Jordan Montgomery

30-Year-Old PitcherSP

St. Louis Cardinals

2023 Stats

W-L

2-6

ERA

4.55

WHIP

1.43

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2023 Fantasy Outlook

The lefty almost turned himself into a meme with how good he was initially after being traded from the Yankees to the Cardinals in early August. Montgomery allowed just a single earned run in his first four starts for St. Louis, a run capped off by a one-hit shutout of the Cubs in Wrigley. Eventually, the Devil Magic wore off and Montgomery returned to his solid, if flappable, ways. He worked from behind in 2021 in the sense that he threw his offspeed pitches (changeup, curveball) as his two primary pitches but changed his pitch mix this past season to feature his sinker, in particular after the move to St. Louis. It's not like he was bad during his time with New York -- the team felt it needed a good defensive outfielder -- and the Cardinals may be onto something with this new version of Montgomery. That being said, the modest swing-and-miss would seem to cap his fantasy upside. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#175

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'6"

Weight 228

DOB 12/27/1992

Born Sumter, SC

College South Carolina

Drafted 4th Rd 2014 NYY

Serves up four runs in no-decision

PSt. Louis Cardinals

May 23, 2023

Montgomery did not factor into the decision Monday, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks over four frames during a 6-5 loss to Cincinnati in 10 innings. He struck out four.

ANALYSIS
Montgomery allowed two runs in the first on RBI knocks from Matt McLain and Tyler Stephenson, and after St. Louis took the lead on a three-run homer by Paul DeJong, the left-hander served up a go-ahead two-run homer to Spencer Steer in the third. After allowing just one run over his final two starts of April (12.2 innings), Montgomery has given up multiple runs in each of his first four May outings. During that stretch, he's posted a 6.64 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP with a 20:8 K:BB across 20.1 innings.

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Pitching Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Jordan Montgomery generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Jordan Montgomery generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-12%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-1%

BAA vs LHP

2022

-18%

BAA vs LHP

2021

-11%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2021vs Left	.223	289	76	7	62	5	0	5
Since 2021vs Right	.253	1342	296	96	310	69	3	42
2023vs Left	.275	40	7	0	11	0	0	0
2023vs Right	.278	206	45	16	52	19	1	7
2022vs Left	.198	109	38	1	21	4	0	1
2022vs Right	.242	615	120	35	138	30	2	20
2021vs Left	.227	140	31	6	30	1	0	4
2021vs Right	.256	521	131	45	120	20	0	15
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-3%

ERA on Road

2023

-40%

ERA on Road

2022

-12%

ERA at Home

2021

-3%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2021Home	3.83	1.16	204.2	11	9	0	8.5	2.0	1.0
Since 2021Away	3.72	1.28	186.1	6	10	0	8.6	2.8	1.2
2023Home	5.74	1.54	26.2	1	3	0	7.8	1.7	1.4
2023Away	3.45	1.33	28.2	1	3	0	9.1	3.5	0.9
2022Home	3.31	1.04	108.2	7	2	0	8.2	1.6	0.7
2022Away	3.75	1.18	69.2	2	4	0	7.6	2.2	1.6
2021Home	3.89	1.20	69.1	3	4	0	9.3	2.7	1.2
2021Away	3.78	1.34	88.0	3	3	0	9.2	3.1	1.0
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Stat Review

How does Jordan Montgomery compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

3.25

K/9

8.5

BB/9

2.6

HR/9

1.1

Fastball

93.4 mph

ERA

4.55

WHIP

1.43

BABIP

.350

GB/FB

1.50

Left On Base

72.3%

Exit Velocity

81.8 mph

Barrels/BBE

6.6%

Spin Rate

2174 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

24.5%

Swinging Strike

10.3%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Montgomery enjoyed his first full season of work since the 2017 season, and arguably had his best professional season to date. He had Tommy John surgery in June of 2018 -- the success of 2020 coupled with his 2021 efforts show he is completely recovered from the surgery, but not without flaws. Montgomery has rather large splits to date with a 4.59 ERA and a .261/.316/.416 slash line allowed versus righties the past two seasons compared to a 2.53 ERA and a .228/.280/.322 versus lefties. He does pitch better at home (3.84 ERA) than away (4.36 ERA), which is not surprising given how spacious Yankee Stadium plays to the left-center-field gap. Monty works like a modern day Jimmy Key in that his changeup and breaking ball are his preferred pitches, and the league hit below .200 against both offerings while smashing his sinker to the tune of a .359 average. The flaws limit his ceiling, so this is not the guy to target if you're looking for another level.

