ratio down to around 1:1. That said, his pull tendencies (46.6%), high strikeout rate (25.8%) and below-average speed led to batting average challenges. It is tough to have a sub-.225 average with an 11% walk rate, but Candelario pulled it off last season. His switch-hitting abilities are rather lopsided as he is 15% below the league average for his career against righties while being 30% above league average against lefties. The batting average struggles will continue as long as his splits remain that stark.
Blocked by Kris Bryant during his time as a member of the Cubs, Candelario's path to become a big-league regular improved following a midseason trade to the Tigers. After the trade, Candelario spent his first month in his new organization at Triple-A, but he has little left to prove at that level with a career .292/.373/.507 line and 24 homers in 767 plate appearances over two seasons. At age 24, he should get a chance to hold down the everyday job at third base for Detroit, thanks to his steady glove, and the ability to switch-hit, which makes him less susceptible to falling into a platoon. Candelario has shown a discerning eye at the plate in the upper levels of the minors, and that skill has held up during his limited exposure to major-league pitching. At this stage, he looks like a good hitter with developing power, making him an intriguing corner-infield option now that he has a chance to play regularly.
Candelario took a step back at the plate at the Double-A level in 2016, whiffing at an increased clip and seeing his OPS drop from .841 in the second half of 2015 to .690 at the start of 2016. He was promoted anyway to Triple-A Iowa, where he saw a significant spike across the board in his overall offensive performance in the hitter-friendly environments of the Pacific Coast League. A brief five-game taste of the big leagues in early July answers little about his ability to handle big league pitching, and the greater obstacle for Candelario is that he's currently behind Kris Bryant on the organizational depth chart. A path to regular playing time in the majors may require a deal to another organization, and his advanced eye at the plate (12.3 percent walk rate at Triple-A, 17.2 percent strikeout rate) will help fuel interest from other clubs. Assuming that he remains with the Cubs, the switch-hitting Candelario will likely return to Iowa to begin 2017.
More Fantasy News
Becomes free agent
3BFree Agent
November 18, 2022
The Tigers declined to tender Candelario a contract for 2023.
ANALYSIS
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Absent from Monday's lineup
3BDetroit Tigers
October 3, 2022
Candelario isn't starting Monday against Seattle.
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Sits again Saturday
3BDetroit Tigers
October 1, 2022
Candelario remains on the bench for Saturday's game against the Twins.
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Heads to bench
3BDetroit Tigers
September 30, 2022
Candelario will sit Thursday against the Twins.
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Riding pine Tuesday
3BDetroit Tigers
September 27, 2022
Candelario is not in Tuesday's lineup against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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