10-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 8/18/2025
2025 Stats
AVG
.235
HR
10
RBI
43
R
43
SB
2
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Arenado's power output has trickled down every year since he arrived in St. Louis and it bottomed out to just 16 home runs in 2024. Part of that was probably out of his control with fly ball distance being down league-wide, but he also posted career lows in average exit velocity (86.3 mph), hard-hit rate (31.6 percent) and barrel rate (3.2 percent) and one of his lowest fly ball rates (39.1 percent). Dating back to August of 2023, Arenado hasn't hit more than four long balls in any of his last eight months. A rebound is possible, but with cavernous Busch Stadium as his home and his 34th birthday coming shortly after Opening Day, it's difficult to say a bounce-back is probable. Read Past Outlooks

Could return from IL on Aug. 18
Arenado (shoulder) is tentatively slated to rejoin the Cardinals on Aug. 18 before their series against the Marlins, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Arenado is headed to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Florida on Friday to strengthen his injured right shoulder before eventually participating in rehab games with the club's rookie-level Florida Complex League squad. If all goes well on that front, he will then make the short drive from Jupiter to Miami to rejoin the Cardinals for the start of a road trip. Arenado has slashed just .167/.219/.200 over his last 17 games since suffering finger and shoulder injuries.
Arenado is headed to the team's spring training complex in Jupiter, Florida on Friday to strengthen his injured right shoulder before eventually participating in rehab games with the club's rookie-level Florida Complex League squad. If all goes well on that front, he will then make the short drive from Jupiter to Miami to rejoin the Cardinals for the start of a road trip. Arenado has slashed just .167/.219/.200 over his last 17 games since suffering finger and shoulder injuries.
Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
30
12
20
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
15
8
10
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2025
+21%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .680 | 406 | 12 | 43 | .245 | ||||
Since 2023vs Right | .741 | 1234 | 40 | 164 | .266 | ||||
2025vs Left | .754 | 107 | 2 | 10 | .296 | ||||
2025vs Right | .625 | 287 | 8 | 33 | .213 | ||||
2024vs Left | .646 | 154 | 5 | 17 | .234 | ||||
2024vs Right | .743 | 480 | 11 | 54 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Left | .662 | 145 | 5 | 16 | .220 | ||||
2023vs Right | .809 | 467 | 21 | 77 | .280 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+13%
OPS at Home
2025
+14%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | .769 | 823 | 26 | 113 | .280 | ||||
Since 2023Away | .682 | 817 | 26 | 94 | .241 | ||||
2025Home | .701 | 201 | 7 | 28 | .247 | ||||
2025Away | .616 | 193 | 3 | 15 | .223 | ||||
2024Home | .797 | 308 | 7 | 40 | .307 | ||||
2024Away | .647 | 326 | 9 | 31 | .239 | ||||
2023Home | .786 | 314 | 12 | 45 | .276 | ||||
2023Away | .762 | 298 | 14 | 48 | .255 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Nolan Arenado compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.72BB Rate
7.1%K Rate
9.9%BABIP
.239ISO
.130AVG
.235OBP
.294SLG
.366OPS
.660wOBA
.289Exit Velocity
86.9 mphHard Hit Rate
23.5%Barrels/PA
3.3%Expected BA
.253Expected SLG
.378Sprint Speed
20.7 ft/secGround Ball %
36.4%Line Drive %
18.8%Fly Ball %
44.8%Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
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2012
2011
By Arenado's lofty standards, his 2023 season was a disappointment. He totaled just 26 home runs, his fewest in a full season since 2014. His average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate all ranked in the bottom 40 percent of the league, per Statcast. It wasn't a disastrous season by any means as Arenado was an All-Star and still ranked above league average by most offensive measures, but it was a sizable step back from the previous year when he was an MVP finalist in the National League. The final month of the season was particularly rough as Arenado limped to the finish line with a .509 OPS in his final 17 games before back spasms ended his campaign. Despite the missed time at the end, Arenado still cleared 600 plate appearances, meaning he's now done so in each of the last eight full seasons. He's probably a future Hall of Famer and should be expected to bounce back to an extent, but his best days are likely behind him as he nears 33 years old.
More Fantasy News

Heading to Florida for rehab
Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Wednesday that Arenado (shoulder) will report to the team's spring training complex in Florida on Friday to begin his rehab, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Placed on injured list
The Cardinals placed Arenado on the 10-day injured list Friday with a right shoulder strain.
Analysis
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Will be placed on IL
The Cardinals are expected to place Arenado on the 10-day injured list prior to Friday's game against the Padres due to a right shoulder injury, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Taking seat Monday
Arenado is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Marlins.
Analysis
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To be asked about trade preference
Cardinals president of baseball operations John Mozeliak said Monday that he will approach Arenado in the week leading up to the trade deadline to ask for the third baseman's preference if a trade possibility surfaces, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Trade talks with Astros
Arenado's name has come up in trade talks between the Cardinals and Astros, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
Analysis
The Astros had a trade in place to acquire Arenado over the offseason, but the third baseman invoked his no-trade clause to kill the deal. It's unclear whether Arenado might change his mind this time around, and Morosi notes that there's currently "no momentum" on a deal, but the two sides have evidently at least touched base again.
The Astros had a trade in place to acquire Arenado over the offseason, but the third baseman invoked his no-trade clause to kill the deal. It's unclear whether Arenado might change his mind this time around, and Morosi notes that there's currently "no momentum" on a deal, but the two sides have evidently at least touched base again.