2022 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The Phillies present us with a great example of why it's fine to draft prep righties in first-year player drafts, it's just not wise to draft them with high picks. Abel was a trendy early-round target in 2021 and Andrew Painter was an affordable mid-round option in 2022, and now Painter's dynasty value greatly outpaces that of Abel. Standing 6-foot-5 and armed with a power arsenal, Abel has consistently missed bats (K% over 27% at every stop) while also consistently walking too many batters (BB% over 10% at every stop). His 1.33 WHIP in 108.1 innings at High-A and Double-A is a good illustration of the risk he still carries, even though he is healthy and in the upper levels. Additionally, Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9 GB% at High-A, 26.3 GB% at Double-A) who will someday call Citizens Bank Park home, which is not a great recipe. He won't turn 22 until August, and a significant step forward with his control could lead to a breakout year. If he doesn't take that step forward, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski could use him to upgrade the big-league club at the trade deadline. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
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Prospect
Joining big-league camp
Abel will attend the Phillies' big-league camp this spring.
ANALYSIS
The 2020 first-round pick remains an interesting prospect, but he's been passed within his own organization by 2021 first-rounder Andrew Painter, who's moved into the conversation for top pitching prospect in the game. Painter appears to have a legitimate shot to break camp in the majors, but Abel isn't at that stage yet. That's not an insult to Abel, who's just 21 years old and has yet to reach Triple-A. He owns a 27.6 percent strikeout rate in 23 professional starts, but he'll need to trim his 10.6 percent walk rate to take the next step. If a 2023 major-league debut is in the cards, it will probably happen late in the year.
The 2020 first-round pick remains an interesting prospect, but he's been passed within his own organization by 2021 first-rounder Andrew Painter, who's moved into the conversation for top pitching prospect in the game. Painter appears to have a legitimate shot to break camp in the majors, but Abel isn't at that stage yet. That's not an insult to Abel, who's just 21 years old and has yet to reach Triple-A. He owns a 27.6 percent strikeout rate in 23 professional starts, but he'll need to trim his 10.6 percent walk rate to take the next step. If a 2023 major-league debut is in the cards, it will probably happen late in the year.
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2021 Fantasy Outlook
The only real knock on Abel is that he comes from the riskiest subset of draft prospects: prep righties. As such, the expectation should be that he won't work out, but he could be an ace if he does, which is why the Phillies selected him with the No. 15 overall pick in last year's draft. He sat at 95-99 mph with his fastball during the fall instructional league, and at 6-foot-5, 190 pounds, he could be throwing even harder (without increasing his effort) in a year or two. Abel has the best command among last year's crop of high school arms -- he projects for plus command down the road. His plus mid-80s slider is his best offspeed pitch, and he is currently working on improving his changeup and curveball, both of which have promise. On paper, Abel looks like a future No. 1 or No. 2 starter, but as we are often reminded, high school right-handers can often break our hearts in pro ball.
More Fantasy News
Receives bump to Double-A
The Phillies are promoting Abel from High-A Jersey Shore to Double-A Reading on Sunday, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Skidding in High-A
Abel has a 5.28 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 27:14 K:BB across his last five starts (29 innings) for High-A Jersey Shore.
ANALYSIS
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Missing bats in High-A
Abel has posted a 3.86 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 23:3 K:BB across 14 innings spanning four starts for High-A Jersey Shore.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to open in High-A
Abel is expected to open the 2022 season at High-A, according to Baseball America.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with shoulder tendinitis
Abel is battling shoulder tendinitis and may not pitch again until the instructional league, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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