Ryan Weathers

Ryan Weathers

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2025 Fantasy Outlook
A left index finger strain put Weathers on the shelf in mid-June and eventually forced a move to the 60-day injured list. Around the extended absence, Weathers showed many good things, including career-best strikeout and walk rates. He returned from his injury to make three starts in September and earned back-to-back wins to close things out on a high note. Weathers, the seventh overall pick in 2020 and son of former big leaguer David Weathers, was traded in 2023 after struggling during his time with the Padres. Miami isn't the best spot for wins, but the southpaw finally enjoyed a taste of success in MLB last season and may now have entered post-post-hype sleeper status. The Marlins will be hoping he can do it again while adding to his workload in 2025. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#350
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $779,100 contract with the Marlins in March of 2025.
No-decision against former team
PMiami Marlins
May 26, 2025
Weathers allowed two unearned runs on three hits and three walks while striking out six over 5.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Padres on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Weathers continued his strong start to the campaign Monday, coming up one out short of a quality start against his former team. This was the first time he's been tagged for multiple runs across three starts, as a two-out error by Connor Norby allowed the Padres to extend a rally in the fourth inning. Weathers threw 94 pitches (53 strikes) in this outing, displaying a bit of shaky control, but he looks fully stretched out at this point after opening the year on the injured list due to a forearm strain. Weathers has a 1.15 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 15:4 K:BB across 15.2 innings. He's projected to make his next start at home versus the Giants over the weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Ryan Weathers generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Ryan Weathers generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .234 156 39 16 32 7 0 5
Since 2023vs Right .262 529 99 41 124 28 1 20
2025vs Left .133 17 5 2 2 0 0 1
2025vs Right .190 44 10 2 8 2 0 1
2024vs Left .212 75 19 7 14 4 0 0
2024vs Right .242 292 61 17 64 14 0 11
2023vs Left .286 64 15 7 16 3 0 4
2023vs Right .311 193 28 22 52 12 1 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-53%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-67%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 6.45 1.57 53.0 1 6 0 10.0 2.2 2.0
Since 2023Away 3.45 1.21 107.0 6 8 0 6.6 3.7 1.1
2025Home 1.80 1.00 5.0 0 0 0 7.2 0.0 1.8
2025Away 0.84 0.84 10.2 1 0 0 9.3 3.4 0.8
2024Home 6.15 1.46 33.2 1 3 0 12.0 2.4 1.9
2024Away 2.04 1.00 53.0 4 3 0 5.9 2.5 0.7
2023Home 8.79 2.02 14.1 0 3 0 6.3 2.5 2.5
2023Away 5.82 1.57 43.1 1 5 0 6.9 5.2 1.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ryan Weathers compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.75
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
97.4 mph
 
