Ryan McMahon

Ryan McMahon

30-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Colorado Rockies
2025 Fantasy Outlook
McMahon hit the ball harder than he ever has in 2024 with an average exit velocity in the 91st percentile and hard-hit rate in the 92nd percentile. He also hit lefties better than he had in years (.740 OPS). Unfortunately, he ended with just a .714 OPS versus righties and a dreadful second half (.592 OPS) wiped out all the good work he did in the first half (.797 OPS, 14 home runs). McMahon has never been even a league-average hitter in terms of OPS+ and his swing-and-miss issues mean he's more likely to hurt than help in the average department. However, the 30-year-old has been very durable and will keep getting the Coors Field boost, assuming the Rockies continue to resist any trade overtures. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#284
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $70 million contract extension with the Rockies in March of 2022.
Reaches base four times in loss
3BColorado Rockies
March 28, 2025
McMahon went 3-for-3 with a double, two singles and a walk in a 3-2 loss to the Rays on Friday.
ANALYSIS
The third baseman was a problem for Tampa pitching and should benefit from hitting behind Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar in the Colorado lineup. McMahon has hit 20-plus homers every year since 2019 -- except for the pandemic-shortened 2020 season in which he hit nine in 52 games.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3/283/293/30987654321
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+162%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+44%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .664 375 35 10 28 0 .230 .304 .360
Since 2023vs Right .770 907 113 33 107 9 .247 .333 .437
2025vs Left 2.000 1 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000
2025vs Right .764 11 0 0 0 0 .300 .364 .400
2024vs Left .740 196 16 6 16 0 .261 .337 .403
2024vs Right .714 447 52 14 49 4 .233 .320 .394
2023vs Left .573 178 19 4 12 0 .191 .264 .309
2023vs Right .826 449 61 19 58 5 .260 .345 .481
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
-100%
OPS on Road
2024
Even Split
2023
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .768 630 78 23 84 4 .255 .333 .434
Since 2023Away .710 652 70 20 51 5 .229 .316 .394
2025Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025Away .871 12 0 0 0 0 .364 .417 .455
2024Home .720 319 36 9 37 2 .249 .332 .388
2024Away .723 324 32 11 28 2 .234 .318 .406
2023Home .816 311 42 14 47 2 .261 .334 .482
2023Away .690 316 38 9 23 3 .219 .310 .380
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ryan McMahon compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
1.00
 
BB Rate
12.5%
 
K Rate
12.5%
 
BABIP
.667
 
ISO
.143
 
AVG
.571
 
OBP
.625
 
SLG
.714
 
OPS
1.339
 
wOBA
.579
 
Exit Velocity
102.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
66.7%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Expected BA
.314
 
