Nolan Gorman

Nolan Gorman

22-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
St. Louis Cardinals
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Gorman was promoted for his MLB debut in May and had a solid rookie campaign for St. Louis with 14 home runs and a .720 OPS in 89 games. Strikeouts were an issue at times in the minors and that remained true at the big-league level with a 32.9 percent strikeout rate. His 9.0 percent walk rate and .194 ISO were solid, but he'll need to cut down on the swings and misses to have some staying power in the Cardinals' lineup. He's likely to open 2023 as a bench bat/utility player with Brendan Donovan the favorite to start at second base, but Gorman could also split playing time at designated hitter with Juan Yepez. Gorman could be the odd man out if St. Louis makes any infield/DH additions in free agency, so his fantasy outlook is limited at best to begin the campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#391
ADP
$Signed a $3.23 million contract with the Cardinals in June of 2018.
Added to wild-card roster
2BSt. Louis Cardinals
October 7, 2022
Gorman is back with the active roster ahead of the NL Wild Card Series with the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
As expected, Gorman will join the Cardinals' postseason roster for their series against Philadelphia. The 22-year-old will replace Alec Burleson on the roster and will operate in a utility role for St. Louis.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2020
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
23
3
26
7
9
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .664 23 6 0 2 0 .211 .348 .316
Since 2020vs Right .725 290 38 14 33 1 .227 .297 .428
2022vs Left .664 23 6 0 2 0 .211 .348 .316
2022vs Right .725 290 38 14 33 1 .227 .297 .428
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .672 160 18 6 18 0 .212 .281 .390
Since 2020Away .773 153 26 8 17 1 .241 .320 .453
2022Home .672 160 18 6 18 0 .212 .281 .390
2022Away .773 153 26 8 17 1 .241 .320 .453
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nolan Gorman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
8.9%
 
K Rate
32.9%
 
BABIP
.301
 
ISO
.194
 
AVG
.226
 
OBP
.300
 
SLG
.420
 
OPS
.721
 
wOBA
.318
 
Exit Velocity
89.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.0%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Expected BA
.239
 
Expected SLG
.476
 
Sprint Speed
22.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
26.7%
 
Line Drive %
25.0%
 
Fly Ball %
48.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nolan Gorman See More
MLB: Postseason Cheat Sheet and Strategy
125 days ago
Todd Zola tackles the MLB Postseason Cheat Sheet for RotoWire and discusses his approach to postseason leagues this year.
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136 days ago
Pitching remains Jan Levine's focus for the final week of September.
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150 days ago
Chris Morgan likes the surprisingly affordable Bryce Harper against his old team on Sunday's Yahoo MLB slate.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
150 days ago
Jan Levine details a few NLers riding late-season surges, including a starter in Philly who's making the most of his opportunities.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
150 days ago
If you're looking to save some salary on offense, Chris Morgan suggests Nolan Gorman against Mitch Keller and the Pirates.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Gorman is coming off an indisputably good year in the upper levels of the minors, but he remains a tough player to value in dynasty leagues. His 26.7 K% at Double-A and 19.2 K% at Triple-A were his best rates to date above rookie ball, and his 129 wRC+ at Double-A was also his best full-season mark. Big raw power has always been the main selling point with Gorman, and he hit 25 home runs in 119 games (43 at Double-A, 76 at Triple-A) as a 21-year-old, so he is on schedule in the power department. He showed signs last season that he will probably make enough contact to be a big-league regular. However, we're still looking at a power-over-hit prospect, and given that his walk rates have typically been on the low end (6.8 BB% above Low-A) for someone with his power, he doesn't even comfortably project as a middle-of-the-order three-true outcomes type. The hope will be that he is a 30-plus homer bat who is a solid contributor in runs and RBI and isn't a batting average sinkhole, but players with that profile often take a year or two in the majors before they hit their stride. An injury to any number of players on the big-league roster could open up at-bats for Gorman, who is passable at second base and third base, and he could also get work at designated hitter. However, given the low batting average floor and lack of speed, he isn't a strong prospect to target in draft-and-hold leagues.
Gorman's mammoth raw power has been his calling card for a while, and it should get him to the big leagues. However, there are several reasons for skepticism regarding his hit tool. He will always run high K-rates, but to make matters worse, the best place to attack him is with fastballs up in the zone, which also happens to be where many young pitchers are being taught to attack hitters. Additionally, the left-handed hitter has a pull-heavy approach and figures to be shifted on with impunity in the big leagues. He is also a below-average runner, and given the warranted concerns about his hit tool, dynasty managers should be hoping for a three-category thumper who hits around .245. Unlike most high-strikeout mashers, Gorman may not be any more valuable in OBP leagues, given how aggressive he is at the dish. He was a standout at the alternate site and should spend the season at Double-A and Triple-A.
Gorman is who we thought he we thought he was. His 38-game run in the Appalachian League in 2018 threw some off the scent, but through a little over a season at Low-A and High-A, he is hitting .240 with 21 HR, a 30.9 K% and an 8.9 BB% in 619 PA. The power output may seem lower than expected -- he has at least 70-grade raw power. However, a below-average hit tool has held him back against full-season pitching. Gorman won't win any Gold Gloves at third base, but he should stick there. Speed is not a part of his game, so his bat needs to provide all of his fantasy value. A Joey Gallo type of outcome seemed feasible a year ago, but now a Franmil Reyes type of ceiling seems more apt, as Gallo at least had monster walk rates in the lower levels. Gorman won't turn 20 until May 10, so he is far from a lost cause, but he also doesn't look like a budding star.
Before the 2018 draft, Gorman was seen as the hitter with the most home run upside in the class (at least 70-grade power). There was also significant concern that he would strike out a lot against pitchers who could spin a quality breaking ball. The good and the bad proved true. Despite dealing with a minor wrist injury and being one of the youngest players in the class, his 17 home runs paced all draftees, while his 36.4 K% was the ninth-worst mark in the Midwest League (min. 100 PA). An underrated positive from his pro debut is that his defense at third base was good enough that evaluators now project him to stick there, which was an uncertainty before the draft. This puts slightly less pressure on his hit tool. Already one of the top power prospects in the minors, Gorman won't turn 19 until May, so he has plenty of time to cut down on the strikeouts. Realistic outcomes range from Josh Donaldson to Joey Gallo, depending where the strikeout rate settles.
More Fantasy News
Available to begin postseason
2BSt. Louis Cardinals
October 6, 2022
Manager Oliver Marmol confirmed Thursday that Gorman will be included on the Cardinals' wild-card roster, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to make postseason roster
2BSt. Louis Cardinals
October 6, 2022
Gorman will likely be included on the Cardinals' wild-card roster, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sent down
2BSt. Louis Cardinals
September 19, 2022
Gorman was optioned to Triple-A Memphis on Monday, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sits out Tuesday
2BSt. Louis Cardinals
September 13, 2022
Gorman is not in the lineup Tuesday against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting again Friday
2BSt. Louis Cardinals
September 9, 2022
Gorman is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Pirates, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
ANALYSIS
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