Justin Steele

Justin Steele

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
15-Day IL
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 5/1/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was a lot to like with Steele coming into the 2023 season as a pitcher who kept the ball in the yard, threw a lot of strikes and generated a fair number of whiffs. Our 2023 outlook even said he could be in store for a nice fantasy season, but who saw him doubling his career win total and continuing the positive peripheral growth for a third consecutive season? If not for Blake Snell's amazing run or all of Spencer Strider's strikeouts and wins, Steele could have garnered more supporters for a Cy Young argument with the season he had. So what if he does not have the velocity of other pitchers when he can match results with the best of them? The amazing part is he does this using two pitches 97% of the time, which does leave him exposed to the third-time-through penalty. He may never be a 200-inning arm, but Steele is a pitcher on the rise approaching frontline status. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#103
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4 million contract with the Cubs in January of 2024.
Set for bullpen session
PChicago Cubs
Hamstring
April 13, 2024
Steele (hamstring) will throw a 25-pitch bullpen session Saturday, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Steele will get back on the bump for the first time since he suffered a Grade 1 left hamstring strain on Opening Day. The Cubs anticipate Steele missing the rest of April, but he seems to be tracking toward a return from the 15-day injured list in early May.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2023 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
67
Last 10 Games
67
Last 5 Games
67
How many pitches does Justin Steele generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Justin Steele generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .248 260 77 22 58 11 0 7
Since 2022vs Right .248 986 231 65 223 42 3 15
2024vs Left .000 4 1 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right .273 14 5 1 3 2 0 0
2023vs Left .267 141 42 8 35 9 0 6
2023vs Right .247 575 134 28 132 25 2 8
2022vs Left .232 115 34 14 23 2 0 1
2022vs Right .248 397 92 36 88 15 1 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.70 1.22 173.1 15 7 0 9.1 2.5 0.4
Since 2022Away 3.64 1.27 123.2 5 5 0 9.7 2.8 1.0
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 1.93 0.86 4.2 0 0 0 11.6 1.9 0.0
2023Home 2.65 1.19 102.0 12 3 0 9.3 1.9 0.4
2023Away 3.66 1.15 71.1 4 2 0 9.0 1.9 1.1
2022Home 2.78 1.26 71.1 3 4 0 8.8 3.5 0.4
2022Away 3.78 1.49 47.2 1 3 0 10.6 4.2 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Justin Steele compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.00
 
K/9
11.6
 
BB/9
1.9
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
1.93
 
WHIP
0.86
 
BABIP
.295
 
GB/FB
0.80
 
Left On Base
75.0%
 
Swinging Strike
14.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Justin Steele See More
Spencer Strider, Shohei Ohtani and the State of Pitcher Injuries
Yesterday
How new is the rise in pitcher injuries, and what's causing it? And will we ever get back to a time when those injuries are less common?
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Wire for the Week
2 days ago
A couple Philly pitchers highlight Jan Levine's latest NL rundown.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Steele Likely Out at Least a Month
15 days ago
The beginning of the season brings new injuries, and in Chicago, the Cubs preparing to be without pitcher Justin Steele for at least a month for a hamstring strain.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
16 days ago
Jan Levine surveys the fallout from the opening week and provides his top recommendations.
College Baseball Best Bets for Thursday, March 28
19 days ago
A college baseball parlay is the main focus of John Venezia's best college baseball picks today. In celebration of MLB Opening Day, Venezia adds a trio of MLB player props as well.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Earning 2022 rotation spot?
PChicago Cubs
September 30, 2021
Steele pitched seven scoreless innings in a win Thursday and could be solidifying his spot in next season's rotation.
ANALYSIS
The Cubs have plenty of question marks behind ace Kyle Hendricks, and Steele has flashed some potential, though he's also had his share of rough outings. The lefty at least should have a chance at earning a rotation spot heading into next season depending on what the team does in free agency.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2016
Steele took a big step forward in 2022 and could be emerging as a staple of Chicago's rotation in the coming years. The lefty made 24 starts and posted a 3.18 ERA and 126 strikeouts across 119 innings. That ERA was supported by a 3.20 FIP, so Steele's production seems sustainable. His last appearance came in late August, however, as a back issue flared up and the Cubs decided not to push him when they had little to play for. That will probably benefit Steele heading into 2023, as he should be healthy to begin the season. Marcus Stroman should continue to lead the rotation followed by Hendricks, though the latter is dealing with a shoulder injury over the offseason. That leaves Steele as the No. 3 starter with the potential to move up. As a southpaw who can miss bats, Steele could be in store for a nice fantasy season, particularly if he can build on his career-best workload from 2022.
Steele and Brad Wieck are projected as the lefties in the Cubs' bullpen, and the former finally made his major-league debut in 2021 with some bumps and bruises. The 23.8 K% was promising for a rookie, but the 10.9 BB% along with a 1.9 HR/9 offset the gains from his strikeouts. He somehow managed a respectable ERA given the recipe for disaster with the walks and allowing a homer for every four flyballs allowed. Steele can work as a swingman as he has the repertoire of a starting pitcher and worked almost exclusively as a starter throughout his minor-league career. What he lacks in velocity he makes up for with movement, and should he find better command as a sophomore, he could take a step forward and gain relevance in NL-only formats.
Steele, a fifth-round draft pick out of high school in 2014, was limited to just 40.2 innings for short-season Eugene, partially because of a minor "tweak" in his arm. Issues in the arm of young pitchers are always a concern, but the Cubs can afford to be cautious with Steele, as there is no hurry to advance him to the big-league level. Steele has a 2.73 ERA in his first two professional seasons, and they haven't been flukes, as his FIPs have been even better. The skinny 20-year-old southpaw has a decent future if he can stay healthy, but his ceiling is probably as a mid-rotation starter.
More Fantasy News
Expected back in May
PChicago Cubs
Hamstring
March 30, 2024
Manager Craig Counsell said Saturday that he expects Steele (hamstring) to miss the entire month of April, Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Officially placed on IL
PChicago Cubs
Hamstring
March 30, 2024
The Cubs placed Steele on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a left hamstring strain, retroactive to March 29, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Headed for IL
PChicago Cubs
Hamstring
March 28, 2024
Steele was diagnosed with a left hamstring strain Thursday and will be placed on the injured list, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Removed due to tightness
PChicago Cubs
Hamstring
March 28, 2024
Steele was removed from Thursday's game against the Rangers due to tightness in his left hamstring, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Suffers apparent hamstring injury
PChicago Cubs
Hamstring
March 28, 2024
Steele exited Thursday's game against the Rangers with an apparent injury to his left hamstring, Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.