J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

29-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Seattle Mariners
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Crawford enjoyed a wonderful breakout season offensively after years of fantasy managers waiting for the production to catch up with the potential with him. Crawford parlayed his excellent OBP skills into scoring 94 runs thanks to a career high walk rate which helped him get on base 38% of the time. Crawford's batting average splits were nil but 16 of his 19 homers came against righties and he was a monster in the second half trying to personally will Seattle into returning to the postseason with 11 homers, 47 runs, and a .282/.401/.492 line during that time. Crawford opened the season hitting 9th but quickly moved to the leadoff and remained there most of the season. That role should continue for him as he has the best OBP chops on the roster. Crawford is one of 23 players with at least 600 plate appearances in each of the past three seasons and just one of five shortstops to do so. He was a bargain in 2023 drafts, but his price has risen significantly this draft season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#289
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $51 million contract extension with the Mariners in April of 2022.
Three hits, three RBI in win
SSSeattle Mariners
July 12, 2024
Crawford went 3-for-4 with a home run, three RBI and three runs scored in Thursday's win over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Crawford hit a ground rule double in his first at-bat to lead off the contest before coming around to score Seattle's first run on a Josh Rojas single. The shortstop then went on to drive in runs in two of his next three trips to the plate, starting with a two-run shot in the fourth as the Mariners shot out to an 11-0 lead. It was Crawford's eighth long ball of the season and his first since June 18 against Cleveland. He's still batting just .194 (7-for-36) in July with three extra-base hits, six RBI and five runs scored.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
52
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
17
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+44%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .738 464 61 10 56 3 .255 .348 .390
Since 2022vs Right .728 1085 128 23 82 7 .242 .351 .378
2024vs Left .848 90 14 4 16 2 .296 .367 .481
2024vs Right .588 218 24 4 15 3 .176 .284 .303
2023vs Left .755 193 29 3 21 0 .267 .373 .382
2023vs Right .846 445 65 16 44 2 .266 .382 .463
2022vs Left .662 181 18 3 19 1 .221 .311 .351
2022vs Right .681 422 39 3 23 2 .253 .352 .330
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+69%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .697 758 83 14 67 5 .236 .341 .356
Since 2022Away .764 791 106 19 71 5 .255 .358 .406
2024Home .494 153 15 2 11 3 .157 .255 .239
2024Away .835 155 23 6 20 2 .267 .361 .474
2023Home .841 324 47 9 35 1 .280 .391 .450
2023Away .793 314 47 10 30 1 .251 .367 .426
2022Home .645 281 21 3 21 1 .231 .330 .315
2022Away .701 322 36 3 21 2 .254 .348 .354
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Stat Review
How does J.P. Crawford compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.54
 
