Joe Ross

Joe Ross

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
60-Day IL
Injury Back
Est. Return 7/24/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The right-hander made a handful of minor-league appearances last season while working back from the Tommy John surgery he underwent in May of 2022, and the Brewers inked him to a major-league deal for 2024. Ross hasn't pitched in the majors since 2021, when he had a 4.17 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 109:34 K:BB across 108 innings for Washington. He has a decent chance of cracking Milwaukee's rotation to begin the season and could have some fantasy value if he's able to regain that 2021 form, though he has an inconsistent track record overall and figures to have some workload limitations given his lack of innings over the previous two seasons. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#366
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.75 million contract with the Brewers in December of 2023.
Covers 3.2 innings in rehab start
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
July 11, 2024
Ross (back) struck out three over 3.2 scoreless innings in his rehab start Wednesday with Triple-A Nashville. He scattered two hits and one walk in the 46-pitch start.
ANALYSIS
Ross took the hill on three days' rest for his second minor-league rehab start, after he threw 34 pitches over 2.2 innings in his first rehab outing with High-A Wisconsin this past Saturday. The right-hander recorded his 11 outs in efficient fashion Wednesday and should continue to build up his pitch count over the course of at least two more rehab starts. He could return from the 60-day injured list and return to the Milwaukee rotation shortly after the All-Star break.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
75
Last 5 Games
72
How many pitches does Joe Ross generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ross generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .235 94 16 6 20 4 0 1
Since 2022vs Right .275 90 19 10 22 5 0 3
2024vs Left .235 94 16 6 20 4 0 1
2024vs Right .275 90 19 10 22 5 0 3
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-61%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-61%
ERA on Road
2023
No Stats
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 6.87 1.75 18.1 1 2 0 8.8 5.4 1.0
Since 2022Away 2.66 1.10 23.2 1 2 0 6.5 1.9 0.8
2024Home 6.87 1.75 18.1 1 2 0 8.8 5.4 1.0
2024Away 2.66 1.10 23.2 1 2 0 6.5 1.9 0.8
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Joe Ross compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.19
 
