Kyle Muller

Kyle Muller

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Muller has logged three or more starts in the majors in back-to-back seasons but he still retains prospect eligibility heading into 2023. The big 6-foot-7 southpaw made notable improvements last year at Triple-A compared to 2021, upping his strikeout rate from 27.0% to 29.3% while dropping his walk rate from 12.9% to 7.4%. He scuffled down the stretch at Triple-A but showed stretches of dominance. Muller had two decent MLB starts in the second half and a terrible start where he walked six batters in 2.2 innings May 1, which dragged down his overall numbers. He threw a career-best 147 innings on the year, so he will be without restrictions in his age-25 season. The range of velocity on Muller's fastball was pretty wide (92 to 97 mph), and he will obviously be more successful if he can consistently sit in the mid-90s rather than regularly dipping into the low-90s. He throws all four of his pitches harder than the average MLB southpaw, and his upper-80s slider is arguably his best pitch. It will be tough to crack Atlanta's Opening Day rotation, but Muller could break out this year if he can recapture the peak performance he showed in the middle of 2022. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $2.5 million contract with the Braves in June of 2016.
Sent back down
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 28, 2022
Muller was optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
The southpaw was productive during Tuesday's start in Washington, allowing two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four in 4.2 innings. However, he'll head back to the minors as part of a move to make room for Silvino Bracho on the active roster. Muller spent most of the 2022 season at Gwinnett and posted a 3.41 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 134.2 innings over 23 starts.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
78
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
78
How many pitches does Kyle Muller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Muller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .158 45 10 6 6 0 0 1
Since 2020vs Right .234 169 39 22 33 8 0 3
2022vs Left .000 9 2 3 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right .295 50 10 5 13 2 0 2
2021vs Left .188 36 8 3 6 0 0 1
2021vs Right .206 119 29 17 20 6 0 1
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-35%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-90%
ERA on Road
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 6.35 1.54 22.2 0 3 0 8.7 5.6 0.8
Since 2020Away 4.10 1.22 26.1 3 2 0 9.2 4.8 0.7
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 8.03 1.70 12.1 1 1 0 8.8 5.8 1.5
2021Home 6.35 1.54 22.2 0 3 0 8.7 5.6 0.8
2021Away 0.64 0.79 14.0 2 1 0 9.6 3.9 0.0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Muller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.50
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
5.8
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
94.3 mph
 
ERA
8.03
 
WHIP
1.70
 
BABIP
.326
 
GB/FB
1.45
 
Left On Base
54.9%
 
Exit Velocity
81.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.9%
 
Spin Rate
2304 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
18.4%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2017
The last time Muller had a BB% below 12% was at Double-A in 2018, so while he has good size (6-foot-7, 250 pounds) and good stuff, it still requires a bit of a leap of faith to project him as a starter long term. His 93-mph fastball (up to 97) has above-average spin, while his upper-80s slider and low-80s curveball have strong characteristics and worked well against big-league hitters last season. As things stand, Muller will get to compete with Tucker Davidson for the fifth spot in the rotation, but it's possible Atlanta will bring in another starter after the lockout. Given his proximity and strikeout upside, the big southpaw should be a mid-round pick in draft-and-hold leagues, however, he would need a strong spring training to emerge as a solid reserve option in standard redraft leagues.
Muller got a chance to showcase his stuff in spring training following a strong 2019 minor-league campaign, but he was roughed up in two appearances, yielding six earned runs and retiring only three batters. The 6-foot-7 southpaw was nonetheless added to the Braves' 60-man player pool and ended up spending all of 2020 at the team's alternate training site. Muller has generated some buzz within the organization after posting a 3.14 ERA and 25.6 K% at Double-A between 2018 and 2019, though his 14.5 BB% and 16 wild pitches over that span are cause for concern. Part of the problem is a tendency to overthrow; while Muller features a plus mid-90s fastball, his command of the offering tends to waver as he pushes the velocity. He may be best served to better mix in his curveball, which ranks as his second-best pitch. If he can learn to harness his control, Muller could get a chance to contribute as soon as 2021.
While Muller didn't come off the board until the 44th pick in last year's draft, his $2.5 million signing bonus is more in line with the recommended value of the 17th overall pick. This draft subtlety and the fact that there are eight or nine more recognizable pitching prospects in this loaded farm system opens up an opportunity for dynasty league owners to acquire Muller at a discount, relative to his talent. Despite his 6-foot-6, 240-pound frame, Muller relies more on above-average fastball command than elite velocity at this development stage. Given his age and size, he could add a couple ticks in the coming years and move into the mid-90s on a regular basis, but for now his upside is capped at a No. 3 starter. His numbers in the Gulf Coast League were certainly eye-popping, but the southpaw won't receive a true test until the Braves take the training wheels off and allow him to log more than three innings per start while facing hitters in the Appalachian and South Atlantic leagues this season.
More Fantasy News
Called up ahead of start
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 27, 2022
Atlanta recalled Muller from Triple-A Gwinnett ahead of his scheduled start Tuesday in Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Named Tuesday's starter
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 26, 2022
Muller will start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
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Trending toward start Tuesday
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 26, 2022
Muller joined Atlanta's taxi squad Monday and is expected to be formally recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett to start Tuesday in Washington, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
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Sent down following matinee
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
August 13, 2022
Muller was optioned to Triple-A Gwinnett following the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Marlins, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled prior to start
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
August 13, 2022
Muller was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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