Seth Brown

Seth Brown

30-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Oakland Athletics
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Brown has proven to be an incredible find as an 18th-round pick out of Lewis-Clark State College in 2015. Granted he's only been 12% better than league average by wRC+ in 294 MLB games to date, but compared to the rest of his A's teammates, he might as well be Barry Bonds. At age 29/30, Brown smacked 25 home runs -- no other Athletic hit more than 18 last season -- and finished with a barrel rate in the 90th percentile. The power comes with a good deal of swing-and-miss though Brown shaved his strikeout rate down to a more palatable 26.3% last season while adding a couple points to his walk rate. A lefty batter, Brown has struggled against same-side pitching in the majors to the tune of a .527 OPS and would likely find himself more strictly platooned on another team. While he swiped 11 bags last season, a repeat of double digits should be considered unlikely given his modest sprint speed. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a contract with the Athletics in June of 2015.
Drives in three runs
OFOakland Athletics
October 4, 2022
Brown went 2-for-5 with a triple, three RBI and a run scored in Monday's 5-4 extra-inning win against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Brown led the offense in Oakland's comeback victory. He collected two hits for the second game in a row, including his third triple of the season and a big two-run single to tie the game at 4-4 in the ninth inning and send the game to extras. Over his last 10 games, Brown is batting .286 (10-for-35) with two homers, two steals, six runs scored and 10 RBI.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
21
67
10
8
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
6
9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+45%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+45%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+54%
OPS vs RHP
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .539 125 12 4 14 2 .167 .232 .307
Since 2020vs Right .781 742 86 41 107 13 .232 .302 .479
2022vs Left .548 99 6 3 12 2 .174 .232 .315
2022vs Right .793 456 49 22 61 9 .243 .320 .473
2021vs Left .503 26 6 1 2 0 .136 .231 .273
2021vs Right .776 281 37 19 46 4 .220 .278 .498
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right .000 5 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .738 402 42 15 48 6 .238 .303 .434
Since 2020Away .753 465 56 30 73 9 .210 .282 .471
2022Home .721 265 26 8 25 4 .237 .306 .415
2022Away .774 290 29 17 48 7 .224 .303 .471
2021Home .777 136 16 7 23 2 .242 .301 .476
2021Away .736 171 27 13 25 2 .191 .251 .484
2020Home .000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2020Away .000 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
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Stat Review
How does Seth Brown compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.35
 
BB Rate
9.2%
 
K Rate
26.3%
 
BABIP
.273
 
ISO
.214
 
AVG
.230
 
OBP
.305
 
SLG
.444
 
OPS
.749
 
wOBA
.326
 
Exit Velocity
89.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.9%
 
Barrels/PA
8.3%
 
Expected BA
.251
 
Expected SLG
.454
 
Sprint Speed
24.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
35.9%
 
Line Drive %
20.1%
 
Fly Ball %
44.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Brown was finally given an extended look at the big-league level in 2021, logging 307 plate appearances while appearing at all three outfield field positions and first base. Outside of going deep at an impressive 14.1 AB/HR clip, the 29-year-old's output was largely underwhelming. He struck out 29% of the time while posting a disappointing 7.5% walk rate en route to slashing .214/.274/.280. There are some reasons to be optimistic about his offensive upside going forward, however. His .230 BABIP in 2021 strongly points to some positive regression in the batting average department going forward, and if he's able to continue to drive the ball out of the park at a high rate, it's not crazy to envision him becoming an above average offensive player. His struggles against southpaws will likely prevent him from capturing an everyday role, but Brown shouldn't have trouble finding consistent at-bats against right-hander's to begin 2022.
Brown made Oakland's Opening Day roster and then spent the rest of the abbreviated season shuttling between the major-league roster and the alternate training site. He only appeared in seven games, stepping up to the plate a total of five times. Brown has a pair of 30-homer season in the minors, but both occurred when he was a bit old for the level. Still, he has some pop from the left side and possesses the defensive flexibility the Athletics favor as Brown can play all three outfield spots plus first base. While he has a chance to make the 2021 club as a reserve, it's more likely Brown opens with Triple-A Las Vegas, where he will have to bide his time and await an opening at the big-league level.
Brown has now hit 30 or more home runs in two of the past three minor-league seasons. Before you get too excited; one season came as a 24-year-old in High-A, and one came last year in the PCL with the happy fun ball. The lefty hit 28 of his 37 homers against righties last year, and had a .999 OPS against righties compared to an .837 OPS vs lefties. He strikes out quite a bit, yet still has managed to hit for a decent average -- no worse than .283 at his last three stops. Last year's Triple-A numbers have to be taken with a grain of salt given the physics of the baseball and that Brown wasn't even a top-30 prospect in the Oakland organization heading into last season. He turns 28 this year, so his prospect status is behind him, but he looked good at the plate in his time at the big-league level. There's a lot working against him, but Brown may be able to make this work with a good RH platoon partner.
More Fantasy News
Reaches three times in win
OFOakland Athletics
October 2, 2022
Brown went 2-for-4 with a walk, two RBI, a stolen base and a run scored in Sunday's 10-3 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Gets to double-digit steals
OFOakland Athletics
September 29, 2022
Brown went 0-for-3 with a walk and a stolen base in a loss to the Angels on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Belts 25th homer Sunday
OFOakland Athletics
September 26, 2022
Brown went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in a loss to the Mets on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Hits 24th home run
OFOakland Athletics
September 25, 2022
Brown went 3-for-4 with a solo home run, an RBI single and two additional runs scored in a 10-4 victory over the Mets on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Wednesday
OFOakland Athletics
September 21, 2022
Brown isn't starting Wednesday against the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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