BB Rate
12.0%
 
K Rate
22.1%
 
BABIP
.253
 
ISO
.145
 
AVG
.212
 
OBP
.308
 
SLG
.357
 
OPS
.665
 
wOBA
.300
 
Exit Velocity
88.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.2%
 
Barrels/PA
4.9%
 
Expected BA
.236
 
Expected SLG
.387
 
Sprint Speed
21.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
46.5%
 
Line Drive %
19.0%
 
Fly Ball %
34.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Crawford took a small step back from his .273/.338/.376 slash line in 2021, but poorer offensive production across the league meant he still had a 104 wRC+ despite a .675 OPS last season. His usually-strong defense also took a step back with a minus-three DRS and minus-11 OAA. Crawford inked a $51 million extension in April, so his spot in Seattle's infield is secure, and he won't be shifting off shortstop following the acquisition of Kolten Wong. Crawford's contact and on-base skills (13.3 percent strikeout rate, 11.6 percent walk rate) remain solid, but his lack of power and speed doesn't provide much broad fantasy appeal. He hit leadoff 26 times in 2022, but the Mariners will likely want a more consistent bat atop the order, so he shouldn't be expected to be a strong source of runs either.
Crawford logged a career-high 687 plate appearances, and his skills profile largely mirrored those he posted across several previous partial seasons. He solidified himself as a strong contact hitter by logging a strikeout rate below 20% for the second consecutive campaign. However, that's the primary -- and potentially only -- source of optimism for his production moving forward. For example, Crawford posted a career-low 30.8 flyball percent as well as an uninspiring 2.4 percent barrel rate and 86.3 mph average exit velocity. In addition, despite regularly posting above-average sprint speeds, Crawford has only 17 career stolen bases while being caught 12 times across 378 games. Looking ahead to 2022, Crawford has already been declared the team's starting shortstop. It remains to be seen where he fits in the order, but if he can maintain the leadoff role he occupied in 2021, he should at least be a strong source of runs.
This past season was Crawford's third at the big-league level that included time on the roster beyond just September exposure. We like to see positive trends in statistical growth from young players, and Crawford did that in 2020, lowering his strikeout rate a significant amount for a second consecutive season. That improvement showed up in his batting average, which improved nearly 30 points over his 2019 finish. The improvements are most evident in his plate-discipline profile where he posted career-best numbers on overall contact and contact within the strike zone. The power numbers are not going to show up, but the batting average improvements and the quickness are a nice combination to have on any roster in 2021. This feels like a profile on the precipice of a 2021 breakout; a late-round pick who outperforms his ADP by 100-plus spots by seasons end. Buy in at the ground floor.
Crawford received a needed change of scenery last winter, when he was moved from the Phillies to a Seattle club embarking on a rebuild. In early May, an injury to Dee Gordon opened up a spot in the big leagues for Crawford, who manned shortstop on a full-time basis the rest of the way, aside from two brief shutdowns due to injury. Crawford's excellent defense and quality eye at the plate (10.9 BB%) made him valuable to the Mariners from a real-life standpoint, but much less so for fantasy purposes. Given his above-average speed and probable spot near the top of the order, Crawford may have a path to a 10-to-15 steals in 2020, but the batted-ball profile doesn't inspire confidence in him yielding dividends in other areas. Per Statcast, Crawford's expected batting average (.237) and expected slugging average (.337) placed him in the 14th and fifth percentiles, respectively, among all hitters last season.
Crawford's 2018 campaign was nowhere close to the step forward he was supposed to take after a disappointing debut in 2017. He was expected to be the everyday starter at shortstop but wound up starting just 27 games there (plus nine more at third base) and received a total of just 138 plate appearances around a pair of trips to the disabled list. He didn't do much with those plate appearances either, hitting just .214/.319/.393. That was good for a 96 wRC+, a perfectly acceptable mark for a shortstop, but most of that value came from a strong 9.4% walk rate, which only helps owners in OBP leagues. He did post better numbers after working to shorten his swing, and he's just 23, so there's still time for him to become an average-or-better shortstop. Dealt to the Mariners in the Jean Segura trade, Crawford will get a clean slate in a new organization, but it's not a lock he's on the team for Opening Day.
Quality defense at shortstop and an advanced approach have kept Crawford near the top of real-life prospect rankings for a couple years, but he has never flashed impact fantasy tools. That was never more apparent than the first half of last year, when he hit .211/.328/.330. Fortunately Crawford salvaged his season after a team-imposed 10-day mental break in June. He hit .287/.385/.513 with nine home runs in 51 games after the All-Star break, earning a late-season callup. He projects to be decent in OBP leagues, but in today's offensive climate, a shortstop who hits .265 without impact speed or power is not very valuable in standard formats. The Francisco Lindor comps don't really work because Lindor at least showed batting average and stolen-base upside in the minors. Crawford's best chance to be a top-15 shortstop is to hit first or second and challenge for 90-run seasons in his prime. Freddy Galvis was moved this offseason and Cesar Hernandez could go eventually as the Phillies prepare for Crawford and Scott Kingery to take over as the double-play duo of the future.
