Nate Pearson

Nate Pearson

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Toronto Blue Jays
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Pearson didn't pitch in the majors last season and was limited to just 15.1 innings in the minors thanks to a lengthy illness and lat strain. The former top prospect was slated to build up as a starter, but his delayed start due to mononucleosis shifted his focus to a bulk relief instead. Once healthy, Pearson was impressive during his rehab assignment, reaching 98-99 mph on the radar gun with 19 strikeouts. Unfortunately, he suffered the lat strain after just 13 appearances and the season was wrapping up by the time the right-hander was healthy enough to return. Pearson recently flashed his upside in the Dominican Winter League, posting 12 scoreless innings with a 16:4 K:BB and 0.75 WHIP. However, he's a perennial health risk and has yet to pitch more than 101.2 innings during any season, so temper your expectations for 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#558
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Blue Jays in June of 2017.
Activated and optioned
PToronto Blue Jays
October 5, 2022
The Blue Jays reinstated Pearson (lat) from the 60-day injured list and optioned him to Triple-A Buffalo on Wednesday, Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
Since Buffalo's season has already ended, Pearson won't report to the Triple-A affiliate and will instead stick around at the Blue Jays' spring facility in Florida, where he'll likely continue to stay sharp in case Toronto requires an extra bullpen arm during its upcoming postseason run, according to Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca. Pearson never made any appearances at the big-league level in 2022 after opening the campaign on the shelf while recovering from mononucleosis before he suffered a lat strain in June during his rehab assignment.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-44%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-64%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .296 67 15 13 16 2 1 4
Since 2020vs Right .167 85 21 12 12 0 0 3
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Left .273 28 10 6 6 1 1 0
2021vs Right .216 43 10 6 8 0 0 2
2020vs Left .313 39 5 7 10 1 0 4
2020vs Right .114 42 11 6 4 0 0 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-81%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.82 1.82 9.1 0 0 0 13.5 6.8 1.0
Since 2020Away 5.73 1.55 22.0 1 1 0 8.2 7.0 2.5
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 1.29 1.14 7.0 0 0 0 16.7 3.9 0.0
2021Away 6.75 2.25 8.0 1 1 0 7.9 10.1 2.3
2020Home 15.43 3.86 2.1 0 0 0 3.9 15.4 3.9
2020Away 5.14 1.14 14.0 0 0 0 8.4 5.1 2.6
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nate Pearson See More
Mound Musings: The “Kids on Parade” Watch List for 2023
122 days ago
As the MLB regular season draws to its conclusion, Brad Johnson presents his Kids on Parade list, and at the top sits Grayson Rodriguez, the Orioles' star prospect.
Mound Musings: See You in September
157 days ago
Brad Johnson takes a look at which pitchers might be worth a look during the season's final month, starting with Mike Soroka who's been out since August of 2020 with a ruptured Achilles.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
215 days ago
Erik Halterman discusses trade season and looks at 10 players whose values have changed over the past few weeks, including Jesse Winker, who's experiencing a career renaissance.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
238 days ago
Erik Siegrist sifts through the available options in the AL as Ross Stripling gets ready to move back into the rotation for Toronto.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
272 days ago
Pitcher Shane McClanahan is one of a number of young players Erik Halterman believes is jumping to the next level.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
After a flexor strain sidelined him in 2020, a core-muscle injury cost Pearson significant time in 2021, with the hard-throwing righty first experiencing the issue last spring before landing on the injured list again in June. Because of how the injury disrupted his buildup program, Pearson worked almost exclusively as a reliever, coming out of Toronto's bullpen in 11 of his 12 appearances while submitting a 4.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in 15 innings. He recently underwent surgery to address the sports hernia, but Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said he should be fine for spring training without any disruptions. Toronto plans to have Pearson stretch back out for a starting role, but he'll still be forced to compete for a spot in the club's Opening Day rotation. He'll have a better shot if he refines his command (6.8 BB/9 for his career) and avoids the injuries that have plagued him the past two seasons.
Pearson has long stood out as an injury risk due to his age, profession (pitcher) and superfluous fastball velocity, and indeed, he suffered a flexor strain in his elbow after four starts in the majors. Fortunately, he did return, making one regular-season relief appearance before striking out five of six batters in his lone postseason appearance. He still carries a high risk of re-injury, but we can at least expect him to open the year in the MLB rotation. If there were no health concerns, he would be a nice buy-low option after a miserable statistical debut. His fastball velocity and wipeout slider are major strengths, while his changeup, curveball and command/control were major weaknesses against MLB hitters. Even the best pitching prospects can take a couple years to figure it out in the majors, so health/durability, not performance, remains the biggest long-term concern with Toronto's 6-foot-6 righty.
The crucial part of Pearson's season was an eight-start run to close the year split between Double-A and Triple-A, during which he had a 2.14 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 47:14 K:BB in 46.1 IP. Prior to this, he had been facing overmatched competition (six starts at High-A) or not working as a true starter -- he averaged 3.1 innings per outing in his first 11 starts at Double-A. In short, he passed the final exam and is one of the game's best pitching prospects. Pearson can touch triple digits with his fastball and has a plus slider, but his changeup needs some work. Injuries limited the 6-foot-6, 245-pound righty to just 42 pro innings prior to 2019, so crossing the 100-inning mark was a significant achievement. Keeping his weight in check will be important, and Pearson's velocity makes him a prime Tommy John surgery candidate, but all arrows are pointing up for now. He should spend most of 2020 in the MLB rotation.
Sometimes the mysterious carries more value in dynasty leagues than established commodities. For example, Pearson has thrown just 42 innings including the Arizona Fall League, yet looks the part of a frontline horse (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and touched 104 mph in a one-inning outing with dozens of scouts watching at the 2018 Fall Stars game. The 28th overall pick in 2017, Pearson was seen as a lottery ticket, as he had not faced quality competition in junior college but had touched triple digits with his fastball. The selection looked brilliant when he dominated in short-season ball, but he missed the first month of 2018 with an oblique injury and missed the rest of the season after exiting his first start when a comebacker broke his ulna. Pearson's slider and changeup should be at least average offerings but his eventual command is unknown. His upside and flaws should come into focus if he stays healthy in his age-22 season.
The Blue Jays nabbed Pearson with the 28th overall pick in the 2017 draft, but if the draft were held again this offseason, he would go in the top 15. He was seen as a lottery ticket. Scouts liked his stuff, but coming out of a Central Florida junior college, he had not faced any high-end competition. Pearson threw one inning in the Gulf Coast League and was quickly promoted to the Northwest League where he displayed an elite fastball that can touch 100 mph and a potentially plus changeup. Never going more than four innings, he was able to carve up short-season hitters with ease on the strength of his fastball and changeup. He didn't give up a run over his first seven appearances and fanned 10 over four innings in his penultimate start of the year. The next step will be gaining more consistency with his slider -- his clear third pitch. If that comes along, he has the size (6-foot-6, 245 pounds) and potentially above-average command to anchor a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Building up to multiple innings
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
September 22, 2022
Interim manager John Schneider said Thursday that Pearson (lat) is building up to cover multiple innings before being activated from the injured list, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting rehab stint
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
September 2, 2022
Pearson (lat) is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment Sunday with Single-A Dunedin, Scott Mitchell of TSN.ca reports.
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Set to throw live BP
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
August 29, 2022
Pearson (lat) will throw live batting practice Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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Another bullpen on tap
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
August 23, 2022
Pearson (lat) will throw a bullpen session Wednesday, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
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Slated to throw bullpen
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
August 15, 2022
Pearson (lat) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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