ERA
1.15
 
WHIP
0.89
 
BABIP
.215
 
GB/FB
0.94
 
Left On Base
89.3%
 
Exit Velocity
84.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.4%
 
Spin Rate
2241 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.5%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2021
2020
2019
The son of former big leaguer David Weathers, Ryan was drafted seventh overall by the Padres in 2018. His time in San Diego came to an unceremonious end at the deadline last year when the team traded him to Miami essentially for two months of Garrett Cooper. The results only worsened after the trade as Weathers struggled to a 7.62 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in three appearances (two starts) with the Marlins. He brings decent velocity to the table for a starter, and Statcast suggests the lefty deserved significantly better results on his four-seamer last season (.340 BA, .232 xBA). Weathers still has a minor-league option remaining and would likely be best suited serving as depth at Triple-A, but injuries could force him into the Marlins' rotation to start the year. He will remain a tough sell in mixed leagues until he shows some sort of consistency at the big-league level.
Weathers had his day in the sun as a 20-year-old in 2020 when he jumped from High-A to the majors to make his first big-league appearance against the Dodgers in Game 1 of the NLDS. He opened the following season on the big-league roster and fared well for a few months but fell apart late in the campaign and hasn't looked good since. The right-hander spent most of last season in Triple-A, posting a 6.73 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over 123 innings. His 6.46 FIP suggests that there wasn't a bright spot below the surface of his struggles, which isn't surprising given that his strikeout rate (15.6%) was far too close to his walk rate (10.1%). Both numbers were easily his worst as a pro, as was his 2.3 HR/9. Figuring out the causes for such regression will be key to Weathers getting his career back on track, with perhaps the best thing going for him being the fact that he's still just 22. A turnaround could have Weathers making an impact with the big-league club in 2023, but there's no doubt that his star is much dimmer than it was a few seasons ago.
Weathers received his first opportunity to take the big stage in 2020, making his MLB debut at a crucial time for the Padres. He hurled 1.1 scoreless innings in Game 1 of the NLDS against the Dodgers, walking two in the process. The 21-year-old put together a decent 2019 campaign at Low-A in 2019, finishing with a 3.84 ERA and 1.24 WHIP to go along with a 90:18 K:BB across 96 frames. When the southpaw is really locked in, he's able to get hitters out on the corners, or by grounding out weakly, which explains his 45.3 GB% and 22.8 K% at Low-A. Weathers' conditioning remains a concern, however, as he sits at 6-foot-1 and 230 pounds as a young athlete. Expect him to begin 2021 as a part of the starting rotation for Double-A Amarillo.
Weathers logged a 1.82 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 31:3 K:BB in 24.2 innings over five April starts in the Midwest League. Then he missed three weeks with arm fatigue and had a 4.54 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 59:15 K:BB in 71.1 innings the rest of the way. When Weathers, the son of long-time big-league reliever David Weathers, is on, he attacks hitters with a low-90s fastball that he locates to both sides of the plate and sits hitters down with a plus changeup. However, his velocity wasn't there when he returned and it showed. Conditioning is probably his biggest objective going forward, as at 6-foot-1, 230 pounds, he is overweight for an ordinary Joe, let alone a 20-year-old professional athlete. If he takes his diet and conditioning seriously and his average slider improves slightly, he could be a very good mid-rotation starter.
When the Padres drafted Weathers No. 7 overall in last year's draft, some thought that he would have to settle for an under-slot signing bonus. Weathers ended up getting the full slot value -- $5.23 million. The son of longtime big leaguer David Weathers, Ryan totaled 18.1 innings between rookie ball and Low-A after being drafted. He has flashed plus with his fastball and curveball, and has shown an advanced feel for the changeup. It's an impressive repertoire for a 19-year-old lefty, and the pedigree and command are there, offering hope that he can max out. Chances are, Weathers will head back to A-ball and spend much of the season at the lower levels. If his development proceeds are expected, he will then spend much of 2020 at the upper levels before likely breaking in as a starter in 2021. If the Padres are competitive in 2020, perhaps they will have Weathers get his feet wet in a relief role late in the campaign.
More Fantasy News
Stymies Cubs in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
May 21, 2025
Weathers came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's 14-1 loss to the Cubs, allowing one run on five hits over five innings. He struck out four without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Goes five strong in 2025 debut
PMiami Marlins
May 14, 2025
Weathers (1-0) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cubs, allowing one run on two hits and one walk with five strikeouts across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Activated ahead of start
PMiami Marlins
May 14, 2025
The Marlins reinstated Weathers (forearm) from the injured list prior to his start against the Cubs on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Will start Wednesday for Miami
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
May 9, 2025
Weathers (forearm) is expected to start Wednesday's game against the Cubs, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Five scoreless in rehab start
PMiami Marlins
Forearm
May 9, 2025
Weathers (forearm) yielded two hits and no walks over five scoreless frames in his last rehab start with Triple-A Jacksonville on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Option to start Saturday?
PSan Diego Padres
July 12, 2023
The Padres have yet to list a probable starting pitcher for Game 2 of Saturday's doubleheader against the Phillies, per Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune, and Weathers should be in the mix to start the contest.
ANALYSIS
Blake Snell is penciled in for Game 1 of the twin bill, but the Friars haven't indicated who will start the nightcap. Weathers was sent to Triple-A El Paso after he surrendered six runs in 1.2 frames against Cleveland on June 15, which inflated his ERA to 6.08 through 11 appearances. Even if he is recalled, the 23-year-old doesn't offer much streaming appeal, and he would likely serve as the 27th man for the twin bill and return to the minors after the game.
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