Expected SLG
.507
 
Sprint Speed
0.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
20.0%
 
Line Drive %
40.0%
 
Fly Ball %
40.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
McMahon and Max Muncy are distant relatives insomuch as they are the only two players to hit at least 20 homers while hitting below .255 in each of the past four full seasons of baseball. Muncy brings much more to the table in run production, but we still find that to be an interesting stat. McMahon is like most Rockies in that he is better at Coors (.261, .816 OPS) than he is on the road (.219, .690 OPS) and his righty/lefty splits are not getting better as time goes on. The reliance on his home park and facing right handed pitching is what limits his upside despite the sweet dual-position eligibility he carries on draft day at second and third base. There is no reason to expect anything different from him in 2024 because he would be fooling to take a conditional opt-out of his current contract given how much of his production is married to his current home park. Set expectations at 20 homers and a .250 average and be content with that.
While it's not quite fair to say he has no chance outside of Coors Field, McMahon is a .215/.301/.351 career hitter on the road. He has been able to shave his strikeout rate in recent years from around 30% to closer to 25%, and McMahon has now reached 20 home runs in each of his last three full seasons. Even so, on any other team, McMahon may not garner much attention. He has utility in leagues that allow you to stream him for his home series, but McMahon should not be viewed as a player to set and forget as the road numbers will really drag him down. Last March, McMahon signed a long-term deal with the Rockies, so he's not going anywhere. Deploy him carefully and McMahon can provide value thanks to the Coors bump. He's now third-base only in many leagues after making only 10 appearances at second base in 2022.
McMahon is a tough player to roster because of his home/away splits. Over his career, he's hit .273/.344/.501 at home and just .211/.299/.355 on the road. In most formats, those numbers outside of Colorado simply aren't going to cut it. McMahon really struggled in the short 2020 season with almost every underlying metric (walks, strikeouts, power, etc.) heading in the wrong direction. All of those stats bounced back in 2021, with the biggest improvement being a four-year-low 24.7 K%. He's not great in any one area and projects to provide just over 20 homers with a half dozen stolen bases. He is qualified at two positions (2B, 3B), and there has been talk of him seeing time at shortstop with Trevor Story gone. McMahon should be considered roster filler for those fantasy managers who have long enough benches to only start him at home. He signed an extension in spring training that will keep him with Colorado through the end of the 2027 season.
McMahon ranked second on the Rockies with nine home runs in 2020, but he had some struggles with putting the ball in play throughout the season. He mainly occupied the strong side of a platoon toward the end of the year as he recorded a career-worst 34.2 K%, along with a 79.9 Z-Contact%. The 26-year-old had quite a consistent BABIP in 2018 (.327) and 2019 (.323), but the mark fell to .286 last season. He hit more batted balls in the air while keeping his hard-hit rate relatively steady, but his hit locations became more predictable as he had a 40.2% pull rate -- by far his highest number over a full season. McMahon's strikeout woes don't seem to be disappearing anytime soon, and he could find himself getting less at-bats against southpaws if his struggles making contact continue. However, he's proven to be a powerful hitter despite his downfalls and could provide mid-round value for fantasy managers.
McMahon finally got regular playing time in 2019, but it took him until the second half of the season to make the most of it. A .256/.332/.399 first-half slash line gave way to a .244/.326/.500 slash line after the break, and he hit 17 of his 24 homers after the intermission. Can anyone explain his 41% HR/FB in the second half despite his flyball rate declining from the first half? Us neither. There is still a lot of noise in this stat line, but both his average exit velocity and his hard-hit rate were in the 90th percentile last season. The strikeout rate remains rather high, which should temper expectations for him because Coors Field or not, it is tough for anyone to hit for average while striking out 30% of the time. McMahon missed qualifying at three positions by one game in 2019, if you play in the standard 20-game rule format. If you use 10 or 15, enjoy his 1B/2B/3B eligibility.
An impressive camp landed McMahon on the Opening Day roster, playing first base against right-handed pitching. After slashing .180/.317/.200 through April 30, McMahon was farmed to Triple-A Albuquerque. He was recalled May 25 to help fill in at second. After a hot start, McMahon fell back to his unproductive ways and was demoted again June 20. He returned in late July, finishing the season in a reserve role. McMahon slashed .256/.333/.419 over the second half, buoyed by a 1.076 OPS at home. Contact was McMahon's primary shortcoming as he fanned at a 31.7% clip. Entering 2018, it appeared McMahon had made strides in that department. Plus, a 29.9% flyball rate hindered power. Still just 24 years old, McMahon has time to get back on track and tap into the home-run potential he showed in the minors. There's playing time to be had on the right side of the infield, at least versus RHP.