K/9
7.5
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
94.6 mph
 
ERA
4.50
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.313
 
GB/FB
1.22
 
Left On Base
63.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.4%
 
Spin Rate
2040 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.1%
 
Swinging Strike
13.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2012
One consistent theme throughout Ross's professional career has been injuries, and 2021 was no different. Ross had shoulder troubles in his developmental years in the minors, and had Tommy John surgery in 2017. He made it back in 14 months and was once again throwing mid-to-upper 90s, but the statistical results were not as attractive. After opting out of 2020, he pitched effectively in 2021 with a career high in innings as well as a career-best strikeout rate, but his season ended in mid-August with a partial tear in his previously-repaired UCL. It was decided he does not require a second TJS just yet as he and the club are taking the conservative approach, especially with Ross being in the final year before free agency. The theme continues in 2022, as Ross underwent surgery to remove a bone spur from his elbow in early March and will open the season on the 60-day IL, muddling his outlook for the entire campaign.
Ross is now entering his sixth season at the major-league level as the afterthought of the Trea Turner trade during the winter of 2014. Ross dealt with shoulder and elbow issues before opting out of the 2020 season. He tore his UCL in 2017, and has pitched 80 innings since recovering from that surgery, and while the velocity has returned, the pre-surgery command still has not shown up. Ross has a full bag of pitches at his disposal, but we have not seen him put it all together, nor have we seen many flashes since his rookie season. Washington wants him in the rotation in 2021, which is asking quite a bit for someone with durability concerns and coming off a full year layoff. The risks outweigh the reward here as there are safer players with upside to target.
Ross tossed 16 post-Tommy John surgery frames to end 2018, so he headed into last offseason on a normal routine, with a chance to break camp in the Nationals' rotation. Despite working 10.2 innings in the spring, registering a 2.53 ERA with 10 strikeouts and three walks, he began the season with Triple-A Fresno as a reliever. It didn't take long before he was summoned to pitch out of the bullpen. The transition did not go well. In late May, he was sent back to Fresno after recording a 9.22 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Ross was stretched out and when he returned, he was used as a starter and primary pitcher. His 3.83 ERA appeared impressive, but the 1.54 WHIP and 24 walks in 49.1 innings were more telling. Ross' velocity matched pre-surgery, but he never regained control. Despite the sketchy underlying metrics, Ross should get another chance to start. He's worth a flier provided his spring control shows improvement.
Ross pitched a handful of forgettable innings as he continued his recovery from Tommy John surgery. He will be 18 months removed from his surgery when pitchers and catchers report to camp this spring, and there is still some recovery work ahead of him. The common problem with pitchers returning from Tommy John surgery is how we define success in that return. The pitcher can get their velocity back within 12-to-15 months of the surgery, and that has happened for Ross. The larger issue is regaining command of their arsenal. Without it, the results are often pretty poor. We saw that last year with Ross when he did pitch, and we'll likely see more of it this season as well. In a standard redraft league, you can cross him off your draft prep list. In NL-only leagues, keeper leagues and deep draft-and-holds, sure, you can take an endgame flier.
The Nationals surprisingly sent Ross to Triple-A at the end of spring training, instead opting to use Jeremy Guthrie as their fifth starter to open the season. Guthrie's stint with the Nats lasted less than one inning, and Ross was ultimately called up in mid-April the next time the team needed a fifth starter. After winning his 2017 debut, Ross scuffled in consecutive outings and was sent back to Syracuse. Once he returned in May, he tossed a gem in his first start back, but he struggled to find consistency with his sinker and slider. Ross had a six-start stretch that included a 2.95 ERA from early June through July 4th, but his velocity dropped and it was revealed that he had a torn UCL, which required Tommy John surgery in July. A return in 2018 is possible, though it's unlikely to happen before August, if it happens at all.
Ross followed in his brother Tyson's footsteps straight to the DL in 2016, as shoulder issues cost him 10 weeks over the summer, but his overall numbers were similar to his rookie performance. His BABIP spiked and took his WHIP with it, but his K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates were all right in line with 2015. Left-handers still punished him to the tune of a .356 wOBA, as he has yet to find an offspeed pitch that can give them trouble. The biggest concern with Ross remains his long-term health, considering Tyson's career arc and the similarities in their builds and mechanics on the mound. The Nationals are counting on a healthy Ross to shore up the middle of their rotation. His 93-mph fastball, excellent slider and work-in-progress changeup should be up to the task. The long-term health risks are certainly legitimate, but in single-season leagues, the younger Ross deserves another look at a clearance price.
Tyson’s younger brother seemed to have learned a lot from big brother (six years difference) and looked a lot like him on the mound physically, in mechanics and pitch arsenal. Joe’s biggest difference is a positive: his walk rate. Tyson has never had fewer than 3.3 BB/9 in a season which kept in line with his minor league record. Joe had a 2.6 BB/9 as a minor leaguer and then a 2.5 with Washington. There’s work to be done, though. The changeup was a nightmare and led to a 348-point platoon split in favor of lefties. Big bro’s response to a similar issue has been “what’s a changeup?” as his use of one has essentially vanished. Joe doesn’t need to do the same just yet as his change has shown flashes of being at least average. He’ll need to improve vs. lefties because he’s unlikely to stay otherworldly vs. righties (2nd-best OPS vs. RHB from his callup; between Kershaw and Greinke). His 2015 ERA over a full season would still be good at 23 years old.
Ross was trending toward joining his older brother Tyson in the San Diego rotation as early as 2015 before he was traded to Washington in the offseason. Reaching Double-A for the first time as a 21-year-old last season, the younger Ross impressed with a 19:1 K:BB over 20 innings with San Antonio. The success down the stretch followed improvement in his numbers with the move from the Midwest League to the California League to begin 2014. In addition to missing bats at a steady clip, Ross has continued to induce a lot of contact outs on the ground, posting a combined 1.59 GO/AO in 2014. With a three-pitch arsenal that includes a 91-92 mph two-seam fastball (he can touch 96 mph with his four-seamer), above-average slider and improving changeup, Ross may become a very good mid-rotation starter in short order.
The Padres used their 2011 first-round draft pick (25th overall) on Ross, a right-handed pitcher out of Bishop O'Dowd High School in Oakland. His fastball has been clocked as high as 95 mph and he also throws a power curve and a nice change-up.
More Fantasy News
Ready for rehab outings
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
July 4, 2024
Ross (back) will make a rehab start with High-A Wisconsin on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Pushed to 60-day injured list
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
June 26, 2024
The Brewers transferred Ross (back) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ruled out through All-Star break
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
June 24, 2024
Ross (back) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Jack Stern of Brewer Fanatic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers setback
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
June 10, 2024
Brewers manager Pat Murphy said Monday that Ross (back) recently suffered a setback and is without a timeline to resume his throwing program, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Mid-June return possible
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
June 3, 2024
Ross (back) will throw a bullpen session this weekend, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Should remain in rotation
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 4, 2024
Manager Pat Murphy said Wednesday the Brewers will "probably" utilize a six-man starting rotation for most of April, per Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, which should allow Ross to retain his rotation spot.
ANALYSIS
Milwaukee has a packed schedule in April with 26 games over the next 27 days, so it's not a surprise a six-man unit is being considered. That strategy will likely result in Ross retaining his place in the rotation despite the impending return of Wade Miley from a shoulder injury. Ross made his first MLB appearance since 2021 on Wednesday and struggled with his command as he issued five walks, but he still managed to keep the Twins off the board over 3.2 frames.
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