Kyle Gibson

Kyle Gibson

36-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Gibson led the American League East-winning Orioles with 15 wins and 192 innings in 2023, but his 4.73 ERA and 157 strikeouts certainly left something to be desired. He ranked 10th in the AL with 17 quality starts, but too many blowup outings led to the bloated ERA. Gibson has made at least 29 starts in six straight seasons (the shortened 2020 season not included), making him a durable workhorse. He's posted an ERA below last year's 4.73 mark on just two occasions during that span, though, and his strikeout rate over the last three seasons has dipped below 20 percent. Gibson has developed a legitimate weapon with his sweeper, a pitch he began throwing at the tail-end of 2022 and in 2023 watched it induce whiffs at a 46.7 percent rate. The rest of his arsenal, though, is suspect. Busch Stadium is a good landing spot for Gibson, although it won't necessarily help his home run issues since Busch has been a tick more homer-friendly since Camden Yards changed its dimensions. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#486
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $12 million contract with the Cardinals in November of 2023. Contract includes $12 million team option ($1 million buyout) for 2025. Contract includes $500,000 incentive in both 2024 and 2025 for 175 innings pitched.
Wins with shaky outing
PSt. Louis Cardinals
May 17, 2024
Gibson (3-2) allowed five runs on eight hits and three walks over six-plus innings Friday, striking out three and earning a win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
Gibson was in line for a quality start after giving up three runs through six frames. He put two runners on base to begin the seventh inning and was eventually charged with both. He'd gone five straight starts with two or fewer earned runs allowed before Friday's hiccup. Gibson's season ERA climbed back to 4.09 with a 43:23 K:BB through 55 frames. He's in line to face the Orioles at home next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Kyle Gibson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Gibson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .270 847 148 67 205 47 6 28
Since 2022vs Right .260 905 196 59 215 38 3 26
2024vs Left .226 125 21 14 24 7 2 5
2024vs Right .247 103 22 9 23 3 0 2
2023vs Left .292 401 73 26 107 26 2 13
2023vs Right .249 406 84 29 91 17 3 10
2022vs Left .258 321 54 27 74 14 2 10
2022vs Right .274 396 90 21 101 18 0 14
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-1%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.75 1.35 212.0 15 10 0 7.2 2.6 1.2
Since 2022Away 4.80 1.29 202.2 13 9 0 7.8 2.8 1.2
2024Home 4.80 1.40 30.0 2 1 0 6.3 3.6 0.9
2024Away 3.24 1.12 25.0 1 1 0 7.9 4.0 1.4
2023Home 4.97 1.41 79.2 6 5 0 7.7 2.7 1.1
2023Away 4.57 1.26 112.1 9 4 0 7.1 2.5 1.0
2022Home 4.57 1.29 102.1 7 4 0 7.0 2.3 1.3
2022Away 5.79 1.41 65.1 3 4 0 8.8 3.0 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Gibson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.87
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
91.1 mph
 