It's clear now that 2016 -- a year where McMahon was a league average hitter (101 wRC+) on a Hartford Yard Goats team that had to play all their games on the road -- was the outlier. He has been at least 37 percent better than league average during every other minor-league stint, and was dominant at Double-A and Triple-A in 2017. One could point to good fortune (.381 BABIP at Double-A, .416 BABIP at Triple-A) as the reason for this dominance. However, he got his strikeout rate under 20 percent for the first time in his career, which points to sustainable success. He has plus power, sneaky speed for a corner infielder, and with the help of Coors Field, he could annually flirt with .300. While McMahon is a third baseman by trade, he started 33 games at first base, 23 games at second base and 13 games at the hot corner while at Triple-A. The Rockies are prepping him for an inevitable position change due to Nolan Arenado's presence. He could serve as the big-league first baseman for the bulk of 2018.
McMahon entered the season as a consensus top-50 prospect, and he proceeded to post career-worst full-season numbers in every relevant offensive category other than walk rate (10.3 percent) and steals (11 on 17 attempts). The decline in production coincides with him moving to a neutral hitting environment after taking advantage of the extremely hitter-friendly parks in Low-A Asheville and High-A Modesto during the two previous seasons. McMahon played half his games at first base last year, which sheds some light on the Rockies' long-term plans, as he is blocked at third base by Nolan Arenado. He was essentially a league average hitter in the Eastern League (101 wRC+) while being over three years younger than league average, which would be more encouraging if he still projected to end up on the left side of the infield. Additionally, his 30.1 percent strikeout rate raises concerns about the viability of his hit tool against upper-level pitching.
Since being drafted 42nd overall in 2013, McMahon has done nothing but tear the cover off the ball. He spent all of 2015 at High-A Modesto and for the third straight year the slugging third baseman hit better than .280, with an OBP over .350, a slugging percentage north of .500 and an ISO of at least .220. It is worth noting that in 2014 he spent the entire season with Low-A Asheville, which along with Modesto is one of the most favorable hitting environments in the minors, so his numbers should not be taken entirely at face value. That said, he will begin his age-21 season at Double-A, coming off back-to-back 18-homer seasons, so McMahon is undeniably advanced with the bat. He might be just two years away from being big league ready, at which point the Rockies may need to consider moving McMahon to first base, where the bat should still be able to play, that is if Nolan Arenado is the long-term option at the hot corner.
McMahon was the toast of the Sally League last April, homering nine times in the month and looking every bit the part of the advanced left-handed hitter with pop the Rockies believed they netted when they drafted him in 2013. His slugging tailed off to more modest levels after that, but McMahon still enjoyed a successful campaign, finishing with a .282/.358/.502 line over his 552 plate appearances. While he still struggles with making contact (25.9 K%) and noticed a fairly significant gulf in both his home/road and lefty/righty splits, McMahon was a year or more younger than most of his compatriots at Low-A and made up for the high strikeout totals by posting a quality 9.8% walk rate. Nolan Arenado looks to be the Rockies’ long-term answer at third base, but McMahon will likely remain at the position again at High-A Modesto this season before perhaps moving to a corner outfield spot if and when his well-rounded offensive skills warrant a promotion to the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Showing patience in spring
3BColorado Rockies
March 9, 2025
McMahon has gone 7-for-19 with seven walks across nine Cactus League games.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat versus southpaw
3BColorado Rockies
September 18, 2024
McMahon is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Belts 19th homer
3BColorado Rockies
September 12, 2024
McMahon went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Wednesday's 7-4 loss to the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Connects for 18th home run
3BColorado Rockies
September 7, 2024
McMahon went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Saturday's 5-2 loss against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Out against left-hander
3BColorado Rockies
September 3, 2024
McMahon is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game in Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trade not happening
3BColorado Rockies
July 19, 2024
The Rockies have told interested clubs that McMahon won't be traded ahead of the July 30 deadline, reports Jon Heyman of the New York Post.
ANALYSIS
Colorado has consistently indicated a disinterest in trading McMahon this summer, but that hasn't prevented contending clubs from reaching out. The third baseman has 14 homers with a .272 batting average and .797 OPS this year, and he has a chance to set career highs in all three categories. McMahon has three years and $44 million remaining on his contract after the 2024 season, and the Rockies clearly aren't in a hurry to move him.
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