Josiah Gray

Josiah Gray

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Washington Nationals
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Gray completed his first full season in the majors with 28 starts and had a 5.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 154:66 K:BB across 148.2 innings. His strikeout and walk rates (23.7 and 10.2 percent, respectively) remained relatively unchanged from his first taste of the big leagues in 2021, and he also had the same HR/FB rate (18.6 percent). The subpar Washington defense didn't help his numbers, which is illustrated by his 4.57 xFIP. Now entering his age-25 campaign, the Nationals are likely banking on Gray taking a significant step forward in 2023, and he should be locked into a rotation spot as long as he stays healthy. His fantasy outlook is a bit less certain, but the potential and workload will be there in spades. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#416
ADP
$Traded to the Nationals in July of 2021.
No more starts this season
PWashington Nationals
October 2, 2022
Gray will not make another start this season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
He would have been on turn to take the ball Tuesday or Wednesday, but Cory Abbott, Paolo Espino and Erick Fedde will be the starters for the road series against the Mets. Gray doesn't turn 25 until December, but this was undoubtedly a rough first full season in the majors. The 6-foot-1 righty posted a 5.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 154 strikeouts across 148.2 innings while going 7-10 in 28 starts.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2022 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Josiah Gray generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Josiah Gray generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .250 423 97 62 89 13 2 31
Since 2020vs Right .230 533 133 37 110 17 4 26
2022vs Left .265 280 65 44 62 8 2 22
2022vs Right .221 369 89 22 74 12 2 16
2021vs Left .221 143 32 18 27 5 0 9
2021vs Right .252 164 44 15 36 5 2 10
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-31%
ERA on Road
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 6.16 1.42 111.0 2 9 0 9.6 4.1 2.8
Since 2020Away 4.15 1.29 108.1 7 3 0 9.3 4.0 1.9
2022Home 6.12 1.46 67.2 2 7 0 10.0 4.4 2.5
2022Away 4.11 1.27 81.0 5 3 0 8.8 3.7 2.1
2021Home 6.23 1.36 43.1 0 2 0 8.9 3.7 3.1
2021Away 4.28 1.35 27.1 2 0 0 10.9 4.9 1.3
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Josiah Gray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.33
 
K/9
9.3
 
BB/9
4.0
 
HR/9
2.3
 
Fastball
94.5 mph
 
ERA
5.02
 
WHIP
1.36
 
BABIP
.270
 
GB/FB
0.77
 
Left On Base
79.3%
 
Exit Velocity
81.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.8%
 
Spin Rate
2219 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.2%
 
Swinging Strike
11.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Gray reached the majors as a 23-year-old in 2021 and showed why he was a key piece in the Trea Turner deal. Gray has two excellent breaking balls that each generated whiffs 45% of the time or more and the league hit below .200 against both offerings. Those two pitches helped him strike out 25% or more of the hitters he faced at every stop throughout the minor leagues. It was not until he reached the majors that hitters became more disciplined and forced him to throw fastballs when down in the count and made him pay for it with 12 homers, a .282 average and .620 slugging percentage. All in all, he allowed 19 homers in 70.2 innings last season while struggling with his command, which marked the first time he had any such struggles to that extent. More consistent fastball command could allow him to take a big step forward in 2022 as a guaranteed member of the Nationals' rotation.
It's been a couple years since the Dodgers swindled the Reds in the deal that sent Gray to Los Angeles. They already flipped Jeter Downs to get Mookie Betts and Gray should start making an impact in the majors early this season. The converted shortstop has only been pitching full time for a few years, so it's quite the feat that he is not only close to big-league ready, but that he is a good bet to have a long career as a starting pitcher. The 6-foot-1 righty has a trio of above-average to plus offerings (fastball, slider, changeup) and his athleticism allows him to command his pitches quite well. He could have debuted last year if there was a need, and the Dodgers' internal depth could result in his debut coming as a swingman or reliever -- Dustin May's usage over the past couple years should be instructive. That usage may be frustrating early on, but eventually he should settle in as a rotation fixture.
From a fantasy standpoint, Jeter Downs was the jewel of the Dodgers' return from Cincinnati for Yasiel Puig, but Gray might have more real-life value. An athletic 6-foot-1 righty who has only been working as a starter for two years (dating back to college), Gray's mid-90s fastball remains his top offering, but his above-average slider and average changeup improved in his first full season. He does not generate groundballs at a high clip, but could end up with plus command/control. Gray climbed from Low-A (21.6 K-BB%) to High-A (25.1 K-BB%) and finished the year with an impressive run (18.6 K-BB%) as one of the youngest pitchers in the Texas League. The fact that he has come this far in less than two years in pro ball is incredibly impressive, and suggests that there is still more room for growth. He could reach the majors this summer as a reliever/swing man and could join the rotation full time in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Quality start in no-decision
PWashington Nationals
September 28, 2022
Gray did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing one run on two hits and two walks over six innings against Atlanta. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Marlins
PWashington Nationals
September 24, 2022
Gray (7-10) took the loss Friday, giving up four runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings as the Nationals were downed 5-2 by the Marlins. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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One bad frame Friday
PWashington Nationals
September 17, 2022
Gray didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 5-4 win over the Marlins, giving up four runs on five hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Shaky outing Thursday
PWashington Nationals
September 8, 2022
Gray did not factor into the decision Thursday, allowing four runs on six hits and three walks over 3.1 innings against the Cardinals. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Mauled by Mets
PWashington Nationals
September 3, 2022
Gray (7-9) took the loss Friday, coughing up six runs on six hits and four walks over five innings as the Nationals were downed 7-3 by the Mets. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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