Luis Ortiz

Luis Ortiz

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ortiz threw a career-high 135.2 innings in the majors in 2024 while working as a swingman for the Pirates. He showed improvement in two key areas, as his walk rate dropped from 12.0 percent in 2023 to 7.6 percent in 2024. Meanwhile, his HR/9 fell from 1.35 to 1.06. One significant reason was due to Ortiz's improvement against lefties, which appears to be linked to a change in pitch usage, as he ditched an ineffective changeup in favor of a cutter. Despite those improvements, Ortiz's fantasy appeal is lacking. He had only a 19.2 percent strikeout rate and struggled to generate whiffs despite strong fastball velocity (95.9 mph). An offseason trade to Cleveland, an organization with a proven track record of getting the most out of its starters, could prove to be beneficial, but Ortiz should begin the season as a watchlist or streamer type option pending his early skills. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2024. Traded to the Guardians in December of 2024.
Dealt to Guardians
PCleveland Guardians
December 10, 2024
The Pirates traded Ortiz, along with Josh Hartle and Michael Kennedy, to the Guardians on Tuesday in exchange for Spencer Horwitz, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Ortiz took a massive leap in 2024, posting a 3.32 ERA and 1.11 WHIP alongside a 107:42 K:BB in 135.2 innings. The Pirates used him as both a starter and reliever last year, though Shane Bieber's (elbow) injury and a general lack of starter depth could prompt Cleveland to keep Ortiz in its rotation full time.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
58
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Luis Ortiz generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Luis Ortiz generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .254 463 76 53 102 18 2 21
Since 2022vs Right .227 562 107 47 114 19 3 9
2024vs Left .210 263 49 24 49 9 2 12
2024vs Right .225 293 58 18 60 12 2 4
2023vs Left .333 177 23 24 50 8 0 8
2023vs Right .253 223 36 24 49 6 1 5
2022vs Left .167 23 4 5 3 1 0 1
2022vs Right .122 46 13 5 5 1 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-23%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-14%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-65%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.12 1.35 115.2 5 7 0 5.8 3.7 1.4
Since 2022Away 3.74 1.30 122.2 7 6 1 8.0 3.8 0.9
2024Home 3.72 1.13 72.2 3 3 0 6.1 2.7 1.5
2024Away 2.86 1.10 63.0 4 3 1 8.3 2.9 0.6
2023Home 5.17 1.85 38.1 2 3 0 4.2 5.6 1.4
2023Away 4.47 1.57 48.1 3 2 0 7.6 4.5 1.3
2022Home 1.93 0.64 4.2 0 1 0 13.5 3.9 0.0
2022Away 5.56 1.32 11.1 0 1 0 7.9 6.4 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Luis Ortiz compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.55
 
K/9
7.1
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
95.4 mph
 
ERA
3.32
 
WHIP
1.11
 
BABIP
.252
 
GB/FB
1.05
 
Left On Base
73.9%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.7%
 
Spin Rate
2337 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.3%
 
Swinging Strike
9.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Ortiz entered the 2023 season with considerable hype after a fairly impressive 16-inning sample in his big-league debut, during which he maintained a 24.6 percent strikeout while deploying his 98 mph fastball and 88 mph slider a combined 77 percent of the time. The Pirates weren't convinced he'd be able to maintain consistent success with only two pitches and asked him to focus more on developing a changeup. He ended up throwing the offspeed pitch 14 percent of the time in 2023 and it was fairly effective (.205 slg. against). However, the development of his new pitch seemed to contribute to the erosion of the rest of his arsenal, as he lost velocity and around three percentage points off of his overall swinging strike rate. That led to a significant step back in surface stats as well, and most worrisome is an inflated walk rate that has persisted across the first two seasons of his big-league sample (12.4% in 102.2 innings). For those looking to keep hope alive, the case is that this is the year his three-pitch arsenal comes together, and that last year's growing pains will be worth more sustainable success across the length of his career. That's quite a leap to take at this point, but if he has a strong spring and is able to secure a rotation spot he could re-enter the fantasy conversation.
Ortiz entered the season as a prospect of note in a deep Pirates system, but he was nowhere near their top-10 and there was never much hype from the fantasy community until he actually pitched in the majors in mid-September. The sturdy 6-foot-2 righty quickly showed that his stuff merited attention, as he sat 98 mph with his high-spin four-seamer while touching 100 mph as a starter and also showed off an 88-mph slider that touched 90 mph. In four starts (16 innings), he only threw his 91-mph changeup 14 times (five percent), so for now he should be considered a two-pitch pitcher. That said, we've seen two-pitch pitchers with this type of fastball/slider combo break out in recent seasons, most notably Spencer Strider. The Pirates have no reason to pull the plug on Ortiz's development as a starter anytime soon, and his success will mainly hinge on his command/control, as he had a rough 14.5 BB% and an elite .136 average against in the majors.
More Fantasy News
Goes seven strong in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 25, 2024
Ortiz (7-6) earned the win against the Brewers on Wednesday, allowing one run on four hits and one walk with five strikeouts over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in quality start
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 19, 2024
Ortiz allowed two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out seven batters over six innings in a no-decision against St. Louis on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Kansas City
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 13, 2024
Ortiz (6-6) took the loss Friday against the Royals, allowing seven runs (four earned) on five hits and two walks over four innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles against Nationals
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 7, 2024
Ortiz (6-5) took the loss in Game 1 of Saturday's doubleheader against Washington, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits and two walks while striking out two batters over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Nationals-Pirates postponed
PPittsburgh Pirates
September 6, 2024
Ortiz will not start Friday against the Nationals as the game has been postponed due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Excelling with four-seamer
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 19, 2024
Opposing batters are hitting just .219 against Ortiz's four-seam fastball this season after they posted a .383 average off it during 2023.
ANALYSIS
According to Alex Stumpf of MLB.com, the right-hander is getting more vertical rise and less horizontal movement on the four-seamer this year, helping it be a more effective pitch up in the zone. Ortiz continues to utilize a slider as his primary pitch, throwing it 30 percent of the time with his sinker and four-seamer both sitting at about 24 percent. The 25-year-old has primarily worked as a reliever this season but made three starts leading up to the All-Star break, and he's pitched well in both roles with a 2.84 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 57:19 K:BB across 66.2 innings.
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