Montgomery had a much better 2020 season than his 5.11 ERA suggests. The southpaw's 3.65 xFIP ranked second among Yankees starters and was supported by an outstanding 5.22 K/BB. In addition, Montgomery held opposing batters to an 84.6 mph average exit velocity, placing in the 95th percentile. Finally -- and perhaps most importantly -- the 6-foot-6 hurler remained healthy after missing most of the previous two seasons due to the Tommy John surgery he underwent in June of 2018. Montgomery doesn't throw hard (92.5 mph average fastball) but mixes up a four-pitch arsenal well, leading to a healthy 12.9 SwStr% and 24.4 K% last season. There's a good chance positive regression is coming, which should boost the left-hander's overall numbers and could make him a nice sleeper pick as a solid mid-rotation starter this season.

Montgomery spent 2019 recovering from mid-2018 Tommy John surgery. The lefty pitched all of 7.2 innings of real baseball over three levels last season, capped off by two appearances with the big-league club in September. Before the surgery, Montgomery was useful as a back-end starter in 2017, collecting strikeouts and enjoying the run support the Yankees can provide. Given he has thrown a combined 35 innings the past two seasons, there is only so much work Montgomery is going to be able to do in 2020. The last thing to return for every TJS recipient is command. Control is throwing it in the strike zone, while command is throwing it where the pitch is called for in the zone. He will be approximately the Yankees' No. 7 starter on the depth chart heading into camp, so the expectation should be that he will wait his turn while staying moderately stretched out at Triple-A.

Montgomery's first five starts of the 2018 campaign were sluggish. He was walking more while fanning fewer than he did in his promising rookie season. The lefty was lifted after one inning in a May 1 start in Houston with what was initially diagnosed as a left elbow strain. A little over a month later, Montgomery went under the knife, undergoing Tommy John surgery. With a typical 12-to-14 month recovery time frame, it's possible Montgomery can return sometime during the second half of 2019. However, the Yankees aren't going to hold a rotation spot for him, so he's likely to return as a reliever, or perhaps spend extended time starting for the Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders. Unless you have deep reserves, Montgomery really isn't even a target for those in keeper leagues as a 2020 stash since his role is unclear.

Above-average control of four average offerings will take a pitcher a long way in Major League Baseball, as Montgomery showed last season. He only throws his fastball 92 mph and none of his secondary pitches (curveball, slider, change) are truly plus yet, but they all play against big-league hitters -- the offspeed is good enough for Montgomery to keep right-handed hitters in check (.241/.301/.386 last season). Montgomery limited the free passes in his first exposure to big-league hitters (3.0 BB/9), which was huge as he did have some issues with the long ball, especially on the road (1.7 HR/9). There may be room for growth in the strikeout department given his 12.2 percent swinging-strike rate, above-average chase rate and track record at the upper levels of the minors, but owners would be wise to simply pay for a repeat (of both production and workload), with anything beyond that being a bonus.

A big-bodied southpaw out of South Carolina, the 6-foot-6 Montgomery tormented the opposition in 2016. A polished college hurler drafted in the fourth round in 2014, Montgomery had no issues with Double-A Trenton to begin the year and performed even better with a promotion to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, recording a 0.97 ERA and 37:9 K:BB in six starts to finish the year. Montgomery doesn't have one standout pitch, and he may not be frontline starter material, but he uses a three-pitch combination of fastball, changeup and curveball extremely effectively. Tinkering with Montgomery's mechanics has also allowed him to register a few more ticks on the radar gun. Montgomery should start the year in Triple-A with a chance to make his MLB debut by midseason.

More Fantasy News

Surrenders three runs in defeat

PSt. Louis Cardinals

May 17, 2023

Montgomery (2-6) allowed three runs on eight hits and a walk while striking out seven over 5.1 innings in a loss to the Brewers on Tuesday.