Nick Madrigal

Nick Madrigal

25-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Chicago Cubs
2023 Fantasy Outlook
It was another injury-riddled season for Madrigal in 2022. Back and groin ailments limited him to just 59 games. That figure actually represents the most for Madrigal across his three seasons at the MLB level, so he's never been able to fully showcase his abilities for an extended period of time. The talent is there, as the White Sox selected him fourth overall in 2018, and he batted above .300 during brief stints in the majors in 2020 and 2021. Last year was a step backward, as Madrigal only batted .249, but it's hard to come to too many conclusions until he gets in something close to a full season. Working in Madrigal's favor is the Cubs' timeline, as the team seems to be entering a rebuild. The second baseman is entering his age-26 season and is still looking to establish himself, so the playing time should be there. If Madrigal can stay healthy, he could be a breakout candidate, but there is plenty of risk here. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#586
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.225 million contract with the Cubs in January of 2023.
Avoids arbitration
2BChicago Cubs
January 13, 2023
Madrigal and the Cubs agreed on a one-year, $1.225 million contract Friday to avoid arbitration, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old struggled to stay healthy in 2022, batting .249 with seven doubles, seven RBI, 19 runs and three stolen bases over 209 at-bats in 59 games with the Cubs. With the addition of Dansby Swanson this offseason, Madrigal does not have direct path to a starting spot in the infield, though he will likely rotate in and out of the lineup in a variety of spots including designated hitter in 2023.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
4
2
2
12
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
2
1
1
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+45%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+82%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .699 166 10 2 8 0 .296 .321 .377
Since 2020vs Right .689 383 47 0 31 6 .286 .343 .346
2022vs Left .544 81 4 0 1 0 .256 .275 .269
2022vs Right .612 147 15 0 6 3 .244 .322 .290
2021vs Left .989 63 6 2 5 0 .373 .413 .576
2021vs Right .684 152 24 0 16 1 .277 .322 .362
2020vs Left .455 22 0 0 2 0 .227 .227 .227
2020vs Right .827 84 8 0 9 2 .372 .417 .410
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+25%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .706 272 31 1 21 3 .298 .344 .361
Since 2020Away .679 269 24 1 17 2 .280 .327 .352
2022Home .579 124 11 0 5 2 .250 .311 .268
2022Away .597 104 8 0 2 1 .247 .298 .299
2021Home .850 118 18 1 12 0 .342 .381 .468
2021Away .680 97 12 1 9 1 .258 .309 .371
2020Home .644 30 2 0 4 1 .310 .333 .310
2020Away .803 68 4 0 6 0 .359 .397 .406
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Stat Review
How does Nick Madrigal compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.52
 
BB Rate
6.1%
 
K Rate
11.8%
 
BABIP
.286
 
ISO
.033
 
AVG
.249
 
OBP
.305
 
SLG
.282
 
OPS
.588
 
wOBA
.269
 
Exit Velocity
85.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
17.9%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Expected BA
.256
 
Expected SLG
.311
 
Sprint Speed
24.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
60.8%
 
Line Drive %
21.0%
 
Fly Ball %
18.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Madrigal has done nothing but display elite bat-to-ball skills since being promoted to the majors in 2020. He is tied with David Fletcher for the lowest swing-and-miss rate (4.1%) since the start of the 2020 season, but he also has just two more home runs than you, the reader, in 324 plate appearances at the big-league level. The fact he is coming off a major hamstring injury which required surgery to repair while also rehabbing during the lockout would seemingly put his running game at risk, leaving all of his value tied up in his batting average as a nine-hole hitter in Chicago. He may be an option should you roster batting average deadweights with power upside, but you have to have the right type of roster construction to carry this one-trick pony in 2022.
Madrigal was exactly as advertised in his MLB debut. He hit .340 with zero barrels and seven strikeouts (6.4 K%) in 109 PA. Those highest on Madrigal are hoping for a three-category stud, but he would need to lead off. Last year, he primarily hit ninth -- a trend that could continue this year with the addition of Adam Eaton. He can still be an elite source of batting average with 15-20 steals, but he would be a massive drag on the other three standard counting stats if he hits ninth. Most good hitters eventually grow into power, but Madrigal is an exception in more ways than one. His bat-to-ball ability is already the stuff of legend, but he rarely hits the ball hard (20.8 Hard%) or in the air (12.5 FB%). Projecting just five homers in his first full season would be aggressive, so roster construction needs to be factored in. He is recovering from October shoulder surgery and is questionable for Opening Day.
Madrigal, the No. 4 overall pick in 2018, has been exactly as advertised in pro ball, for better and for worse. His elite bat-to-ball skill has been on full display at every level (career 3.0 K%), as has plus speed (35-for-48 on SB attempts last year) and 20-grade power (four HR in 163 games). His lack of power is backed up by a 13.4 Hard%. He didn't get the benefit of the juiced ball at High-A and Double-A, but no qualified MLB hitter even logged a 20.0 Hard% last year. Sometimes players vastly outperform their power grades as prospects, but this is the rare case where that should not be seen as a potential outcome. That should be just fine, however, as Madrigal projects to hit at least .300 with 20-plus steals and 100-plus runs. As long as expectations for his peak seasons are kept in that range, he shouldn't disappoint. Look for him to take over at the keystone early this season.
It is extremely rare for right-handed hitting college second basemen to be drafted in the first round, but the White Sox believed in Madrigal's hit tool and defense enough to pop him with the No. 4 overall pick last year. He came as advertised, hitting .303 with just five strikeouts (compared to seven walks) in 173 PA across stops in the AZL, Sally League and Carolina League. That bat-to-ball ability is Willians Astudillo-esque, that is to say, almost unparalleled. However, almost 50% of his hits went to the opposite field and he failed to hit a home run -- only seven of his 47 hits went for extra bases (all doubles). While he lacks power, Madrigal is a plus runner, and given how often he will end up at first base, that speed should lead to 20-plus steals annually. He is capable of playing shortstop but should be a plus defender at second base. Madrigal will likely head to Double-A at the start of his age-22 season, and should be on the fast track to the majors.
More Fantasy News
Done for 2022
2BChicago Cubs
Groin
September 27, 2022
Cubs manager David Ross said Tuesday that Madrigal (groin) won't return this season, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on injured list
2BChicago Cubs
Groin
September 10, 2022
Madrigal was placed on the 10-day injured list with a right groin strain Saturday, Gordon Wittenmyer of NBC Sports Chicago reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Saturday
2BChicago Cubs
Groin
September 10, 2022
Madrigal (groin) isn't starting Saturday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with tight groin
2BChicago Cubs
Groin
September 9, 2022
Madrigal left Friday's game against the Giants with right groin tightness, Tony Andracki of Marquee Sports Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Thursday's lineup
2BChicago Cubs
September 8, 2022
Madrigal isn't starting Thursday against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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