ERA
4.09
 
WHIP
1.27
 
BABIP
.263
 
GB/FB
1.82
 
Left On Base
73.1%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.3%
 
Spin Rate
2169 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
32.6%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Not playing in Toronto
PPhiladelphia Phillies
July 12, 2022
Gibson is among four Phillies that won't feature in the two-game series against the Blue Jays due to their vaccination status, according to Todd Zolecki of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Gibson joins a list that also includes Alec Bohm, Aaron Nola and J.T. Realmuto, and all four players will be moved to the restricted list. Gibson made his most recent start Saturday against the Cardinals and wasn't expected to pitch in Toronto either way. He should be activated Friday and make his final start before the All-Star break in the weekend series against the Marlins.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Gibson's pitch-to-contact approach always seemed dicey at a hitter-friendly park like the one the Phillies call home, and that's how things played out during his time with the team. He produced a 5.09 ERA in 12 appearances after his midseason move in 2021 and followed that up with a similar 5.05 ERA in 31 starts last season. His ERA estimators, such as his 3.94 xFIP and 4.06 SIERA, suggested that he deserved significantly better, and he actually did manage a far better 4.08 ERA through the end of August before getting blown up for a 9.73 ERA across his final six outings. He also managed a career-best 6.7 BB%. He found a good landing spot in the offseason, signing a one-year deal with Baltimore, where the home park was the 24th-most hitter-friendly park in the league last year, according to Baseball Savant. Gibson should have enough job security to eat innings and be a solid home streaming option.
Gibson was one of last year's early surprises, cruising to a 1.98 ERA over his first 16 starts. He gave up 16 runs across his last three starts before the deadline, hurting his trade value, but the Phillies acquired him nonetheless, and he went on to produce a 5.09 ERA in 12 outings the rest of the way. Altogether, his 3.71 ERA represented the second-best mark of his nine-year career, but there's not a lot to get excited about with Gibson heading into his age-34 campaign, especially now that he pitches in one of the league's more hitter-friendly parks. His 51.7% groundball rate helps keep the ball in the park, but it's tough to bet on a pitcher who allows as much contact as he does (his sub-par 20.6 K% was the third-best mark of his career) at such a venue. A repeat of 2021 would keep Gibson interesting enough, but there's more downside than upside here given his age and new home.
Gibson signed a three-year, $28 million deal with the Rangers last winter. The Rangers were careful with Gibson early on in the spring after a bout with ulcerative colitis resulted in the right-hander losing strength during the 2019 season, his last with the Twins. The delay to the 2020 campaign afforded Gibson extra time, but even so his first season with Texas was one to forget, and the long ball in particular was a problem. The right-hander deserves credit for his durability over the years, but the volume can only carry his fantasy value so far.
Gibson took a step back after a career-best season in 2018. Health was an issue as Gibson had a delayed start to spring training after suffering from an E. coli infection. Gibson initially looked on track, going 8-4 with a 4.09 ERA in the first half. He then declined sharply in the second half with a 5.92 ERA. Stamina was likely an issue as he went on the injured list in September with ulcerative colitis. He returned at the end of the season in the bullpen. His step back can't all be attributed to health as he threw just 30.6% of his pitches in the strike zone, which was the worst in AL (150 +IP). He also struggled with the long ball with a 1.3 HR/9. Still, he did continue some improvements from 2018 with a 9.0 K/9 and career-best 93.4 mph average on his fastball. If he can manage his ulcerative colitis and keep his weight and stamina, he could bounce back after signing with Texas.
Gibson made surprising strides at age 30 with a career-best 3.62 ERA and 8.2 K/9. He increased his average fastball velocity to 93.0 mph and his swinging-strike rate to 11.5%, both career highs. He kept more balls in the park with a 1.1 HR/9, compared to 1.4 in 2017. His 49.8% groundball rate ranked fourth among qualified starters. He was also more consistent with just two three-game streaks of allowing three or more runs, compared to 2017 when he was sent to the minors after a terrible stretch and 2016 when he had a 6.62 ERA in August. Control remains an issue (3.6 BB/9 last season) and it is hard to feel confident about his gains in velocity and strikeout rate, given how much they stand out and how late they came in his career, but if those gains turn out to be legitimate, he is an undervalued No. 3 starter.
Gibson's final output last season mirrored his 2016 production (a 5.07 ERA both years), but last year featured a roller coaster that saw him both sent to the minors and become Minnesota's hottest pitcher. He began the season in the rotation but was sent to Triple-A in May after going 0-4 with an 8.20 ERA in six starts. He righted the ship when he returned later in the month and surged after the All-Star break. In the second half he reduced his walks from 4.2 BB/9 to 2.6 BB/9 while also upping his strikeouts from 5.6 K/9 to 8.2 K/9, resulting in a 7-3 record and a 3.76 ERA. In addition to a decrease in walks and increase in strikeouts, he gave up significantly fewer home runs and generated weaker contact. His stuff didn’t improve, but his pitch location did. Gibson has always had good groundball rates (50.8 percent last season) so if his command gains are legitimate, he could carry that second-half success over in 2018.
