JT Brubaker

JT Brubaker

30-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Yankees
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/19/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
If nothing else, Brubaker was expected to eat a significant number of innings for the Pirates in 2023. There was also some reason to be optimistic that his surface stats would improve after he showed growth in limiting the long ball, but all hopes were dashed after he dealt with forearm and elbow issues late in spring training. Shortly thereafter, it was announced that he would need Tommy John surgery. That not only ended his 2023 campaign, but it also leaves his status for 2024 unclear. According to most recent reports, he is throwing from flat ground up to 120 feet with the goal of making his season debut shortly after the All-Star break. As a result, he's safe to avoid in nearly all fantasy formats, with the best-case scenario being he becomes a streaming option upon his return. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $2.28 million contract with the Pirates in January of 2024. Traded to the Yankees in March of 2024.
Approaching rehab assignment
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
June 15, 2024
Yankees manager Aaron Boone stated early this week that Brubaker (elbow) is "getting ready to go out on an assignment," per MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Brubaker is over 14 months removed from Tommy John surgery and has been throwing to live hitters for about five weeks. The 30-year-old hasn't pitched in a game since the 2022 season, so he'll presumably need a rehab assignment consisting of several starts. Brubaker could be ready to join the big-league club around the All-Star break, but given the success of the team's starting staff thus far and the impending return of Gerrit Cole (elbow), there doesn't appear to be room in the rotation for Brubaker at the moment.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .269 298 71 26 72 23 2 10
Since 2022vs Right .272 348 76 28 85 16 0 7
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .269 298 71 26 72 23 2 10
2022vs Right .272 348 76 28 85 16 0 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-15%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 5.09 1.42 69.0 3 4 0 7.7 2.7 1.3
Since 2022Away 4.32 1.51 75.0 0 8 0 10.6 4.0 0.8
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 5.09 1.42 69.0 3 4 0 7.7 2.7 1.3
2022Away 4.32 1.51 75.0 0 8 0 10.6 4.0 0.8
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring JT Brubaker See More
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL Central
102 days ago
Brad Johnson has moved to the NL Central, and in Cincinnati, Hunter Greene, with one of the biggest arms in baseball, clearly has considerable potential.
MLB Barometer: Tout Wars Check-In
May 17, 2023
Erik Halterman writes about this week's risers and fallers, which includes Marlins pitcher Eury Perez, who made his big-league debut last week and also has a spot on Halterman's Tout Wars team.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
April 2, 2023
Jan Levine surveys the fallout from the opening week and provides his top recommendations.
NL Tout Wars Draft Review: Trying to Look the Part
March 23, 2023
Erik Halterman breaks down his first ever Tout Wars draft, a 12-team, NL-only auction, and offers thoughts on the specific players he drafted, starting with his No. 1 hitter, Paul Goldschmidt.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL Central
March 9, 2023
Brad Johnson looks at pitching in the NL Central where in Cincinnati, he believes Nick Lodolo might be a value pick.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Brubaker has posted remarkably similar skills across each of his first three seasons in the majors, maintaining a strikeout rate between 22.8 and 24 percent and a walk rate between 7.1 and 8.4 percent. His surface stats have had more variance than those numbers may suggest, as he has ERAs between 4.69 and 5.36. That fluctuation has largely been dependent on his home run rate, which spiked to 2.0 in 2021 but shifted to a more reasonable mark of 1.0 in 2022. His viability for fantasy purposes will depend on how well he controls the long ball moving forward, and the possibility for him to take a step forward is masked somewhat by some bad luck that he ran into last season (68.8 LOB% and .334 BABIP). However, his FIP and xFIP (3.92 and 3.87, respectively) suggest there's room for improvement in his surface stats. Brubaker has the feel of a more valuable mid-rotation starter for a big-league club for fantasy purposes, but he could have lengthy periods of usefulness in 15-team or deeper leagues and will be a reasonable streaming candidate in the right matchups in more shallow formats.
Brubaker took a step back in his second big-league season in 2021, finishing with a 5.36 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 129:34 K:BB across 124.1 innings (24 starts). His 24.0 percent strikeout rate and 7.1 percent walk rate were solid, but a 2.03 HR/9 derailed any chance of potential success. The 28-year-old is poised to start Opening Day for Pittsburgh and could easily see some improvement from last year, but he's unlikely to turn into a consistent fantasy asset, especially with wins likely difficult to come by with the Pirates.
Brubaker made his big-league debut in 2020, starting nine games and relieving in two more. His 4.94 ERA in 47.1 innings was generally unimpressive, but his 4.08 FIP and 4.14 xFIP shine a more optimistic light on him. His 23.4 K% was exactly league average, while his 8.3 BB% and 46.7% groundball rates were both slightly better than average, adding up to at least a fine back-end arm. He struggled against lefties, who hit .287/.379/.436 against him, perhaps unsurprisingly given that his primary off-speed pitches are a slider and a curve. He threw his changeup less than 5% of the time. Further development of that pitch could improve his profile, but he still looks like a big-league starter without it. At age 27, he's old for a second-year player, so there's probably not a lot of development left here, leaving him part of a large group of interchangeable late-round options in larger leagues.
More Fantasy News
Completes another live session
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
May 26, 2024
Brubaker (elbow) threw two simulated innings at extended spring training Saturday, the Associated Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Facing hitters again
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
May 12, 2024
Brubaker (elbow) threw live batting practice against DJ LeMahieu (foot) on Saturday at the Yankees' spring training facility in Tampa, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Traded to Yankees
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
March 29, 2024
The Yankees acquired Brubaker (elbow) and international signing bonus money from the Pirates on Friday in exchange for a player to be named later.
ANALYSIS
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Throwing off slope of mound
PPittsburgh Pirates
Elbow
March 6, 2024
Pirates director of sports medicine Todd Tomczyk said Wednesday that Brubaker (elbow) has progressed to throwing off the slope of the mound, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on 60-day IL
PPittsburgh Pirates
Elbow
February 19, 2024
The Pirates placed Brubaker (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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