Crawford opened last season at Double-A Reading and earned a promotion to Triple-A Lehigh Valley in mid-May, largely due to his control of the strike zone. Crawford's eye is part of the reason he receives high rankings from prospect evaluators despite modest power numbers thus far. He has also always been young for his level, which can sometimes be overlooked when reviewing just statistical output. Crawford got off to a slow start at Triple-A after his promotion -- something that has been typical for him throughout his career -- and also missed time with an oblique injury. He was not promoted in September and instead underwent surgery to remove a loose body from his left knee. He will get a chance to compete for a starting job this spring, but given his overall struggles at Triple-A last season, the Phillies will likely have him open the year back in the minors with an eye toward a midseason promotion.
Crawford is the top prospect in the Phillies' farm system and is one of the top prospects in all of baseball. After missing the first month of the season with an oblique strain, Crawford was assigned to High-A Clearwater, but was quickly moved up to Double-A after slashing .392/.489/.443 in his first 21 games. His numbers at Double-A are not overly impressive at first glance, but it is important to remember that he was just 20 years old last season, making him one of the youngest players at the Double-A level. He hit just five home runs in 351 at-bats, but maintained his excellent walk rate despite facing advanced competition, and continued to earn praise for his defensive abilities. Crawford reportedly suffered a slight tear in his thumb ligament during Arizona Fall League play, but is expected to be fully healthy for the start of spring training. The Phillies could start him back at Double-A this season, but he should push his way to Triple-A and possibly the majors before the end of the 2016 season.
Crawford has steadily climbed through the Phillies' minor league system since he was selected in the first round of the 2013 draft. He spent the first half of last season at Low-A Lakewood before earning a promotion to High-A Clearwater to close out the season. Crawford has impressive tools. He has shown an excellent eye at the plate, makes contact at a good clip and keeps his strikeouts in check. He showed some signs of power growth in the second half of last season with eight home runs in 271 at-bats for Clearwater. If Crawford continues his progression, he'll likely hit Double-A by the middle of 2015, with the hope of a late 2016 or early 2017 arrival to Philadelphia.
The Phillies drafted Crawford, who is the cousin of Dodgers outfielder Carl Crawford, in the first round of the 2013 draft. Crawford fields with ease, showing agility and quickness in the infield. His bat has the potential to hit for average with some pop. He got off to a fast start for the Gulf Coast League Phillies and earned a promotion to Low-A Lakewood in August, making him one of the youngest players at that level in 2013. The Phillies will likely send him back to Lakewood rather than keep him in extended spring training at the start of the year, and Crawford could see time at High-A Clearwater later in the season should his performance warrant a promotion.
More Fantasy News
Three RBI in win
SSSeattle Mariners
July 4, 2024
Crawford went 2-for-4 with a double, three RBI, one stolen base and one run scored in Thursday's 7-3 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Productive in Sunday's loss
SSSeattle Mariners
July 1, 2024
Crawford went 1-for-4 with a walk and a stolen base in a loss to to the Twins on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in two, steals base
SSSeattle Mariners
June 26, 2024
Crawford went 2-for-3 with a double, two RBI, a walk, and a stolen base in Wednesday's 5-2 win against Tampa Bay.
ANALYSIS
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Records second steal Friday
SSSeattle Mariners
June 22, 2024
Crawford went 1-for-4 with a stolen base and a run in an extra-inning loss to the Marlins on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, drives in three
SSSeattle Mariners
June 19, 2024
Crawford went 2-for-3 with a two-run homer, an RBI double and a pair of walks in Tuesday's 8-5 victory over the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Supplying high floor
SSSeattle Mariners
August 9, 2023
Crawford is slashing .318/.448/.482 with an 18:17 BB:K ratio since the All-Star break.
ANALYSIS
Crawford has launched two home runs across 85 at-bats since the break, but receiving any power from Crawford is purely a cherry on top, as he has a career-high 10 so far. The shortstop is best utilized in a platoon role versus righties, but his bat-to-ball skills have been consistent this season and he's getting on base at a high clip. He's hitting .288 against righties and his 14.9 percent walk rate overall is a career best.
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