2022 Stats
W-L
1-3
ERA
6.10
WHIP
1.58
K
21
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The shoulder injury which ended Dunn's last season in Seattle in 2021 delayed his Cincinnati debut in 2022 until August. He felt more tightness in the shoulder in his fifth start back and eventually returned to the injured list in September. Dunn did start another rehab assignment later that month and allegedly finished the season healthy, although he still must be considered a medical red flag going into 2023. Perhaps the shoulder problems can partly explain Dunn's struggles with the Reds, but he hadn't been terribly impressive during his time with the Mariners, either, even as he managed a sub-4.00 ERA. The 27-year-old is an extreme fly ball pitcher with major control problems and he pitches in the most home run-friendly environment in baseball. Dunn hasn't shown nearly enough swing-and-miss ability to overcome that, so even if the shoulder issue is behind him it's difficult to see a path to fantasy viability. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS

Inks one-year deal
Dunn and the Reds agreed on a one-year, $900,000 contract Friday to avoid arbitration, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander started seven games with Cincinnati in 2022, producing an inflated 6.10 ERA and 1.58 WHIP with 21 punchouts over 31 innings. Due to the lack of proven arms on the Reds, Dunn will likely earn a spot in the starting rotation to open 2023.
The right-hander started seven games with Cincinnati in 2022, producing an inflated 6.10 ERA and 1.58 WHIP with 21 punchouts over 31 innings. Due to the lack of proven arms on the Reds, Dunn will likely earn a spot in the starting rotation to open 2023.
Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
77
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Justin Dunn generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Justin Dunn generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2022
-29%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .220 | 57 | 53 | 49 | 14 | |||
Since 2020vs Right | .204 | 49 | 22 | 45 | 11 | |||
2022vs Left | .322 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 5 | |||
2022vs Right | .228 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 6 | |||
2021vs Left | .200 | 26 | 21 | 19 | 5 | |||
2021vs Right | .202 | 23 | 8 | 18 | 1 | |||
2020vs Left | .159 | 22 | 19 | 11 | 4 | |||
2020vs Right | .187 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 4 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
-33%
ERA at Home
2022
-18%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | 3.45 | 1.21 | 47.0 | 9.4 | 5.2 | ||||
Since 2020Away | 5.16 | 1.49 | 75.0 | 6.8 | 5.8 | ||||
2022Home | 7.04 | 1.57 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 5.79 | 1.59 | 23.1 | 5.0 | 5.8 | ||||
2021Home | 2.70 | 1.20 | 23.1 | 10.4 | 6.2 | ||||
2021Away | 4.67 | 1.41 | 27.0 | 7.3 | 4.3 | ||||
2020Home | 2.81 | 1.06 | 16.0 | 7.9 | 5.1 | ||||
2020Away | 5.11 | 1.50 | 24.2 | 8.0 | 7.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Justin Dunn compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.24K/9
6.1BB/9
4.9HR/9
3.2Fastball
92.2 mphERA
6.10WHIP
1.58BABIP
.240GB/FB
0.64Left On Base
83.3%Exit Velocity
83.2 mphBarrels/BBE
12.9%Spin Rate
2291 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
31.5%Swinging Strike
8.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2017
Dunn had a solid campaign in 2021 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 49:29 K:BB over 50.1 innings (11 starts), and he was traded to the Reds in March. He improved both his strikeout and walk rates (22.5 and 13.3 percent, respectively), but both figures remains below average. The right-hander is being slow played during spring training after missing much of last season with a strain shoulder, but he should eventually be in the mix for the rotation with Cincinnati. Dunn's flyball rate (50.7 percent) could be more of a problem with his new team since he'll now have half his games coming in the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.
More Fantasy News

Sharp in rehab start
Dunn (shoulder) struck out four over three scoreless innings in his rehab start Tuesday with Triple-A Louisville. He allowed no hits and issued two walks in the 46-pitch outing.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared for rehab start
Dunn (shoulder) is scheduled to make a rehab start with Triple-A Louisville on Tuesday, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on injured list
Dunn was placed on the 15-day injured list with right shoulder tightness Thursday, retroactive to Sept. 12.
ANALYSIS
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Activated Wednesday
Dunn was activated from the COVID-19 injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Goes on COVID-19 IL
The Reds placed Dunn on the COVID-19 injured list Monday.
ANALYSIS
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