Gibson was expected to improve last season to become a reliable starter at the top of the rotation, but instead took a step back as both his walk rate and strikeout rates deteriorated. Gibson landed on the DL in April with a sore shoulder and missed nearly two months. He never got back on track when he returned as his velocity, strikeout rate and control all declined from the previous season. At his best, Gibson offsets his lack of strikeouts with a good groundball rate and average control. Perhaps health was the issue, but he'll need a bounceback season to remain in Minnesota's rotation.
Gibson had a solid, if unspectacular, 2015 season and will be counted on as Minnesota's No. 3 starter this year. His 194.2 innings led the team, and since his ERA was slightly below average, that made him Minnesota's most valuable player by bWAR. Gibson improved his strikeout rate, but it's still mediocre and his velocity (91.8 mph average fastball) wouldn't seem to indicate a lot of upside. He offsets his lack of strikeouts with a good ground ball rate (53.4 percent) and average control (3.0 BB/9, an uptick from his career norm). Gibson needs to be more consistent, as he has a pattern of alternating great and terrible starts; he had a 0.71 ERA in 11 wins and a 7.99 ERA in 11 losses last year. Still, at age 28, he could be hitting his prime now that he's established in Minnesota's rotation.
Gibson's first full season in the majors was an uneven affair as he showed glimpses of becoming a mainstay in the rotation while also having many ugly outings. He had a 1.42 ERA in his 13 wins, but a horrendous 11.04 ERA in his 12 losses. Gibson's poor strikeout rate (4.9 K/9 IP) limits his upside, but he's had some success due to a relatively low walk rate (2.9 BB/9) and a 54.4% groundball rate. If Gibson can reduce his number of disaster outings, he could improve to become a building block in Minnesota's rotation.
Gibson's first full season back from Tommy John surgery was a mixed bag as he had a strong season at Triple-A with a 2.92 ERA and 87:33 K:BB ratio in 101.2 innings, but struggled in his first test in the majors with a 6.53 ERA and 29:20 K:BB in 51 innings (5.1 K/9). While the 2009 first-round draft pick has been regarded as one of Minnesota's top pitching prospects, he's never had an overwhelming strikeout rate (8.0 K/9 in the minors) or velocity (92.1 average mph fastball in the majors), which may limit his upside. Still, he's likely to improve in his second full season after Tommy John surgery. He'll be a candidate for a spot in the Minnesota rotation in spring training.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, spent last summer working his way back from September 2011 Tommy John surgery. He made 13 minor league starts, including two at Triple-A in September. He then had a decent showing in the Arizona Fall League with a 5.40 ERA and 28:8 K:BB in 23.1 innings (He began 3-0 with a 0.69 ERA, but struggled in his last three starts). Gibson has a strong chance to win a spot in the Twins' rotation, but it sounds like he may start the season in the minors or the bullpen as the Twins have said they plan to limit his workload to 130 or 140 innings. With three above-average pitches and excellent control, Gibson could quickly ascend to the top of Minnesota's rotation, but his upside may be limited because he has never had outstanding strikeout rates in the minors.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, will miss the 2012 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He may have been part of Minnesota's rotation as early as 2012 after he started the season with a 3.79 ERA and 74:17 K:BB ratio through 71.1 innings at Triple-A. However, he faded after June and was sidelined with a sore elbow that later required surgery. When healthy, he has three above average pitches and excellent control.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, jumped from High-A to Triple-A last season. He could contend for a spot in Minnesota's starting rotation in spring training, but likely begins the season at Triple-A and gets called up after a few months. The 2009 first-round draft pick has three above average pitches and excellent control. He could be an impact fantasy pitcher in 2011.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, didn't play last summer due to a stress fracture in his forearm. He was able to return for Minnesota's instructional league and is expected to be ready for spring training. He has three above average pitches and excellent control, so the college pitcher could advance rapidly after an expected start at Low-A Beloit.
More Fantasy News
Wild in no-decision
PSt. Louis Cardinals
May 11, 2024
Gibson allowed two runs on three hits and four walks while striking out seven over five-plus innings in a no-decision versus the Brewers on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Hurls fourth straight quality start
PSt. Louis Cardinals
May 6, 2024
Gibson allowed three runs (two earned) on seven hits and two walks while striking out four batters over six innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in no-decision
PSt. Louis Cardinals
April 30, 2024
Gibson came away with a no-decision in the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Tigers, allowing one run on four hits and two walks over seven innings in a 2-1 win. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp after rough start
PSt. Louis Cardinals
April 24, 2024
Gibson (2-2) earned the win against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks over six innings while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Walks four in no-decision
PSt. Louis Cardinals
April 19, 2024
Gibson yielded a run on three hits and four walks over six innings in a no-decision Friday. He struck out three in the loss to Milwaukee.
ANALYSIS
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